MLB NRFI & YRFI Picks, Predictions for Monday, August 19

MLB NRFI & YRFI Picks, Predictions for Monday, August 19 article feature image
Credit:

Credit: Getty Images. Pictured: Tanner Houck.

Last week ended on a frustrating note, but hope springs eternal after taking Sunday off.

Let's get back in the win column today.

I have two more MLB NRFI and YRFI picks and predictions for Monday, August 19.

MLB NRFI & YRFI Picks for Monday

Billy Ward's Orioles vs MetsNRFI/YRFI Bet

Orioles Logo
Monday, August 19
7:10 p.m. ET
MLB.TV
Mets Logo
YRFI -111 (Play to -120)
FanDuel Logo

Starting Pitchers: Trevor Rogers vs. David Peterson

The Orioles and Mets are the second and third-best teams in baseball against left-handed pitching, and both teams will face lefty starters today.

Neither of those starters is especially imposing. Baltimore's Rogers has ERA and xFIP numbers in the upper fours — both overall and in his first time through the order.

Peterson's overall ERA is 3.04, but his underlying numbers are in the mid-fours or higher. While it's hard to bank on regression at this point in the season, at a minimum, he's not as good as his ERA indicates.

Given the quality of both offenses, that's enough to take the YRFI at low juice in a game with a total of 8.5 (and rising).

Billy Ward's Red Sox vs. Astros NRFI/YRFI Bet

Red Sox Logo
Monday, August 19
8:10 p.m. ET
Apple TV+
Astros Logo
NRFI -120 (Play to -130)
Caesars Logo

Starting Pitchers: Tanner Houck vs. Yusei Kikuchi

As opposed to the earlier game, both teams in this one are on the wrong side of their platoon splits, with Boston's drop-off fairly significant.

That's part of the appeal to the NRFI here, but the starting pitching matchup makes the play viable.

Houck has a sub-2.00 ERA his first time through the order, while Kikuchi's number drops to a solid 3.14 from his overall ERA in the mid-fours.

The total rising after opening at 7.5 isn't ideal, though if it climbs past the current 8.0, there should be even better prices available on the NRFI.

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About the Author
Billy Ward has been passionate about fantasy sports since the 1990s and pursued a career as an MMA fighter, turning pro at 21 before returning to college to finish his degree. He has notable achievements in fantasy sports and DFS, including qualifying for the DraftKings UFC DFS world championship and five-figure wins in NFL DFS and best ball. Now a member of the Action Network’s predictive analytics team, Billy specializes in NFL, MLB, and combat sports, managing DFS player projection models and contributing to podcasts and live betting shows.

Follow Billy Ward @Psychoward586 on Twitter/X.

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