Rays vs. Yankees Odds & Betting Predictions - April 20, 2024

Rays at Yankees

5:05 pm • YES

Tampa Bay Rays

34-30

2 - 0

New York Yankees

39-24

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Cortes			3.77	9-10
Z.Eflin			2.60	5-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 34-30	+1.5-192	o9-105	+105
Yankees 39-24	-1.5+160	u9-115	-125

Saturday 5:05 p.m.

April 20, 2024

Yankee StadiumBronx

Under 4.5 (F5)-110

0.5u

Over 9-105

1.58u

TB +123

0.62u

Bet to +112

TB +110 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to +102

TB +114

1.14u

NYY -135

1.35u

N.Cortes u17.5 Outs-120

1.2u

Under in 3/4 so far, and this Tampa roster has had his number (the likely 1-5 hitters tomorrow are a combined 22/81 off him with 8 HR). Nestor was sharp for one game against a Marlins team that can’t hit lefties. The Rays are closer to league average, but they’ve held 7/8 lefty starters below this line, and 6/8 didn’t even pitch in the sixth inning. Nestor is running above average again in pitches per PA (3.9 this season, 4.0 last season). Yanks bullpen rested enough after off day Thursday and only three relievers used today.

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Featured Insight
Yankees left-handed hitters have struck out just 12% against RHP over the last week -- lowest in MLB. Rays have a strikeout rate of just 17% vs left-handed batters over the last week -- fourth lowest in MLB.

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The Yankees are 58-15 (.795) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .690.

40% of Juan Soto strikeouts were looking last season -- fifth highest in MLB-- 97th Percentile. 34% of Zach Eflin strikeouts were looking last season -- third highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 30% (20/67) against Nestor Cortes this season -- 3rd lowest among in MLB; League Avg: 42% -- sixth Percentile.

Zach Eflin has walked 2 of 98 batters (2%) this season -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% -- 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 16% (5/32) against Nestor Cortes -- lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% -- first Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Yankees are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Yankees are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Yankees are 13-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Yankees' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Yankees' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	31-32	18-14	13-18	28-28	3-4
Rays	32-32	18-24	14-8	14-21	18-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Yankees	27-34-2	13-19	14-15-2	24-31-1	3-3-1
Rays	24-37-3	15-24-3	9-13	11-21-3	13-15

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Yankees	39-24	21-11	18-13	37-19	2-5
Rays	34-30	22-20	12-10	20-15	14-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 19th	TB	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8.5	NYY -182
Apr 17th	@TOR	W 6-4	-1.5 W	O 8.5	NYY -102
Apr 16th	@TOR	L 4-5	-1.5 L	O 8.5	TOR -102
Apr 15th	@TOR	L 1-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	TOR -105
Apr 14th	@CLE	L 7-8	-1.5 L	O 8.5	CLE -125

Alex Faedo
RP
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
SP
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
LF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
SS
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Jonny DeLuca
CF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Gerrit Cole
SP
Cole is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Giancarlo Stanton
DH
Stanton is out with elbow
Out
Luis Gil
SP
Gil is out with back
Out
JT Brubaker
SP
Brubaker is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K
RZ.Eflin, P	78	6	6
LC.Poche, P	8	1	0
RP.Maton, P	18	1	1
RJ.Adam, P	11	1	1
LG.Cleavinger, P	17	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	2-5	0	0
2R.Arozarena, LF	0-5	0	0
3H.Ramirez, DH	1-4	0	0
4I.Paredes, 3B	0-4	0	0
5A.Rosario, RF	2-4	0	0
5A.Rosario, 2B	2-4	0	0
6C.Mead, 2B	1-4	0	0
6R.Palacios, PR	0-0	1	0
6R.Palacios, RF	0-0	1	0
7J.Caballero, SS	1-3	1	1
8J.Siri, CF	0-4	0	0
9R.Pinto, C	1-2	0	0
9A.Shenton, PH	0-1	0	0
9B.Rortvedt, C	1-1	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LN.Cortes, P	102	7	9	0
RL.Weaver, P	12	1	1	0
RC.Holmes, P	21	1	2	0
LC.Ferguson, P	19	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.Volpe, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2J.Soto, RF	2-4	0	0	0
3A.Judge, DH	0-4	0	0	0
4A.Rizzo, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Verdugo, LF	1-4	0	0	0
5A.Verdugo, CF	1-4	0	0	0
6T.Grisham, CF	0-2	0	0	0
6G.Stanton, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6T.Trammell, LF	0-0	0	0	0
6G.Torres, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7O.Cabrera, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Jones, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Wells, C	0-2	0	0	0