Rays vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 16, 2026

Rays at White Sox

6:10 pm • CHSN

Tampa Bay Rays

10-7

5 - 3

Chicago White Sox

6-12

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Leasure			4.00	1-0
S.Matz			3.94	3-0

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 10-7	-1.5	-1.5+124	o8.5-103	-131
White Sox 6-12	u8.5	+1.5-149	u8.5-115	+111

Thursday 6:10 p.m.

April 16, 2026

Rate FieldChicago

S.Matz u4.5 Ks+128

1.28u

There is a value opportunity on Steven Matz's strikeouts prop. THE BAT X is projecting him to record 4.47 strikeouts, while oddsmakers are implying 5.00. The model believes there is a 54% chance he records fewer than 5 strikeouts, so there is value on the under at +128. This play is good down to at least +113. Love THE BAT X? Get all of Carty's sports betting projections at https://evanalytics.com/subscribe/mlb?ref=inf8qq%22%3EEV Analytics!

CWS +110

Under 8.5-110

0.5u

Bet to 8 (+100)

TB -130

S.Matz o4.5 Ks-162

1.62u

TB -130 (F5)

0.65u

Matz 19.1 K-BB%, estimators around 3.5 - TBR proj LU 17 point wRC+ edge v LHP since LY - TBR proj def 19 FRV edge

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 3-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of White Sox' 8 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	7-11	4-4	3-7	N/A	7-11
Rays	10-7	4-2	6-5	5-4	5-3

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	11-7	5-3	6-4	N/A	11-7
Rays	12-4-1	4-2	8-2-1	7-1-1	5-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	6-12	3-5	3-7	N/A	6-12
Rays	10-7	4-2	6-5	5-4	5-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 15th	TB	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 8.5	TB -110
Apr 14th	TB	L 5-8	+1.5 L	O 8	TB +115
Apr 12th	@KC	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 9.5	CWS +153
Apr 11th	@KC	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 9	KC +160
Apr 10th	@KC	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 7.5	KC +152

Gavin Lux
LF
Lux is out with shoulder
Out
Michael Grove
RP
Grove is out with shoulder
Out

Mike Vasil
RP
Vasil is out with elbow
Out
Ky Bush
SP
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Brooks Baldwin
LF
Baldwin is out with elbow
Out
Kyle Teel
C
Teel is out with hamstring
Out
Drew Thorpe
SP
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.Matz, P	74	5.1	4	2
RG.Jax, P	22	0.2	1	0
RK.Kelly, P	26	2	2	1
RB.Baker, P	20	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Simpson, LF	0-6	0	0	0
2J.Caminero, 3B	2-5	1	1	1
3C.Mullins, CF	0-3	1	0	0
4Y.Diaz, DH	2-5	1	0	0
5R.Vilade, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Aranda, PH	0-1	1	0	0
5J.Aranda, 1B	0-1	1	0	0
6B.Williamson, 2B	0-2	0	0	0
6R.Palacios, PH	2-2	0	0	1
6R.Palacios, 2B	2-2	0	0	1
7J.DeLuca, RF	0-1	1	0	0
7J.Fraley, PH	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Fraley, RF	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Fortes, C	2-4	0	0	0
8H.Feduccia, PH	0-0	0	0	1
8H.Feduccia, C	0-0	0	0	1
9T.Walls, SS	1-4	0	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Leasure, P	21	1.1	0	0
LA.Kay, P	71	2.2	1	1
RJ.Hicks, P	19	1	1	0
RG.Taylor, P	35	1.1	3	1
LS.Newcomb, P	21	1.2	3	0
RS.Dominguez, P	32	0.1	1	3
RL.Sims, P	23	0.2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Vargas, 3B	1-5	1	1	1
2C.Meidroth, 2B	2-4	1	0	0
3M.Murakami, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4E.Pereira, RF	2-3	1	1	1
5E.Quero, C	1-3	0	0	1
6T.Murray, SS	1-2	0	0	0
6C.Montgomery, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6C.Montgomery, SS	0-1	0	0	0
7A.Benintendi, DH	0-3	0	0	0
8D.Hill, CF	1-2	0	0	0
8T.Peters, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8T.Peters, CF	0-2	0	0	0