Rays vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - June 17, 2023

Rays at Padres

1:40 am • SDPA

Tampa Bay Rays

32-29

6 - 2

San Diego Padres

35-25

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 32-29	-1.5+155	o8+100	-102
Padres 35-25	+1.5-188	u8-115	-116

Saturday 1:40 a.m.

June 17, 2023

PETCO ParkSan Diego

Under 7.5+100

SD -110

SD +180

$56.00

Darvish to record a win

SD -110

1.1u

SD -102

Available at FanDuel. I've got the Padres as the firm-ish favorites in this game, allowing me to buy into their moneyline at 50.5% implied odds. The Rays' big bugaboo is still their bullpen, and I think that's why my model has been telling me to bet against them quite often recently. The Padres don't have a lights-out bullpen, either, but starter Yu Darvish has much better peripherals than results recently. In 7 starts with his sinker usage up, he has a 3.76 SIERA, and he has maintained a respectable 25.3% strikeout rate. This isn't a fun team to bet against, but the game's in San Diego, and the Padres are no slouches, themselves. I feel like the two teams are pretty neutral tonight, allowing me to lay -102 on the home team.

Y.Darvish u18.5 Outs-183

0.22u

SD +108

0.4u

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The Rays are 20-5 (.800) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .563.

Juan Soto has an OPS of .866 since last season -- 10th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Robert Stephenson has allowed an OPS of .787 (326 PAs) since last season -- 15th worst among qualified RPs-- seventh Percentile.

Fernando Tatis Jr. has a swing rate of 50% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest among hitters with at least 100 total PA's-- 100th Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .242 (8-for-33) against Shane McClanahan on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- fourth best among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 14-16 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 11 of Padres' 30 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	32-28	18-12	14-16	17-18	15-10
Rays	32-29	18-21	14-8	14-18	18-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	25-33-2	11-18-1	14-15-1	17-17-1	8-16-1
Rays	23-35-3	14-22-3	9-13	10-19-3	13-15

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	35-25	20-10	15-15	21-14	14-11
Rays	32-29	20-19	12-10	18-14	14-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 16th	CLE	L 6-8	-1.5 L	O 9	CLE -125
Jun 15th	CLE	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	SD -168
Jun 14th	CLE	W 6-3	-1.5 W	O 7.5	SD -168
Jun 11th	@COL	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 11.5	COL -200
Jun 10th	@COL	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 12.5	SD -142

Alex Faedo
RP
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
SP
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
LF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
SS
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Jonny DeLuca
CF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
SP
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Michael King
SP
Michael King (shoulder) has been scratched Saturday. Sean Reynolds will start for the Padres.
Out
Matt Waldron
SP
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LS.McClanahan, P	94	6.2	5	1
RZ.Littell, P	21	1.1	1	1
RS.Armstrong, P	20	0.1	0	0
RP.Fairbanks, P	2	0.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, 1B	0-5	1	0	0
2W. Franco, SS	1-5	0	0	0
3L.Raley, RF	2-4	2	0	0
4R.Arozarena, LF	2-4	1	1	4
5I.Paredes, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
6J.Lowe, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7C.Bethancourt, C	1-4	0	0	0
8T.Walls, 2B	1-3	1	0	0
9J.Siri, CF	1-3	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RY.Darvish, P	88	5	5	6
LR.Kerr, P	17	1	2	0
RB.Honeywell, P	32	2	2	0
RN.Crismatt, P	20	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	2-4	1	0	0
2J.Soto, LF	0-3	0	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4X.Bogaerts, SS	1-3	0	0	1
5G.Sanchez, C	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
7N. Cruz, DH	1-3	1	1	1
8H.Kim, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
9T.Grisham, CF	0-3	0	0	0
9R. Odor, PH	0-0	0	0	0