Rays vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2025

Rays at Padres

12:40 am • FDSSUN

Tampa Bay Rays

0-0

4 - 1

San Diego Padres

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Cease			4.55	8-12
R.Pepiot			3.87	11-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 0-0	+1.5	+1.5-192	o7-105	+124
Padres 1-2	u7	-1.5+160	u7-115	-148

Sunday 12:40 a.m.

April 27, 2025

PETCO ParkSan Diego

SD -132

Please save me

SD -149

1.49u

R.Pepiot u5.5 Ks-115

0.5u

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

R.Pepiot u5.5 Ks-115

Pepiot has been solid with a 24.4% K rate through five starts, but he’s benefited from an extremely soft strength of schedule — all five starts were at home against teams with above-average K rates (about +3% above league average overall). Now he faces his toughest test yet: the Padres on the road, the hardest team in MLB to strike out. Even with Martin Maldonado as an auto-K at the bottom of the lineup, Pepiot will likely only face him twice. He carries a +13.8 Priority Score with a moderate sell stock label, and I project him closer to -145 to stay under 5.5 Ks.

SD -1.5+180

Under 1 (1st Inn)-125

0.8u

365

TB +120

1.2u

365

D.Cease o6.5 Ks-115

1.5u

TB +138

0.69u

Bet to +130

Under 1 (1st Inn)-118

FD, good to -135 (unless the total goes to 7.5)

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 34 of Padres' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	87-75	45-36	42-39	44-49	42-26
Rays	73-89	35-46	38-43	29-46	43-41

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	69-89-4	34-46-1	35-43-3	46-45-2	23-43-2
Rays	71-81-10	36-41-4	35-40-6	32-37-6	38-42-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	90-72	52-29	38-43	56-37	33-35
Rays	77-85	41-40	36-45	42-33	34-50

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	TB	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 7	TB -148
Apr 23rd	@DET	L 0-6	+1.5 L	U 8	DET +139
Apr 22nd	@DET	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 7	SD +120
Apr 21st	@DET	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	DET +116
Apr 20th	@HOU	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SD -102

Alex Faedo
RP
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Taylor Walls
SS
Walls is out with groin
Out
Shane McClanahan
SP
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Pepiot, P	75	6	3	1
RE.Uceta, P	11	1	1	0
RH.Bigge, P	17	1	1	0
RP.Fairbanks, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, DH	1-5	1	0	0
2B.Lowe, 2B	1-4	2	1	1
3J.Caminero, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
3T.Jankowski, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3T.Jankowski, RF	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Aranda, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
5C.Morel, LF	1-4	0	0	1
6K.Misner, RF	1-2	0	0	0
6C.Mead, PH	0-0	0	0	1
6T.Walls, SS	0-1	0	0	1
7J.Caballero, SS	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Caballero, RF	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Caballero, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
8C.Simpson, CF	2-3	0	0	0
9D.Jansen, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Cease, P	95	4.1	6	2
LY.Matsui, P	23	1.1	1	0
RL.Gillaspie, P	3	0.1	0	0
LW.Peralta, P	16	1	1	0
RR.Bergert, P	16	1	1	0
RJ.Adam, P	23	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	2-4	0	1
2G.Sheets, DH	0-4	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	0
4X.Bogaerts, SS	0-4	0	0
5T.Ornelas, LF	0-3	0	0
6Y.Gurriel, 1B	0-3	0	0
7J.Iglesias, 2B	0-3	0	0
8T.Wade, CF	2-2	1	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-1	0	0
9E.Diaz, PH	0-1	0	0
9E.Diaz, C	0-1	0	0