Rays vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2025

Rays at Padres

12:40 am • FDSSUN

Tampa Bay Rays

53-52

4 - 1

San Diego Padres

56-49

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Cease			4.59	3-10
R.Pepiot			3.42	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 53-52	+1.5	+1.5-192	o7-105	+124
Padres 56-49	u7	-1.5+160	u7-115	-148

Sunday 12:40 a.m.

April 27, 2025

PETCO ParkSan Diego

SD -132

Please save me

F.Tatis o1.5 Total Bases-105

0.95u

Y.Diaz o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105

0.95u

SD -149

1.49u

R.Pepiot u5.5 Ks-115

0.5u

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

R.Pepiot u5.5 Ks-115

Pepiot has been solid with a 24.4% K rate through five starts, but he’s benefited from an extremely soft strength of schedule — all five starts were at home against teams with above-average K rates (about +3% above league average overall). Now he faces his toughest test yet: the Padres on the road, the hardest team in MLB to strike out. Even with Martin Maldonado as an auto-K at the bottom of the lineup, Pepiot will likely only face him twice. He carries a +13.8 Priority Score with a moderate sell stock label, and I project him closer to -145 to stay under 5.5 Ks.

SD -140

2.8u

SD -1.5+180

D.Cease o6.5 Ks-115

1.5u

TB +138

0.69u

Bet to +130

Under 1 (1st Inn)-118

FD, good to -135 (unless the total goes to 7.5)

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 29-27 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Padres' 49 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	56-49	27-22	29-27	24-30	31-19
Rays	49-56	23-36	26-20	20-32	28-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	41-60-4	19-29-1	22-31-3	26-26-2	15-33-2
Rays	42-59-4	24-32-3	18-27-1	19-30-3	22-28-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	56-49	31-18	25-31	31-23	24-26
Rays	53-52	31-28	22-24	30-22	22-29

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	TB	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 7	TB -148
Apr 23rd	@DET	L 0-6	+1.5 L	U 8	DET +139
Apr 22nd	@DET	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 7	SD +120
Apr 21st	@DET	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	DET +116
Apr 20th	@HOU	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SD -102

Alex Faedo
RP
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Lowe
2B
Lowe is out with ankle
Out
Shane McClanahan
SP
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Richie Palacios
LF
Palacios is out with knee
Out

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Michael King
SP
Michael King (shoulder) has been scratched Saturday. Sean Reynolds will start for the Padres.
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Pepiot, P	75	6	3	1
RE.Uceta, P	11	1	1	0
RH.Bigge, P	17	1	1	0
RP.Fairbanks, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, DH	1-5	1	0	0
2B.Lowe, 2B	1-4	2	1	1
3J.Caminero, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
3T.Jankowski, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3T.Jankowski, RF	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Aranda, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
5C.Morel, LF	1-4	0	0	1
6K.Misner, RF	1-2	0	0	0
6C.Mead, PH	0-0	0	0	1
6T.Walls, SS	0-1	0	0	1
7J.Caballero, SS	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Caballero, RF	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Caballero, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
8C.Simpson, CF	2-3	0	0	0
9D.Jansen, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Cease, P	95	4.1	6	2
LY.Matsui, P	23	1.1	1	0
RL.Gillaspie, P	3	0.1	0	0
LW.Peralta, P	16	1	1	0
RR.Bergert, P	16	1	1	0
RJ.Adam, P	23	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	2-4	0	1
2G.Sheets, DH	0-4	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	0
4X.Bogaerts, SS	0-4	0	0
5T.Ornelas, LF	0-3	0	0
6Y.Gurriel, 1B	0-3	0	0
7J.Iglesias, 2B	0-3	0	0
8T.Wade, CF	2-2	1	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-1	0	0
9E.Diaz, PH	0-1	0	0
9E.Diaz, C	0-1	0	0