Rays vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - April 27, 2025

Rays at Padres

12:40 am • FDSSUN

Tampa Bay Rays

13-14

4 - 1

San Diego Padres

17-10

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Cease			5.76	1-2
R.Pepiot			4.24	2-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Rays 13-14	+1.5	+1.5-192	o7-105	+124
Padres 17-10	u7	-1.5+160	u7-115	-148

Sunday 12:40 a.m.

April 27, 2025

PETCO ParkSan Diego

SD -132

Please save me

F.Tatis o1.5 Total Bases-105

0.95u

Y.Diaz o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105

0.95u

SD -149

1.49u

R.Pepiot u5.5 Ks-115

0.5u

Tailing @The_Oddsmaker

R.Pepiot u5.5 Ks-115

Pepiot has been solid with a 24.4% K rate through five starts, but he’s benefited from an extremely soft strength of schedule — all five starts were at home against teams with above-average K rates (about +3% above league average overall). Now he faces his toughest test yet: the Padres on the road, the hardest team in MLB to strike out. Even with Martin Maldonado as an auto-K at the bottom of the lineup, Pepiot will likely only face him twice. He carries a +13.8 Priority Score with a moderate sell stock label, and I project him closer to -145 to stay under 5.5 Ks.

SD -140

2.8u

SD -1.5+180

D.Cease o6.5 Ks-115

1.5u

TB +138

0.69u

Bet to +130

Under 1 (1st Inn)-118

FD, good to -135 (unless the total goes to 7.5)

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Padres are 1-4 in their last 5 games against the spread
Padres are 3-9 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Padres' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Padres' 15 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	15-12	12-3	3-9	9-6	6-6
Rays	12-15	8-11	4-4	6-9	6-5

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Padres	10-16-1	4-10-1	6-6	5-9-1	5-7
Rays	11-14-2	8-9-2	3-5	7-6-2	4-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Padres	17-10	12-3	5-7	11-4	6-6
Rays	13-14	9-10	4-4	8-7	5-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 26th	TB	L 0-1	-1.5 L	U 7	TB -148
Apr 23rd	@DET	L 0-6	+1.5 L	U 8	DET +139
Apr 22nd	@DET	W 2-0	+1.5 W	U 7	SD +120
Apr 21st	@DET	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	DET +116
Apr 20th	@HOU	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7.5	SD -102

Josh Lowe
OF
Lowe is out with oblique
Out
Alex Faedo
P
Faedo is out with shoulder
Out
Shane McClanahan
P
McClanahan is out with triceps
Out
Jake Mangum
OF
Mangum is out with groin
Out
Richie Palacios
IF
Palacios is out with knee
Out
Ha-Seong Kim
IF
Kim is out with shoulder
Out
Jonny DeLuca
OF
DeLuca is out with shoulder
Out

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Yu Darvish
P
Darvish is out with elbow
Out
Matt Waldron
P
Waldron is out with hamstring
Out
Jackson Merrill
OF
Merrill is out with hamstring
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Pepiot, P	75	6	3	1
RE.Uceta, P	11	1	1	0
RH.Bigge, P	17	1	1	0
RP.Fairbanks, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1Y.Diaz, DH	1-5	1	0	0
2B.Lowe, 2B	1-4	2	1	1
3J.Caminero, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
3T.Jankowski, PR	0-0	0	0	0
3T.Jankowski, RF	0-0	0	0	0
4J.Aranda, 1B	2-4	0	0	0
5C.Morel, LF	1-4	0	0	1
6K.Misner, RF	1-2	0	0	0
6C.Mead, PH	0-0	0	0	1
6T.Walls, SS	0-1	0	0	1
7J.Caballero, SS	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Caballero, RF	0-5	0	0	0
7J.Caballero, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
8C.Simpson, CF	2-3	0	0	0
9D.Jansen, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Cease, P	95	4.1	6	2
LY.Matsui, P	23	1.1	1	0
RL.Gillaspie, P	3	0.1	0	0
LW.Peralta, P	16	1	1	0
RR.Bergert, P	16	1	1	0
RJ.Adam, P	23	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1F.Tatis, RF	2-4	0	1
2G.Sheets, DH	0-4	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	1-4	0	0
4X.Bogaerts, SS	0-4	0	0
5T.Ornelas, LF	0-3	0	0
6Y.Gurriel, 1B	0-3	0	0
7J.Iglesias, 2B	0-3	0	0
8T.Wade, CF	2-2	1	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-1	0	0
9E.Diaz, PH	0-1	0	0
9E.Diaz, C	0-1	0	0