Pirates vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - September 21, 2024

Pirates at Reds

5:10 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

0-0

1 - 7

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
R.Lowder			1.17	2-2
J.Jones			4.14	6-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 0-0	-1.5	+1.5-192	o9-119	+105
Reds 0-0	u9	-1.5+162	u9-102	-125

Saturday 5:10 p.m.

September 21, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Over 9-114

0.57u

Over 9-107

Over 9-103

0.52u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have a groundball rate of 46% this season -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds this season -- lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Reds answered-back in 38% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- second highest in MLB. Pirates had allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score last season -- fifth highest in MLB.

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Pirates vs. Reds: Back Jones, Pirates on Road
D.J. James•
Sep 21, 2024 UTC

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The Reds are just 74-84 (.468) at home since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Bryan De La Cruz has an OPS of just .691 since the 2022 season -- second worst in MLB-- second Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .579 (773 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 13th best among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Elly De La Cruz has struck out in 32% of PA's since last season -- highest in MLB-- 0 Percentile. Aroldis Chapman has a strikeout rate of 39% since last season -- highest among qualified RPs-- 100th Percentile.

Rhett Lowder has induced opposing hitters to ground into 3 double plays in 8 opportunities (38%) this month (3 games) -- tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 11% -- 97th Percentile.

Rhett Lowder has not allowed a home run in any of the last 20.2 innings he's appeared -- Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 85.1.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 20th	PIT	W 8-3	-1.5 W	O 9	CIN -128
Sep 19th	ATL	L 3-15	+1.5 L	O 9	ATL +185
Sep 18th	ATL	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL +117
Sep 17th	ATL	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 9	CIN +124
Sep 15th	@MIN	L 2-9	+1.5 L	O 9	MIN +150

Marco Gonzales
P
Gonzales is out with arm
Out
Ke'Bryan Hayes
IF
Hayes is out with back
Out
Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Endy Rodriguez
C
Rodriguez is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Austin Wynns
C
Wynns is out with shoulder
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Nick Martini
OF
Martini is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Jones, P	90	5	5	6
LJ.Beeks, P	16	1	1	1
RD.Bednar, P	21	1	0	0
LR.Borucki, P	6	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	1-5	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3O.Cruz, DH	1-3	0	0	0
4N.Gonzales, SS	1-4	0	0	0
5B.De La Cruz, RF	0-4	0	0	0
6Y.Grandal, C	1-4	0	0	0
7C.Joe, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
8N.Yorke, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9B.Cook, CF	2-4	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RR.Lowder, P	87	5	4	0
RB.Farmer, P	13	1	1	0
LJ.Wilson, P	23	1	1	0
RY.Zulueta, P	21	1	2	0
RA.Busenitz, P	14	1	1	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	0-4	1	0	0
2E.De La Cruz, SS	3-5	2	1	4
3T.Stephenson, C	1-4	1	0	1
4T.France, 1B	1-3	1	1	2
5T.Friedl, CF	0-3	0	0	0
6S.Espinal, DH	0-3	0	0	0
7J.Fraley, RF	1-3	0	0	0
8N.Marte, 3B	2-4	1	0	0
9W.Benson, LF	1-4	1	0	0