Pirates vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - September 20, 2024

Pirates at Reds

10:40 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

31-28

3 - 8

Cincinnati Reds

29-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
N.Martinez			3.10	10-7
M.Keller			4.25	11-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 31-28	-1.5	+1.5-185	o9-115	+109
Reds 29-28	u9	-1.5+154	u9-105	-128

Friday 10:40 p.m.

September 20, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have a groundball rate of 46% this season -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds this season -- lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Reds have answered-back in 35% of innings after an opponent scores since last season -- third highest in MLB. Pirates have allowed a run 34% of the time after an opposing score since last season -- fourth highest in MLB.

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Friday's Game Chock-Full of HR Value
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The Reds are just 74-84 (.468) at home since the 2023 season -- tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

Oneil Cruz has struck out in 31% of PA's this season -- tied for third highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 38% this season -- tied for fourth highest among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Yasmani Grandal has an OPS of just .627 since the 2022 season -- 13th worst among hitters with at least 714 total PA's-- fourth Percentile. Alexis Diaz has allowed an OPS of just .579 (773 PAs) since the 2022 season -- 13th best among qualified RPs-- 92nd Percentile.

Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 25% (44/178) against Nick Martinez vs left-handed batters this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 39% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 18-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Reds' 28 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	32-25	14-14	18-11	11-7	21-18
Pirates	30-29	15-17	15-12	17-17	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	35-21-1	19-9	16-12-1	12-6	23-15-1
Pirates	32-25-2	21-11	11-14-2	22-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	29-28	14-14	15-14	11-7	18-21
Pirates	31-28	17-15	14-13	20-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 19th	ATL	L 3-15	+1.5 L	O 9	ATL +185
Sep 18th	ATL	L 1-7	+1.5 L	U 8.5	ATL +117
Sep 17th	ATL	W 6-5	+1.5 W	O 9	CIN +124
Sep 15th	@MIN	L 2-9	+1.5 L	O 9	MIN +150
Sep 14th	@MIN	W 11-1	+1.5 W	O 8.5	CIN +125

Hunter Greene
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Greene is out with elbow
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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	84	3.1	1	8
LJ.Wentz, P	43	2.2	3	0
RI.Mattson, P	25	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Kiner-Falefa, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-4	0	0	0
3O.Cruz, CF	2-4	2	1	1
4A.McCutchen, DH	1-3	1	0	0
5J.Bart, C	2-4	0	0	1
6N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	0	0	0
7R.Tellez, 1B	2-4	0	0	1
8J.Triolo, 3B	1-4	0	0	0
9B.Cook, RF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RN.Martinez, P	78	6	9	0
LB.Suter, P	20	1	0	1
RA.Busenitz, P	32	2	2	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	2-4	2	1	1
2E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	2	0	0
3T.Stephenson, C	3-5	3	1	5
4S.Steer, DH	1-4	0	0	0
5T.Friedl, CF	0-2	0	0	1
6T.France, 1B	0-3	0	0	1
7J.Fraley, RF	1-3	0	0	0
8N.Marte, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9W.Benson, LF	0-3	1	0	0