Pirates vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 24, 2024

Pirates at Reds

11:10 pm • SportsNet PT

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

5 - 11

Cincinnati Reds

29-27

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Spiers			5.46	5-7
B.Falter			4.43	8-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 30-28	+1.5-180	o10+100	+114
Reds 29-27	-1.5+150	u10-120	-135

Monday 11:10 p.m.

June 24, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

CIN o4.5 Team Total-140

0.71u

CIN -122

Over 9.5-106

0.5u

Bet to -118 or 10 (+100)

CIN -105

0.5u

Bet to -115

CIN -110 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -124

CIN -105

0.95u

CIN -108

Falter 4.72 SIERA/5.13 xERA, Spiers 3.85/3.67 (25.1 IP) - PIT 87/81/74 wRC+ Rd/v RHP/L7 days, 81/95/81 - PIT def 2nd wost Runs Prev MLB - CIN pen estimators nearly 2/3 run better L30 days

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have a groundball rate of 46% this season -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds this season -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Reds RPs have a strikeout rate of 28% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- fifth highest in MLB. Pirates right-handed hitters have struck out 31% against LHP over the last week -- fourth highest in MLB.

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The Pirates are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Oneil Cruz has struck out in 33% of PA's this season -- fifth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 41% this season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Jake Fraley has a swing rate of 54% on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- highest among hitters with at least 112 total PA's-- 100th Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .233 (10-for-43) against Bailey Falter on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- tied for fifth best among qualified SPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Bailey Falter has a strikeout rate of just 14% (18 SO in 126 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season -- lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% -- first Percentile.

Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 41% of the time (452/1,099) this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 18-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Reds' 27 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	32-24	14-13	18-11	11-7	21-17
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	35-20-1	19-8	16-12-1	12-6	23-14-1
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	29-27	14-13	15-14	11-7	18-20
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 23rd	BOS	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	BOS -162
Jun 22nd	BOS	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9.5	BOS -101
Jun 21st	BOS	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 9	CIN -105
Jun 19th	@PIT	L 0-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	PIT +112
Jun 18th	@PIT	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	CIN -120

Hunter Greene
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Greene is out with elbow
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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	79	4	2	4
LJ.Bruihl, P	11	0.1	1	2
RD.Santana, P	15	0.2	1	0
RD.Jefferies, P	39	2	1	4
LJ.Fleming, P	16	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-4	1	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	2-4	0	0	1
3O.Cruz, SS	2-5	1	1	3
4R.Tellez, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4C.Joe, PH	0-0	0	0	0
5N.Gonzales, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7E.Olivares, RF	3-3	2	0	0
8J.Suwinski, CF	1-4	1	0	0
9Y.Grandal, C	1-4	0	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Spiers, P	93	6	5	3
RF.Cruz, P	25	1	3	2
RL.Sims, P	17	1	1	0
LJ.Wilson, P	27	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.India, 2B	3-4	3	0	1
2E.De La Cruz, SS	3-5	3	1	3
3J.Candelario, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4S.Steer, LF	2-4	1	0	3
5T.Stephenson, DH	1-4	1	0	0
6S.Fairchild, CF	1-4	1	0	2
7S.Espinal, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
8L.Jordan, RF	1-3	1	0	1
9L.Maile, C	1-4	1	0	1