Pirates vs. Cubs Odds & Betting Predictions - September 19, 2023

Pirates at Cubs

11:40 pm • MARQ

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

1 - 14

Chicago Cubs

31-27

pitcher		team	era	w-l
J.Assad			3.05	5-3
B.Falter			5.58	2-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 30-28	N/A	N/A	N/A
Cubs 31-27	N/A	N/A	N/A

Tuesday 11:40 p.m.

September 19, 2023

Wrigley FieldChicago

Under 0.5 (1st Inn)-110

$1.10

PIT +140

0.5u

Falter 4.53 SIERA/4.47 xERA, Assad 4.80/5.04 - While CHC have the offensive advantage, PIT has a strong defense & pen, comparable w/ CHC

J.Assad o14.5 Outs-155

0.65u

CHC -1.5+128

1.28u

J.Assad o14.5 Outs-149

Under 9-115

0.58u

Under 9-115

0.58u

Bet to 8.5 (-108

MLB NRFI Model Picks For Tuesday
Billy Ward•
Sep 19, 2023 UTC

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The Cubs are 25-3 (.893) when they've had 5 or more XBH this season -- tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.

Connor Joe is batting just .144 with RISP this season -- worst among hitters with at least 223 total PA's-- 0 Percentile. Opponents are hitting just .141 (12-for-85) against Javier Assad with RISP this season -- best among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP-- 100th Percentile.

Nico Hoerner has a miss rate of only 6% on inside fastballs since last season -- third best in MLB-- 97th Percentile. Bailey Falter has located his fastball inside 43% of the time since last season -- 10th highest among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .141 (12-for-85) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position this season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: .256 -- 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 18% (27/151) against Javier Assad this season -- 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 23% -- 99th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Cubs are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cubs are 11-18 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Cubs' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 15 of Cubs' 29 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	23-35	12-17	11-18	14-23	9-12
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cubs	33-25	15-14	18-11	19-18	14-7
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cubs	31-27	18-11	13-16	21-16	10-11
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 17th	@ARI	L 2-6	-	-	-
Sep 17th	@ARI	L 6-7	-	-	-
Sep 16th	@ARI	L 4-6	-	-	-
Sep 13th	@COL	L 3-7	-	-	-
Sep 13th	@COL	L 4-6	-	-	-

Tyler Austin
1B
Austin is out with knee
Out
Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LB.Falter, P	24	1	1	2
RQ.Priester, P	91	6	2	4
RK.Nicolas, P	29	0.1	0	6
LJ.Hernandez, P	19	0.2	0	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1J.Bae, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	0-2	0	0	0
3K.Hayes, 3B	2-4	1	1	1
4J.Suwinski, CF	1-3	0	0	0
4A.Williams, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5J.Palacios, DH	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Triolo, PH	0-0	0	0	0
6E.Rodriguez, C	0-3	0	0	0
6M.Andujar, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7H.Davis, RF	1-4	0	0	0
8A.Rivas, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
9L.Peguero, SS	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Assad, P	84	5	8	1
LD.Smyly, P	14	1	3	0
RJ.Cuas, P	15	1	1	0
RM.Leiter, P	15	1	1	0
LL.Little, P	21	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1N.Hoerner, 2B	1-3	2	0	1
2D.Swanson, SS	2-5	2	1	2
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-5	1	1	3
3C.Bellinger, 1B	1-5	1	1	3
4S.Suzuki, RF	3-4	2	1	1
5Y.Gomes, C	0-3	0	0	0
5M.Amaya, PH	0-1	0	0	0
5M.Amaya, C	0-1	0	0	0
6I.Happ, LF	1-3	1	0	0
6J.Young, PH	1-1	0	0	1
6J.Young, 1B	1-1	0	0	1
7C.Morel, 3B	0-2	2	0	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, PR	0-1	1	0	0
7M.Mastrobuoni, 3B	0-1	1	0	0
8P.Wisdom, 1B	1-3	1	0	1
8P.Crow-Armstrong, CF	0-0	1	0	0
9A.Canario, DH	2-4	1	1	5
9A.Canario, LF	2-4	1	1	5