Pirates vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 3, 2023

Pirates at Brewers

11:15 pm • FOX

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

1 - 14

Milwaukee Brewers

34-20

pitcher		team	era	w-l
A.Houser			4.12	8-5
M.Keller			4.21	13-9

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 30-28	N/A	N/A	N/A
Brewers 34-20	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 11:15 p.m.

August 03, 2023

American Family FieldMilwaukee

A. Houser o1.5 BB-160

$1.25

PIT o3.5-140

$10.00

M.Keller o1.5 BB-160

$1.25

MIL -125

$160.00

A.Houser u4.5 Ks-110

PIT +110

PIT +100 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -105

PIT +120

0.5u

Bet to +111

Under 8.5-105

1.05u

Keller has been pitching poorly enough that his estimators are closing in on four & Houser has been worse, but MIL 93/88/92 wRC+ Hm/v RHP/L7 days, PIT 89/88/89. MIL additions (Canha & Santana) won't move the needle too much. PIT has an everage defense & top 10 pen estimators L30 days. MIL has a great defense and the best pen estimators L30 days (a half run better than any other team)

Over 4.5 (F5)-118

0.5u

Featured Insight
The Pirates have scored just 4.2 runs per game over the last two weeks -- tied for eighth-lowest in MLB (120 games). The Brewers have allowed just 4.1 runs per game over the last two weeks -- tied for seventh-lowest in MLB (122 games).

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Featured Insight
The Pirates have answered-back in just 28% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- sixth-lowest in MLB. Brewers have allowed a run just 30% of the time after an opposing score this season -- tied for 10th-lowest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Thursday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Aug 3, 2023 UTC
Thursday's MLB Best Bets
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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 14-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Brewers' 30 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	32-22	18-12	14-10	20-14	12-8
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	24-29-1	13-17	11-12-1	16-17-1	8-12
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	34-20	19-11	15-9	23-11	11-9
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 2nd	@WSH	L 2-3	-	-	-
Aug 1st	@WSH	W 6-4	-	-	-
Jul 31st	@WSH	L 3-5	-	-	-
Jul 30th	@ATL	L 6-8	-	-	-
Jul 29th	@ATL	L 5-11	-	-	-

Akil Baddoo
LF
Baddoo is out with quad
Out
Quinn Priester
SP
Priester is out with wrist
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Keller, P	90	5	5	8
LJ.Hernandez, P	18	1	1	3
RD.Moreta, P	35	1	0	3
RC.Holderman, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1A.Rivas, 1B	0-3	1	0
1A.Rivas, LF	0-3	1	0
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-3	0	0
2J.Palacios, LF	1-1	0	0
2J.Palacios, RF	1-1	0	0
3A.McCutchen, DH	1-3	0	0
3J.Triolo, PH	1-1	0	0
3J.Triolo, DH	1-1	0	0
4J.Suwinski, CF	0-3	0	1
5H.Davis, RF	0-4	0	0
5H.Davis, C	0-4	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	1-3	0	0
6V.Capra, 3B	0-1	0	0
7E.Rodriguez, C	0-4	0	0
7E.Rodriguez, 1B	0-4	0	0
8L.Peguero, 2B	0-4	0	0
9A.Williams, SS	1-3	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RA.Houser, P	95	6	5	1
RJ. Mejía, P	28	2	4	0
LA.Chafin, P	13	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Yelich, LF	3-4	0	0	2
1B.Perkins, PR	0-1	1	0	0
1B.Perkins, LF	0-1	1	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	2-5	2	0	2
3C.Santana, 1B	1-5	1	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	1-4	1	0	0
4B.Anderson, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
5S.Frelick, RF	2-3	2	1	5
6M.Canha, DH	0-4	1	0	0
7A.Monasterio, 3B	2-5	2	0	0
7A.Monasterio, 2B	2-5	2	0	0
8B.Turang, 2B	3-5	2	1	3
8B.Turang, SS	3-5	2	1	3
9J.Wiemer, CF	2-3	2	0	1