Mets vs. Phillies Odds & Betting Predictions - September 14, 2024

Mets at Phillies

8:05 pm • SNY

New York Mets

14-7

4 - 6

Philadelphia Phillies

13-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
K.Allard			5.00	2-0
L.Severino			3.91	11-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 14-7	-1.5+160	o9-111	+102
Phillies 13-8	+1.5-192	u9-108	-121

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

September 14, 2024

Citizens Bank ParkPhiladelphia

Under 9-115

0.58u

Bet to 8.5 (-104)

PHI -102

0.5u

Bet to -108

Featured Insight
Mets right-handed hitters have struck out just 5% against LHP over the last week -- second lowest in MLB. Phillies have a strikeout rate of just 17% vs right-handed batters over the last week -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Phillies have allowed a run just 27% of the time after an opposing score this season -- third lowest in MLB. The Mets have answered-back in just 25% of innings after an opponent scores this season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Mets vs. Phillies: F5 Prediction for NL East Battle
Nick Martin•
Sep 14, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are 10-131 (.071) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .051.

Bryson Stott is batting .296 on breaking pitches this season -- tied for seventh best in MLB-- 94th Percentile. Edwin Diaz has thrown his slider 51% of the time this season -- 12th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

J.D. Martinez has struck out in 29% of PA's this season -- eighth highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Jeff Hoffman has a strikeout rate of 34% this season -- 13th highest among qualified RPs-- 94th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .197 (45-for-229) against Luis Severino when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 -- 89th Percentile.

Luis Severino has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (239/558) with runners in scoring position this season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% -- 98th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Phillies are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Phillies are 4-5 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 5 of Phillies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 7 of Phillies' 12 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	12-9	8-4	4-5	9-7	3-2
Mets	10-11	5-4	5-7	7-9	3-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Phillies	10-11	7-5	3-6	8-8	2-3
Mets	6-15	2-7	4-8	6-10	0-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Phillies	13-8	9-3	4-5	10-6	3-2
Mets	14-7	8-1	6-6	12-4	2-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Sep 13th	NYM	L 3-11	-1.5 L	O 8.5	NYM -156
Sep 11th	TB	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 7	PHI -230
Sep 10th	TB	W 9-4	-1.5 W	O 7.5	PHI -185
Sep 9th	TB	W 2-1	-1.5 L	U 8	PHI -198
Sep 8th	@MIA	L 1-10	-1.5 L	O 8.5	MIA -135

Frankie Montas
P
Montas is out with back
Out
Sean Manaea
P
Manaea is out with oblique
Out
Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with knee
Out
Jose Siri
OF
Siri is out with leg
Out
Jeff McNeil
IF
McNeil is out with oblique
Out
Nick Madrigal
IF
Madrigal is out with shoulder
Out
Francisco Alvarez
C
Alvarez is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Brandon Marsh
OF
Marsh is out with hamstring
Out
Ranger Suarez
P
Suarez is out with back
Out
Weston Wilson
OF
Wilson is out with oblique
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	86	6	5	3
LD.Young, P	5	0.1	0	2
RR.Garrett, P	23	0.2	2	0
RR.Stanek, P	13	1	2	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Iglesias, 2B	2-5	1	0
2M.Vientos, 3B	2-5	1	0
3B.Nimmo, LF	1-5	1	0
3B.Nimmo, CF	1-5	1	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	1	0
5J.Martinez, DH	0-3	0	0
6S.Marte, RF	2-2	0	3
7F.Alvarez, C	0-4	0	0
8H.Bader, CF	0-3	0	0
8J.Winker, PH	0-1	0	0
8J.Winker, LF	0-1	0	0
9L.Acuna, SS	2-4	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LK.Allard, P	67	3	3	3
RT.Walker, P	37	3	0	0
RO.Kerkering, P	12	1	1	0
RJ.Hoffman, P	9	1	0	0
RC.Estevez, P	19	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1K.Schwarber, DH	0-3	0	0	0
2T.Turner, SS	0-3	1	0	0
3B.Harper, 1B	2-4	2	2	3
4N.Castellanos, RF	1-4	1	0	0
5B.Stott, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
6J.Realmuto, C	2-4	1	0	1
7B.Marsh, LF	0-3	0	0	0
8K.Clemens, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8W.Wilson, PH	0-1	0	0	0
8W.Wilson, 3B	0-1	0	0	0
9C.Stevenson, CF	2-3	0	0	2