Padres vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - June 29, 2023

Padres at Pirates

4:35 pm • MLB Network

San Diego Padres

32-24

4 - 5

Pittsburgh Pirates

30-28

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Ortiz			4.78	5-5
J.Musgrove			3.05	10-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 32-24	N/A	N/A	N/A
Pirates 30-28	N/A	N/A	N/A

Thursday 4:35 p.m.

June 29, 2023

PNC ParkPittsburgh

SD -1.5-110

1.1u

F.Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-130

PIT +170

1.7u

Ortiz has not pitched well, but does have upside, while Musgrove's contact neutral estimators have moved above four this year - SDP have just a 4 pt wRC+ edge v RHP this year

SD -1.5-115

$1.15

F.Tatis Jr. o1.5 Total Bases-120

0.5u

SD -195

SD -190

1.5u

Over 8.5-105

0.5u

Bet to -111

PIT +166

0.83u

Bet to +156

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The Padres are just 33-7 (.825) when leading entering the 8th inning this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

Jack Suwinski has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- sixth highest in MLB-- third Percentile. Josh Hader has a strikeout rate of 37% this season -- tied for ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a = 95 mph'>Hard-Hit Rate of just 30% (71/240) against Joe Musgrove on fastballs since last season -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 44% -- 100th Percentile.

Luis Ortiz has thrown low pitches 69% of the time (162/233) with runners in scoring position this season -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 46% -- 98th Percentile.

Joe Musgrove has a strike rate of 73% (128/175) over the last 14 days (2 games) -- highest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 15-12 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 20 of Pirates' 31 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	15-16	15-12	17-16	12-12
Padres	32-24	18-14	14-10	15-13	17-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	31-25-2	20-11	11-14-2	21-12	9-13-2
Padres	23-32-1	12-19-1	11-13	10-17-1	13-15

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	30-28	16-15	14-13	19-14	10-14
Padres	32-24	16-16	16-8	16-12	16-12

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 28th	SD	W 7-1	-	-	-
Jun 27th	SD	W 9-4	-	-	-
Jun 25th	@MIA	L 0-2	-	-	-
Jun 24th	@MIA	L 3-4	-	-	-
Jun 23rd	@MIA	W 3-1	-	-	-

Joe Musgrove
SP
Musgrove is out with elbow
Out
Will Wagner
3B
Wagner is out with oblique
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Musgrove, P	93	6	6	2
LT.Hill, P	18	0.1	0	2
RL.Garcia, P	11	1.2	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Tatis, DH	0-5	0	0	0
2J.Soto, LF	1-3	0	0	0
3M.Machado, 3B	0-5	0	0	0
4X.Bogaerts, SS	1-3	0	0	0
5J.Cronenworth, 1B	1-3	1	0	0
6R. Odor, RF	1-2	1	0	0
6B. Dixon, PH	0-2	0	0	0
6B. Dixon, RF	0-2	0	0	0
7H.Kim, 2B	2-3	1	1	2
8T.Grisham, CF	1-4	1	1	2
9A.Nola, C	0-3	0	0	0
9G.Sanchez, PH	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Ortiz, P	69	4.2	0	4
LR.Borucki, P	14	1.1	0	0
RD.Moreta, P	21	1	1	0
LA.Perdomo, P	14	0.2	2	0
RD.Bednar, P	20	1.1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Suwinski, CF	1-3	1	1
2A.McCutchen, DH	2-4	1	0
3H.Davis, RF	3-4	1	2
3J.Palacios, LF	0-0	0	0
4C.Santana, 1B	2-4	0	0
5C.Joe, LF	0-4	0	0
5C.Joe, RF	0-4	0	0
6N.Gonzales, SS	0-3	0	1
7J.Bae, 2B	0-2	0	0
7R.Castro, PH	0-0	1	0
7R.Castro, 2B	0-0	1	0
8J.Triolo, 3B	2-3	1	0
9J.Delay, C	0-3	0	0