Padres vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - August 28, 2024
Padres at Cardinals
11:45 pm • BSMWStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
A.Pallante | 3.78 | 8-8 | ||
J.Musgrove | 3.88 | 6-5 |
Padres at Cardinals Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Padres 4-3 | -1.5+135 | o8-111 | -125 | |
Cardinals 0-0 | +1.5-163 | u8-108 | +105 |
Wednesday 11:45 p.m.
August 28, 2024Busch StadiumSt. Louis
Padres vs. Cardinals Expert Picks
Picks Office
77d ago
Last 30d: 89-113-3 (-31.5u)
Under 8.5-125
0.8u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Joe Musgrove pitches for the Padres and has been really good in his last three starts, accumulating a 0.57 ERA and 0.57 WHIP across 15.2 innings of work, allowing just one run in that time. Musgrove has been consistent all season long, and with the control he's had, along with his ability to get outs, this should help suppress a Cardinals offense that has struggled to consistently produce against right-handed pitchers all season, as they bat just .243 overall this season.
On the other side, Andre Pallante starts for the Cardinals. Not quite as sharp as Musgrove, Pallante has been prosperous in his last three outings, returning a 1.83 ERA and 1.02 WHIP across 19.2 innings. His ability to work through lineups, minimizing damage continuously presents a strong case for the under, especially against a Padres lineup that outside of recent scoring outbursts has mostly struggled.
The bullpens of both teams also favor a low-scoring game. The Padres' bullpen has been especially great, recording a 2.05 ERA and 0.91 WHIP over its last three games. While the Cardinals bullpen is not quite stifling, they still sport a respectable 3.47 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in that same span. Considering both bullpens are performing well, they will more than likely keep the score down late in the game.
That said, trends also point to the under. The Cardinals have gone under in seven of their last ten on grass, while the Padres represented an under trend on the road. This series has also gone under in many recent games between the two franchises.
JB Bets
77d ago
Last 30d: 68-73-0 (+2.5u)
SD -125
1u
Prop Hunter
77d ago
Last 30d: 24-44-0 (-15.0u)
J.Merrill o1.5 Total Bases+110
1u
Sandy Plashkes
77d ago
Last 30d: 121-116-0 (+10.4u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-124
1.24u
Tanner McGrath
77d ago
Last 30d: 59-63-4 (-11.5u)
Under 8.5-105
1u
Kyle Just Bets
77d ago
Last 30d: 20-22-1 (-1.9u)
J.Musgrove o1.5 BB-135
1u
Picks Office
77d ago
Last 30d: 89-113-3 (-31.5u)
STL +110
1.1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
While it applies to the big picture, even Joe Musgrove being tremendous since returning but he has had a 5.62 ERA on the road this season versus Pallante's 3.95 at home. On the other hand, Pallante seems to have induced weak contact, considering that opposing hitters against him produced just an 87.4 mph exit velocity and a .340 expected slugging percentage. This could end up clogging up the San Diego lineup.
While Musgrove is extremely strikeout-heavy, Pallante's groundballing style (0.5° launch angle) is a great fit for Busch Stadium, given its history of depressant nature on home runs. The .239 xBA and .293 xwOBA off Pallante show how well he can keep evil away from bats-a huge differentiator against that Padres lineup.
The Cardinals' recent offensive surge, particularly against right-handed pitchers, should not be overlooked. Handed a slight uptick in batting average (.261) against righties, with a lineup that's supposed to include power threats like the likely returning Nolan Arenado, the Cardinals should be in a solid place to capitalize on any miscue Musgrove makes. They've been OK in these spots as a whole lately, too, taking five of their last six following a home loss when an underdog at home. Combining this with Pallante's recent form and home-field advantage, this could be a great pick as St. Louis looks to stop the Padres' streak and have great value.
Sean Zerillo
78d ago
Last 30d: 49-72-3 (-9.0u)
Under 8.5-108
0.5u
Bet to -122 or 8 (-103)
Boomer Betz
78d ago
Last 30d: 160-161-1 (+19.5u)
STL +112
1.12u
PRO Insights
Padres
SD Insights
- Featured InsightPadres left-handed hitters have struck out just 19% against RHP since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. Cardinals have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs left-handed batters since last season -- third lowest in MLB.
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Padres vs. Cardinals Previews & Analysis
Padres vs. Cardinals Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Today's Starting Pitchers
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Padres vs. Cardinals Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Cardinals are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Cardinals' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Cardinals vs. Padres Injury Updates
Cardinals Injuries
- Sonny GrayP
Gray is out with arm
Out
- Willson ContrerasC
Contreras is out with finger
Out
- Drew RomP
Rom is out with biceps
Out
Padres Injuries
- Mason McCoyIF
McCoy is out with back
Out
Padres vs. Cardinals Box Score
Padres Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RJ.Musgrove, P | 94 | 6 | 3 | 3 | |
RS.Reynolds, P | 28 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
RJ.Adam, P | 21 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
RR.Suarez, P | 21 | 0.2 | 1 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1L.Arraez, DH | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
1T.Wade, PR | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1T.Wade, DH | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2J.Profar, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3J.Cronenworth, 1B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4M.Machado, 3B | 2-5 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
5X.Bogaerts, 2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6J.Merrill, CF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7D.Peralta, RF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7D.Solano, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7B.Johnson, RF | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8K.Higashioka, C | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
9M.McCoy, SS | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Cardinals Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RA.Pallante, P | 104 | 5.2 | 3 | 2 | |
LM.Liberatore, P | 13 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
RA.Kittredge, P | 5 | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | |
LJ.Romero, P | 16 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
RR.Helsley, P | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1M.Winn, SS | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2A.Burleson, RF | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2V.Scott, PR | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2V.Scott, CF | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3N.Arenado, 3B | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
4L.Baker, DH | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
5B.Donovan, 2B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
6P.Goldschmidt, 1B | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
7L.Nootbaar, CF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7L.Nootbaar, RF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8T.Pham, LF | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9P.Pages, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9M.Carpenter, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Padres vs. Cardinals Odds Comparison
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Padres at Cardinals Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Padres 4-3 | o4.5+110 | u4.5-145 |
Cardinals 0-0 | o3.5-120 | u3.5-106 |