Padres vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - August 28, 2024

Padres at Cardinals

11:45 pm • BSMW
3 - 4
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Andre Pallante logoA.PallanteSt. Louis Cardinals logo3.788-8
Joe Musgrove logoJ.MusgroveSan Diego Padres logo3.886-5

Padres at Cardinals Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres
4-3
-1.5+135
o8-111
-125
Cardinals
0-0
+1.5-163
u8-108
+105
location pinWednesday 11:45 p.m.
August 28, 2024
Busch StadiumSt. Louis
Padres vs. Cardinals Expert Picks
Picks  Office
Picks Office
77d ago
Last 30d: 89-113-3 (-31.5u)
Under 8.5-125
0.8u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Joe Musgrove pitches for the Padres and has been really good in his last three starts, accumulating a 0.57 ERA and 0.57 WHIP across 15.2 innings of work, allowing just one run in that time. Musgrove has been consistent all season long, and with the control he's had, along with his ability to get outs, this should help suppress a Cardinals offense that has struggled to consistently produce against right-handed pitchers all season, as they bat just .243 overall this season. On the other side, Andre Pallante starts for the Cardinals. Not quite as sharp as Musgrove, Pallante has been prosperous in his last three outings, returning a 1.83 ERA and 1.02 WHIP across 19.2 innings. His ability to work through lineups, minimizing damage continuously presents a strong case for the under, especially against a Padres lineup that outside of recent scoring outbursts has mostly struggled. The bullpens of both teams also favor a low-scoring game. The Padres' bullpen has been especially great, recording a 2.05 ERA and 0.91 WHIP over its last three games. While the Cardinals bullpen is not quite stifling, they still sport a respectable 3.47 ERA and 1.24 WHIP in that same span. Considering both bullpens are performing well, they will more than likely keep the score down late in the game. That said, trends also point to the under. The Cardinals have gone under in seven of their last ten on grass, while the Padres represented an under trend on the road. This series has also gone under in many recent games between the two franchises.
JB Bets
JB Bets
77d ago
Last 30d: 68-73-0 (+2.5u)
SD -125
1u
Prop Hunter
Prop Hunter
77d ago
Last 30d: 24-44-0 (-15.0u)
J.Merrill o1.5 Total Bases+110
1u
Sandy  Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
77d ago
Last 30d: 121-116-0 (+10.4u)
Under 4.5 (F5)-124
1.24u
Tanner McGrath
Tanner McGrath
77d ago
Last 30d: 59-63-4 (-11.5u)
Under 8.5-105
1u
Kyle Just Bets
Kyle Just Bets
77d ago
Last 30d: 20-22-1 (-1.9u)
J.Musgrove o1.5 BB-135
1u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
77d ago
Last 30d: 89-113-3 (-31.5u)
STL +110
1.1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice While it applies to the big picture, even Joe Musgrove being tremendous since returning but he has had a 5.62 ERA on the road this season versus Pallante's 3.95 at home. On the other hand, Pallante seems to have induced weak contact, considering that opposing hitters against him produced just an 87.4 mph exit velocity and a .340 expected slugging percentage. This could end up clogging up the San Diego lineup. While Musgrove is extremely strikeout-heavy, Pallante's groundballing style (0.5° launch angle) is a great fit for Busch Stadium, given its history of depressant nature on home runs. The .239 xBA and .293 xwOBA off Pallante show how well he can keep evil away from bats-a huge differentiator against that Padres lineup. The Cardinals' recent offensive surge, particularly against right-handed pitchers, should not be overlooked. Handed a slight uptick in batting average (.261) against righties, with a lineup that's supposed to include power threats like the likely returning Nolan Arenado, the Cardinals should be in a solid place to capitalize on any miscue Musgrove makes. They've been OK in these spots as a whole lately, too, taking five of their last six following a home loss when an underdog at home. Combining this with Pallante's recent form and home-field advantage, this could be a great pick as St. Louis looks to stop the Padres' streak and have great value.
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
78d ago
Last 30d: 49-72-3 (-9.0u)
Under 8.5-108
0.5u
Bet to -122 or 8 (-103)
Boomer Betz
Boomer Betz
78d ago
Last 30d: 160-161-1 (+19.5u)
STL +112
1.12u

PRO Insights

Padres logo

Padres

SD Insights
  • Padres logoPadres left-handed hitters have struck out just 19% against RHP since last season -- fourth lowest in MLB. Cardinals have a strikeout rate of just 20% vs left-handed batters since last season -- third lowest in MLB.
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Cardinals logo

Cardinals

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    Padres vs. Cardinals Previews & Analysis

    • Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card article feature image

      Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card

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      Aug 28, 2024 UTC
    • PRO Signals Popping for Padres vs. Cardinals article feature image

      PRO Signals Popping for Padres vs. Cardinals

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    Padres vs. Cardinals Notes

    Prop Odds Comparison

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    Line Movement Tracker

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    Padres vs. Cardinals Public Betting Percentages

    68%

    Bets%

    32%

    Money%

    Matchup History

    Against the Spread (ATS) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Cardinals
    80-8242-3938-4328-4951-33
    Padres
    82-7835-4547-3343-5737-19

    Over/Under History

    overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
    Cardinals
    74-83-537-42-237-41-339-3834-45-5
    Padres
    81-74-544-34-237-40-351-44-528-28

    Straight-Up (ML) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Cardinals
    83-7944-3739-4239-3843-41
    Padres
    93-6945-3547-3358-4231-25

    Last 5 Matchups

    dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
    Aug 27thSDL 5-7+1.5 LO 8SD +124
    Aug 26thSDL 4-7-O 9SD -120
    Aug 25th@MINW 3-2+1.5 WU 8.5STL +120
    Aug 24th@MINL 0-6+1.5 LU 7.5MIN +120
    Aug 24th@MINW 6-1+1.5 WU 8.5STL +130

    Cardinals vs. Padres Injury Updates

    Cardinals Injuries

    • Sonny Gray
      P

      Gray is out with arm

      Out

    • Willson Contreras
      C

      Contreras is out with finger

      Out

    • Drew Rom
      P

      Rom is out with biceps

      Out

    Padres Injuries

    • Mason McCoy
      IF

      McCoy is out with back

      Out

    Padres vs. Cardinals Box Score
    Padres Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Joe Musgrove logoRJ.Musgrove, P94633
    Sean Reynolds logoRS.Reynolds, P28120
    Jason Adam logoRJ.Adam, P21110
    Robert Suarez logoRR.Suarez, P210.211
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Luis Arraez logo1L.Arraez, DH4-5100
    Tyler Wade logo1T.Wade, PR0-0000
    Tyler Wade logo1T.Wade, DH0-0000
    Jurickson Profar logo2J.Profar, LF0-4000
    Jake Cronenworth logo3J.Cronenworth, 1B1-4100
    Manny Machado logo4M.Machado, 3B2-5001
    Xander Bogaerts logo5X.Bogaerts, 2B1-4000
    Jackson Merrill logo6J.Merrill, CF0-3000
    David Peralta logo7D.Peralta, RF1-3000
    Donovan Solano logo7D.Solano, PH0-1000
    Bryce Johnson logo7B.Johnson, RF0-0000
    Kyle Higashioka logo8K.Higashioka, C1-4111
    Mason McCoy logo9M.McCoy, SS0-3000
    Cardinals Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Andre Pallante logoRA.Pallante, P1045.232
    Matthew Liberatore logoLM.Liberatore, P130.210
    Andrew Kittredge logoRA.Kittredge, P50.200
    JoJo Romero logoLJ.Romero, P16111
    Ryan Helsley logoRR.Helsley, P17120
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Masyn Winn logo1M.Winn, SS2-4100
    Alec Burleson logo2A.Burleson, RF1-2100
    Victor Scott logo2V.Scott, PR1-1000
    Victor Scott logo2V.Scott, CF1-1000
    Nolan Arenado logo3N.Arenado, 3B2-5101
    Luken Baker logo4L.Baker, DH1-4101
    Brendan Donovan logo5B.Donovan, 2B0-4001
    Paul Goldschmidt logo6P.Goldschmidt, 1B3-4001
    Lars Nootbaar logo7L.Nootbaar, CF1-4000
    Lars Nootbaar logo7L.Nootbaar, RF1-4000
    Tommy Pham logo8T.Pham, LF0-4000
    Pedro Pages logo9P.Pages, C0-3000
    Matt Carpenter logo9M.Carpenter, PH0-1000

    Padres vs. Cardinals Odds Comparison

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    Padres at Cardinals Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Padres
    4-3
    o4.5+110
    u4.5-145
    Cardinals
    0-0
    o3.5-120
    u3.5-106