Padres vs. Cardinals Odds & Betting Predictions - August 27, 2024

Padres at Cardinals

11:45 pm • BSMW

San Diego Padres

4-11

7 - 5

St. Louis Cardinals

8-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Mikolas			5.35	10-11
D.Cease			3.47	14-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Padres 4-11	-1.5+114	o8-119	-148
Cardinals 8-8	+1.5-136	u8-102	+124

Tuesday 11:45 p.m.

August 27, 2024

Busch StadiumSt. Louis

Under 8+100

0.5u

Bet to -108

SD -127

0.39u

SD -135

SD -0.5 (F5)+100

The SD batting splits can’t line up any better. They’re batting .282 away & .275 vs RHP while also being 4th in BA in the L7 days. They will face RHP M. Mikolas who is coming off a good start vs MIL (who can’t hit right now ranked 22nd in BA L7 days) but has struggled vs good bats (LAD, KC, CHC). His splits across the board are not good allowing a .273 BA home, .287 at night, .277 vs lefties, & .280 vs righties. On the flip, STL bats have been mid at best & they will see D. Cease who hasn’t allowed more than 3 ER since July 2nd. He also pitches better away allowing only a .189 BA & is great vs both sides of the plate (.199 vs lefties, .200 vs righties). STL does have a good bullpen that is healthy, so I’m avoiding that angle & playing the F5.

D.Cease u2.5 Earned Runs-140

DraftKings

SD -136

0.92u

SD -141

0.71u

#5starsmlb

Featured Insight
Padres have struck out just 15% this month -- lowest in MLB. Cardinals RPs have a strikeout rate of just 20% this month -- second lowest in MLB.

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The Padres are 67-54 (.554) after a road win since the 2022 season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

Jake Cronenworth has an OPS of just .712 since the 2022 season -- 12th worst in MLB-- 11th Percentile. Ryan Helsley has allowed an OPS of just .512 (610 PAs) since the 2022 season -- fourth best among qualified RPs-- 98th Percentile.

Dylan Cease has allowed an OBP of just .267 (614 PAs) this season -- tied for seventh best among qualified SPs-- 90th Percentile. He allowed an OBP of .332 (783 PAs) last season -- third worst among qualified SPs-- sixth Percentile.

Dylan Cease has a strikeout rate of 37% (88 SO in 238 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season -- best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% -- 100th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Cardinals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Cardinals are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Cardinals are 38-43 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Cardinals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 37 of Cardinals' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	80-82	42-39	38-43	28-49	51-33
Padres	82-78	35-45	47-33	43-57	37-19

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Cardinals	74-83-5	37-42-2	37-41-3	39-38	34-45-5
Padres	81-74-5	44-34-2	37-40-3	51-44-5	28-28

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Cardinals	83-79	44-37	39-42	39-38	43-41
Padres	93-69	45-35	47-33	58-42	31-25

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 26th	SD	L 4-7	-	O 9	SD -120
Aug 25th	@MIN	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 8.5	STL +120
Aug 24th	@MIN	L 0-6	+1.5 L	U 7.5	MIN +120
Aug 24th	@MIN	W 6-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	STL +130
Aug 22nd	MIL	W 3-0	+1.5 W	U 8	STL +108

Joe Musgrove
P
Musgrove is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Cease, P	96	4.1	4	4
RB.Hoeing, P	12	0.2	0	1
LY.Matsui, P	18	1	1	0
RJ.Estrada, P	8	1	0	0
RJ.Adam, P	18	1	3	0
LT.Scott, P	15	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 1B	3-5	1	0	1
2J.Profar, LF	0-4	0	0	1
3J.Cronenworth, DH	1-3	0	0	1
4M.Machado, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
5X.Bogaerts, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
6J.Merrill, CF	2-4	1	0	0
7D.Peralta, RF	1-4	1	0	0
7B.Johnson, RF	0-0	0	0	0
8L.Campusano, C	1-4	1	0	1
9M.McCoy, SS	1-3	2	0	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Mikolas, P	93	5.2	3	4
LJ.King, P	27	1	0	2
RA.Kittredge, P	10	1.1	1	0
RR.O'Brien, P	13	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Winn, SS	2-4	1	0	0
2A.Burleson, LF	1-3	1	0	0
2T.Pham, PH	0-2	0	0	0
2T.Pham, LF	0-2	0	0	0
3L.Baker, DH	0-3	0	0	1
4B.Donovan, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
5I.Herrera, C	1-5	0	0	0
6L.Nootbaar, RF	1-4	1	0	1
6N.Arenado, PH	0-1	0	0	0
7P.Goldschmidt, 1B	3-3	1	1	2
8J.Fermin, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9V.Scott, CF	1-4	0	0	0