Orioles vs. Nationals Odds & Betting Predictions - May 16, 2026

Orioles at Nationals

8:05 pm • MASN

Baltimore Orioles

Washington Nationals

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Cavalli			4.02	1-2
C.Bassitt			5.21	3-2

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Orioles 20-25	-1.5	-1.5+143	o10-110	-109
Nationals 22-23	u9.5	+1.5-170	u10-110	-110

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

May 16, 2026

Nationals ParkWashington

84°Fahrenheit

0%Rain

10Wind

C.Cavalli o4.5 Ks-114

1.3u

#EV 9.13%

WSH -120 (F5)

While I don’t really trust Cavalli for WSH, this is more of a fade against Bassitt for BAL. His ERA sits at 5.21 and his xERA isn’t that much better at 5.01. While he doesn’t get hit hard, he still gives up a lot of hits and is even worse on the road. He has a road ERA of 8.27 compared to a 2.91 home ERA. He also struggles against lefties which WSH has a good amount of lefties in their lineup so could be a struggle for Bassitt today

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+410

0.25u

S.Basallo o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-110

1.1u

D.Lile o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-150

$1.50

BAL -110

C.Mead o0.5 HR+700

0.1u

BAL o4.5-130

1.3u

Over 9.5-117

0.59u

Bet to 10 (-110)

WSH -120 (F5)

0.6u

(FD) See Saturday's slate breakdown. (Good to around -130).

BAL -110

0.55u

Our 4 MLB Best Bets for Saturday Afternoon
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+350, +400, +525, +750 PRO Props
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See more MLB Coverage

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Nationals are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Nationals are 18-7 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nationals' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Nationals' 20 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	26-19	8-12	18-7	1-1	25-18
Orioles	20-25	11-13	9-12	11-14	9-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Nationals	28-15-2	13-6-1	15-9-1	2-0	26-15-2
Orioles	26-19	12-12	14-7	13-12	13-7

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Nationals	22-23	7-13	15-10	1-1	21-22
Orioles	20-25	12-12	8-13	13-12	7-13

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 15th	BAL	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 9.5	WSH +119
May 14th	@CIN	L 1-15	+1.5 L	O 7.5	CIN +134
May 13th	@CIN	W 8-7	+1.5 W	O 9.5	WSH +151
May 12th	@CIN	W 10-4	+1.5 W	O 9.5	WSH +123
May 10th	@MIA	L 2-5	+1.5 L	U 8.5	MIA +115

Heston Kjerstad
LF
Kjerstad is out with hamstring
Out
Jordan Westburg
3B
Westburg is out with elbow
Out
Jackson Holliday
2B
Holliday is out with hand
Out
Dylan Beavers
RF
Dylan Beavers scratched Tuesday.
Out

Trevor Williams
SP
Williams is out with elbow
Out
Josiah Gray
SP
Josiah Gray (elbow) scratched Tuesday.
Out
DJ Herz
SP
Herz is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RC.Bassitt, P		3-2	5.21	1.737	6.16

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1G.Henderson, SS	.202	.256	.399	9
2T.Ward, LF	.265	.425	.374	1
3A.Rutschman, DH	.278	.325	.528	6
4P.Alonso, 1B	.213	.304	.414	8
5S.Basallo, C	.279	.343	.475	5
6T.O'Neill, RF	.169	.316	.231	1
7C.Cowser, CF	.169	.270	.195	0
8C.Mayo, 3B	.179	.250	.321	4
9J.Jackson, 2B	.241	.259	.406	6

PITCHER		W-L	ERA	WHIP	K/9
RC.Cavalli, P		1-2	4.02	1.587	9.82

HITTERS	AVG	OBP	SLG	HR
1J.Wood, RF	.234	.379	.509	12
2L.Garcia, DH	.267	.297	.427	3
3C.Mead, 1B	.231	.352	.440	4
4C.Abrams, SS	.291	.387	.525	9
5D.Lile, LF	.274	.335	.463	7
6B.House, 3B	.216	.271	.373	6
7J.Vivas, 2B	.250	.344	.300	0
8K.Ruiz, C	.207	.224	.415	3
9J.Young, CF	.213	.263	.307	3