Mets vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - April 2, 2023

Mets at Marlins

5:40 pm • MLB Network

New York Mets

7-6

5 - 1

Miami Marlins

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
T.Rogers			4.00	1-2
K.Senga			2.98	12-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-6	-1.5+140	o8-110	-120
Marlins 0-0	+1.5-172	u8-110	+100

Sunday 5:40 p.m.

April 02, 2023

loanDepot parkMiami

K.Senga o4.5 Ks+104

0.52u

22% edge in Action Labs 👻 🍴

Under 7.5+100

0.5u

Bet365 12:37.

K.Senga o4.5 Ks+110

0.55u

Bet365 12:37.

Over 7.5-115

0.58u

P.Alonso o0.5 HR+500

0.1u

Bet at Bet365. Betting 0.1U on 6 hitters for April 2.

MIA +103

0.97u

Under 4.5 (F5)-120

Sunday's MLB Props: Target Perez on Sunday Night Baseball
Doug Ziefel•
Apr 2, 2023 UTC

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The Mets are 59-62 (.488) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2021 season -- 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .418.

The Marlins are just 20-27 (.426) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2021 season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Marlins were just 33-65 (.337) when underdogs in 2022 -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

The Mets were 5-54 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning in 2022 -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .046.

Pete Alonso slugged .520 last season -- 11th best in MLB-- 92nd Percentile. Trevor Rogers allowed a SLG of .520 vs right-handed batters last season -- fifth worst among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- sixth Percentile.

Yuli Gurriel had an OPS of just .647 last season -- 10th worst in MLB-- seventh Percentile. Max Scherzer allowed an OPS of just .574 (565 PAs) last season -- 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 93rd Percentile.

Trevor Rogers threw his changeup 30% of the time (143/477) on the first pitch of at-bats in 2022 -- 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total CH; League Avg: 10% -- 99th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	77-85	35-46	42-39	2-15	75-70
Mets	86-76	44-37	42-39	52-45	33-30

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Marlins	85-66-11	53-20-8	32-46-3	11-5-1	74-61-10
Mets	81-76-5	42-39	39-37-5	46-46-5	34-29

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Marlins	62-100	30-51	32-49	4-13	58-87
Mets	89-73	46-35	43-38	60-37	28-35

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 1st	NYM	L 2-6	+1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM -114
Mar 31st	NYM	W 2-1	+1.5 W	U 8	MIA -110
Mar 30th	NYM	L 3-5	+1.5 L	O 7	NYM +108
Mar 26th	@NYM	L 3-3	-	-	-
Mar 26th	WSH	W 2-2	-	-	-

Sixto Sanchez
P
Sanchez is out with shoulder
Out
Sandy Alcantara
P
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Jesus Luzardo
P
Luzardo is out with back
Out
Max Meyer
P
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
Eury Perez
P
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Paul Blackburn
P
Blackburn is out with hand
Out
Ronny Mauricio
IF
Mauricio is out with knee
Out
Christian Scott
P
Scott is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RK.Senga, P	88	5.1	8	1
RD.Santana, P	11	0.2	2	0
RJ.Curtiss, P	14	1	1	0
RS. Nogosek, P	35	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Pham, CF	3-4	1	1	3
1T.Pham, LF	3-4	1	1	3
2S.Marte, RF	0-5	0	0	0
3F.Lindor, SS	0-2	1	0	0
4P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
5M.Canha, DH	1-3	0	0	0
6J.McNeil, 2B	1-4	0	0	1
7E. Escobar, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8T.Nido, C	0-4	0	0	0
9T. Locastro, LF	0-1	2	0	0
9B.Nimmo, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9B.Nimmo, CF	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LT.Rogers, P	84	4.1	4	3
RH.Brazoban, P	36	2.2	2	1
LT.Scott, P	13	1	1	0
RM.Barnes, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	2-4	1	0
2J.Soler, DH	1-4	0	1
3J.Chisholm, CF	0-2	0	0
4A.Garcia, RF	0-3	0	0
5Y.Gurriel, 1B	1-4	0	0
6J.Sanchez, LF	0-4	0	0
7J.Berti, 3B	0-4	0	0
8J.Stallings, C	0-2	0	0
9J.Wendle, SS	0-2	0	0