Mets vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - August 29, 2024

Mets at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • SNY

New York Mets

7-12

5 - 8

Arizona Diamondbacks

11-8

pitcher		team	era	w-l
E.Rodriguez			5.04	3-4
L.Severino			3.91	11-7

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Mets 7-12	+1.5	+1.5-191	o9-105	+105
Diamondbacks 11-8	u8.5	-1.5+160	u9-115	-125

Thursday 1:40 a.m.

August 29, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

L.Severino u17.5 Outs-120

0.83u

ARI -120

L.Severino o1.5 BB-160

MGM

J.Martinez o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-105

Featured Insight
Mets hitters have a hard-hit rate of 41% this season -- fifth best in MLB. Opponents have a hard-hit rate of 40% against the Diamondbacks RPs this season -- tied for fourth worst in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks have answered-back in 43% of innings after an opponent scores this month -- second highest in MLB. Mets have allowed a run 44% of the time after an opposing score this month -- second highest in MLB.

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Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Aug 28, 2024 UTC

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The Mets are 13-7 (.650) when tied entering the 7th inning this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

32% of Lourdes Gurriel Jr. strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- 10th highest in MLB-- 93rd Percentile. 48% of Luis Severino's strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season -- sixth highest among qualified SPs-- 92nd Percentile.

31% of Corbin Carroll strikeouts are looking since last season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 36% of Adam Ottavino strikeouts are looking since last season -- ninth highest among qualified RPs-- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 10-2 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Diamondbacks' 7 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	15-4	5-2	10-2	3-1	11-3
Mets	7-12	2-7	5-5	4-10	3-2

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	11-7-1	4-3	7-4-1	2-2	8-5-1
Mets	8-10-1	4-4-1	4-6	6-7-1	2-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	11-8	5-2	6-6	3-1	7-7
Mets	7-12	3-6	4-6	5-9	2-3

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 28th	NYM	L 3-8	+1.5 L	O 8	NYM -110
Aug 25th	@BOS	W 7-5	+1.5 W	O 9	ARI +110
Aug 24th	@BOS	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 9.5	ARI +114
Aug 23rd	@BOS	W 12-2	+1.5 W	O 9.5	ARI +106
Aug 21st	@MIA	W 10-8	-1.5 W	O 9	ARI -170

Corbin Burnes
SP
Burnes is out with elbow
Out
Lourdes Gurriel
LF
Gurriel is out with knee
Out
Blake Walston
SP
Walston is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Locklear
1B
Locklear is out with elbow
Out

Cristian Mena
SP
Mena is doubtful with shoulder
Doubtful

Francisco Lindor
SS
Lindor is questionable with hand
Questionable
Tylor Megill
SP
Megill is out with elbow
Out
Justin Hagenman
SP
Hagenman is out with ribs
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Severino, P	100	4.2	9	4
RH.Brazoban, P	13	1	0	0
LD.Young, P	9	0.2	0	0
RR.Garrett, P	4	0.2	1	0
RP.Maton, P	11	0.2	1	1
RE.Diaz, P	21	0.1	0	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1F.Lindor, SS	1-4	0	0	0
2M.Vientos, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
3S.Marte, RF	2-4	1	0	0
3T.Taylor, RF	-
4B.Nimmo, LF	0-3	1	0	0
5P.Alonso, 1B	0-3	0	0	1
6J.Martinez, DH	1-3	1	0	1
7J.Iglesias, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
8F.Alvarez, C	1-3	1	0	1
9H.Bader, CF	1-3	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LE.Rodriguez, P	89	5.1	5	5
RK.Ginkel, P	23	1.2	2	0
RR.Thompson, P	14	1	1	0
RJ.Martinez, P	1	0.1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Carroll, RF	2-5	2	2	5
2J.McCarthy, CF	1-5	1	0	0
3J.Pederson, DH	1-3	1	1	2
4J.Bell, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
4K.Newman, 2B	-
5L.Gurriel, LF	1-2	2	0	0
6A.Del Castillo, C	2-4	0	0	0
7E.Suarez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
8L.Guillorme, 2B	1-3	0	0	1
8P.Smith, PH	0-0	1	0	0
8P.Smith, 1B	0-0	1	0	0
9G.Perdomo, SS	0-2	1	0	0