Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 21, 2024
Diamondbacks at Marlins
10:40 pm • BSFLStarting Pitchers
| pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 |  | 6.53 | 2-7 | |
 |  | 6.23 | 8-7 |
Diamondbacks at Marlins Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks 0-0 | -1.5-105 | o9-105 | -170 | |
Marlins 0-0 | +1.5-115 | u9-115 | +142 | |
loanDepot parkMiami
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Expert Picks
Prop Hunter
84d ago
Last 30d: 24-39-0 (-11.6u)
J.Pederson o1.5 Total Bases+110
1u
J.Burger o1.5 Total Bases-115
1u
J.Burger o3.5 Total Bases+230
0.99u
Charlie DiSturco
84d ago
Last 30d: 50-67-2 (-0.5u)
J.Montgomery o4.5 Ks-110
0.28u
#tailing @PropBetGuy l meant to split .5u for ref
J.Montgomery o5.5 Ks+200
0.25u
Split with a small ladder @PropBetGuy
Prop Bet Guy
84d ago
Last 30d: 74-55-0 (+12.4u)
J.Montgomery o4.5 Ks-110
1.1u
Montgomery seems to be turning a corner, finally, after no spring training. His velocity was up a tick in his last start, resulting in 22 whiffs and a 32% CSW% (grain of salt though, it was the Rockies at home). But he’s been missing more bats the last three starts in general.
Marlins starting 6 hitters who are or profile with a 24%+ K% vs lefties. I’ll go against the grain here and buy low on Montgomery.
Ryan Sura
84d ago
Last 30d: 100-108-5 (-12.1u)
A.Del Castillo o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+105
$52.50
ARI -162
$0.62
Action NCAA Baseball
84d ago
Last 30d: 0-3-0 (-3.7u)
MIA +140
1u
Sandy Plashkes
85d ago
Last 30d: 117-112-0 (+10.2u)
ARI o2.5 Team Total (F5)-104
$100.00
2 units
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Previews & Analysis
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Notes
Keys to the Game
The Diamondbacks are 16-13 (.552) when their opponents score in the first inning this season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .354.
Matchup Contrasts
Joc Pederson has an OPS of .958 this season -- ninth best among hitters with at least 187 total PA's-- 97th Percentile. Roddery Munoz has allowed an OPS of .873 (350 PAs) this season -- third worst among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP-- first Percentile.
Jesus Sanchez has struck out in 36% of PA's over the last two weeks -- 13th highest in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of 42% vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 94th Percentile.
Today's Starting Pitchers
Roddery Munoz has allowed a slugging percentage of .533 (162 Total Bases / 304 ABs) this season -- 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .404 -- first Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has a strike rate of 74% (142/191) over the last 14 days -- highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 64% -- 100th Percentile.
Roddery Munoz has allowed an OPS of .922 (104 PA's) versus the bottom of the order this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .649 -- 0 Percentile.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
- Marlins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Marlins are 42-39 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Marlins' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 53 of Marlins' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 77-85 | 35-46 | 42-39 | 2-15 | 75-70 |
| Diamondbacks | 82-80 | 37-44 | 45-36 | 37-48 | 43-31 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 85-66-11 | 53-20-8 | 32-46-3 | 11-5-1 | 74-61-10 |
| Diamondbacks | 92-64-6 | 50-29-2 | 42-35-4 | 50-33-2 | 41-29-4 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marlins | 62-100 | 30-51 | 32-49 | 4-13 | 58-87 |
| Diamondbacks | 89-73 | 44-37 | 45-36 | 52-33 | 35-39 |
Last 5 Matchups
Marlins vs. Diamondbacks Injury Updates
Marlins Injuries
- Sandy AlcantaraP
Alcantara is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Jesus LuzardoP
Luzardo is out with back
Out
- Max MeyerP
Meyer is out with shoulder
Out
- Eury PerezP
Perez is out with elbow
Out
Diamondbacks Injuries
- Ryne NelsonP
Nelson is out with shoulder
Out
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Box Score
Diamondbacks Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 88 | 5.2 | 4 | 6 | |
 | 7 | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | |
 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 12 | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | |
 | 31 | 1.2 | 4 | 1 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
| 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-5 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Marlins Player Stats| PITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 73 | 3.1 | 3 | 3 | |
 | 35 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
 | 30 | 1.1 | 2 | 2 | |
 | 13 | 0.1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 20 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
 | 28 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2-5 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 2-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
 | 1-4 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Diamondbacks vs. Marlins Odds Comparison
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Diamondbacks at Marlins Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Diamondbacks 0-0 | o4.5-140 | u4.5+106 |
Marlins 0-0 | o3.5-120 | u3.5-106 |