Marlins vs. Orioles Odds & Betting Predictions - July 14, 2023

Marlins at Orioles

11:05 pm • MASN2

Miami Marlins

12-15

2 - 5

Baltimore Orioles

10-17

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Kremer			4.12	13-5
S.Alcantara			4.14	7-12

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Marlins 12-15	+1.5-175	o8-118	+115
Orioles 10-17	-1.5+145	u8-104	-136

Friday 11:05 p.m.

July 14, 2023

Oriole Park at Camden YardsBaltimore

BAL -1.5+160

1.6u

BAL -130

$76.92

Everyone and their mother is on this

BAL -142

0.7u

BAL -118

0.85u

Available on FanDuel. My model typically really likes the Marlins, so I was a bit surprised to see value on the Orioles here. But Dean Kremer has been really, really solid in 10 starts since he started throwing more cutters. He has a 3.75 SIERA in that time with impressive plate-discipline numbers. I haven't seen enough from Sandy Alcantara to expect that he'll magically turn things around in the second half. My model has the Orioles closer to 60% to win versus their implied odds of 54.1%, pushing me toward locking them in.

D.Kremer o4.5 Ks+108

1.08u

S.Alcantara o4.5 Ks-128

0.78u

MIA -106 (F5)

0.53u

Bet to -108

MIA +110

0.5u

Bet to +106

Over 8-115

0.58u

Bet to -123 or 8.5 (-105)

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Orioles are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Orioles are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Orioles are 6-10 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Orioles' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Orioles' 11 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	10-17	4-7	6-10	4-11	6-6
Marlins	14-13	8-8	6-5	0-2	14-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Orioles	13-11-3	8-1-2	5-10-1	9-4-2	4-7-1
Marlins	18-9	10-6	8-3	1-1	17-8

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Orioles	10-17	5-6	5-11	5-10	5-7
Marlins	12-15	8-8	4-7	2-0	10-15

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jul 9th	@MIN	W 15-2	+1.5 W	O 9	BAL +125
Jul 8th	@MIN	W 6-2	+1.5 W	U 8	BAL +104
Jul 8th	@MIN	W 3-1	+1.5 W	U 8.5	BAL +140
Jul 6th	@NYY	W 14-1	-1.5 W	O 8.5	BAL -127
Jul 5th	@NYY	W 6-3	-1.5 W	U 9	BAL -105

Braxton Garrett
SP
Garrett is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Ryan Weathers
SP
Weathers is out with arm
Out
Eury Perez
SP
Perez is out with elbow
Out

Albert Suarez
RP
Suarez is out with shoulder
Out
Tyler O'Neill
RF
O'Neill is out with neck
Out
Trevor Rogers
SP
Rogers is out with knee
Out
Kyle Bradish
SP
Bradish is out with elbow
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out
Tyler Wells
SP
Wells is out with elbow
Out

Chayce McDermott
SP
McDermott is questionable with back
Questionable

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Alcantara, P	99	6	5	2
LR.Garcia, P	15	0.1	0	0
RB.Hoeing, P	21	1.2	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Arraez, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
2J.Soler, DH	1-4	1	1	1
3B.De La Cruz, LF	1-4	0	0	1
4J.Sanchez, RF	2-4	0	0	0
5G.Cooper, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6J. Segura, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
7J.Wendle, SS	1-3	1	0	0
8J.Stallings, C	0-2	0	0	0
8Y.Gurriel, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9D.Myers, CF	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Kremer, P	97	6	8	1
RB.Baker, P	16	1	0	0
RY.Cano, P	16	1	1	1
RF.Bautista, P	11	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Henderson, SS	0-3	0	0	0
1G.Henderson, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
2A.Rutschman, C	1-4	0	0	0
3A.Santander, DH	1-4	0	0	0
4R.O'Hearn, 1B	2-2	0	0	0
4R.Mountcastle, PH	0-1	0	0	0
4R.Mountcastle, 1B	0-1	0	0	0
5A.Hays, LF	1-4	1	0	0
6C.Mullins, CF	3-4	2	1	1
7A. Hicks, RF	0-4	0	0	0
8A.Frazier, 2B	3-4	2	2	4
9J.Westburg, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
9J.Mateo, SS	0-0	0	0	0