Mariners vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 22, 2024

Boost

Canzone is 6/38 since the beginning of July, and is under in 8/L14 starts. Gets Flaherty tonight (.213 average allowed to lefties). And he’s back to back with Rojas, the only two natural LHH, making him a prime target for a LH reliever (he’d be pulled for Robles - Canzone is 0-13 vs lefties). And against power pitchers this season, he has 5 hits in 43 PAs. Play it to -105.

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice One level that may seem reasonable is that it pits quality pitchers against each other: Logan Gilbert for Seattle and Jack Flaherty for Los Angeles. But there are strong pointers to the fact that this total could be overshot. Gilbert, though effective with a solid ERA, has concerning underlying metrics. Coupled with his 41.6% hard-hit rate, this flyball tendency produced a 99.8% Barrel%, which leaves everything out against a nasty Dodgers lineup. The return of Max Muncy, who went yard in his first game back, adds another power threat to an already dangerous group that includes Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman. On the other side, Jack Flaherty has shown a few chinks in his armor lately while still maintaining a strong ERA of 3.07 and WHIP of 1.01. He's allowed multiple home runs in back-to-back games, and though inconsistent, the Mariners do have the power to take advantage of that, especially when Julio Rodríguez leads the charge. On the other side, the Mariners have struggled with strikeouts this year, as they lead the league with a 28.3 percent K rate against right-handed pitching. If they can make contact, however, they've shown an ability to put runs on the board, especially in a hitter-friendly environment like Dodger Stadium. With both offenses having a chance to take advantage of the pitchers' vulnerabilities, over 7.5 holds good value, especially before any late adjustments bump up the line higher. Flaherty has some solid metrics, but not against the Dodgers offense, who won't ever be fully contained—or at worst, Seattle will chip in enough to help send it over.

Flat to -115