Mariners vs. Dodgers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 22, 2024
Mariners at Dodgers
2:10 am • MLB NetworkStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
J.Flaherty | 2.95 | 7-5 | ||
L.Gilbert | 3.24 | 9-12 |
Mariners at Dodgers Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Mariners 0-0 | +1.5 | +1.5-142 | o7.5-120 | +160 |
Dodgers 11-5 | u7.5 | -1.5+120 | u7.5-102 | -191 |
Thursday 2:10 a.m.
August 22, 2024Dodger StadiumLos Angeles
Mariners vs. Dodgers Expert Picks
Firefighter Bets
84d ago
Last 30d: 66-87-0 (-25.7u)
J.Flaherty o7.5 Ks-115
1u
G.Lux o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+100
1u
Prop Bet Guy
84d ago
Last 30d: 76-59-0 (+9.5u)
D.Canzone u0.5 Hits+105
1.05u
Canzone is 6/38 since the beginning of July, and is under in 8/L14 starts. Gets Flaherty tonight (.213 average allowed to lefties). And he’s back to back with Rojas, the only two natural LHH, making him a prime target for a LH reliever (he’d be pulled for Robles - Canzone is 0-13 vs lefties). And against power pitchers this season, he has 5 hits in 43 PAs.
Play it to -105.
Tanner McGrath
84d ago
Last 30d: 59-63-4 (-11.5u)
Over 7.5-120
1u
Prop Hunter
84d ago
Last 30d: 24-44-0 (-15.0u)
S.Ohtani o1.5 Total Bases-120
1.2u
YBK Picks.com
84d ago
Last 30d: 48-46-1 (+2.2u)
LAD -1-130
1.54u
Scott Rickenbach
84d ago
Last 30d: 74-64-2 (-1.0u)
SEA +1.5-145
1u
The Degenerates
84d ago
Last 30d: 59-63-1 (-9.7u)
Under 7.5-109
1.09u
Kyle Just Bets
84d ago
Last 30d: 20-22-1 (-1.9u)
L.Gilbert o5.5 Ks-125
0.8u
Grant Neiffer
84d ago
Last 30d: 49-55-2 (-1.6u)
M.Betts o0.5 HR+600
0.25u
BJ Cunningham
84d ago
Last 30d: 62-53-8 (+4.7u)
SEA +158
1u
Picks Office
84d ago
Last 30d: 89-113-3 (-31.5u)
Over 7.5-110
0.91u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
One level that may seem reasonable is that it pits quality pitchers against each other: Logan Gilbert for Seattle and Jack Flaherty for Los Angeles. But there are strong pointers to the fact that this total could be overshot. Gilbert, though effective with a solid ERA, has concerning underlying metrics. Coupled with his 41.6% hard-hit rate, this flyball tendency produced a 99.8% Barrel%, which leaves everything out against a nasty Dodgers lineup. The return of Max Muncy, who went yard in his first game back, adds another power threat to an already dangerous group that includes Mookie Betts and Freddie Freeman.
On the other side, Jack Flaherty has shown a few chinks in his armor lately while still maintaining a strong ERA of 3.07 and WHIP of 1.01.
He's allowed multiple home runs in back-to-back games, and though inconsistent, the Mariners do have the power to take advantage of that, especially when Julio Rodríguez leads the charge. On the other side, the Mariners have struggled with strikeouts this year, as they lead the league with a 28.3 percent K rate against right-handed pitching. If they can make contact, however, they've shown an ability to put runs on the board, especially in a hitter-friendly environment like Dodger Stadium. With both offenses having a chance to take advantage of the pitchers' vulnerabilities, over 7.5 holds good value, especially before any late adjustments bump up the line higher. Flaherty has some solid metrics, but not against the Dodgers offense, who won't ever be fully contained—or at worst, Seattle will chip in enough to help send it over.
Sean Zerillo
84d ago
Last 30d: 49-72-3 (-9.0u)
Over 7.5-110
0.45u
Flat to -115
Mariners vs. Dodgers Previews & Analysis
Mariners vs. Dodgers Notes
Keys to the Game
Matchup Contrasts
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Mariners vs. Dodgers Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Dodgers are 5-0 in their last 5 games.
- Dodgers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Dodgers are 39-41 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Dodgers' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 45 of Dodgers' 80 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Dodgers vs. Mariners Injury Updates
Dodgers Injuries
- Dustin MayP
May is out with elbow
Out
- Tony GonsolinP
Gonsolin is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
- Gavin StoneP
Stone is out with shoulder
Out
- Emmet SheehanP
Sheehan is out with arm
Out
Mariners Injuries
- Sam HaggertyOF
Haggerty is out with achilles
Out
Mariners vs. Dodgers Box Score
Mariners Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RL.Gilbert, P | 100 | 4.2 | 7 | 6 | |
RT.Thornton, P | 12 | 0.2 | 1 | 0 | |
RJ.Chargois, P | 24 | 1.2 | 1 | 0 | |
RT. Taylor, P | 14 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1L.Raley, CF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
1M.Haniger, PH | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
2J.Rodriguez, DH | 0-5 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3C.Raleigh, C | 1-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
4R.Arozarena, LF | 1-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
5J.Polanco, 2B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6J.Turner, 1B | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7D.Canzone, RF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
8J.Rojas, 3B | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8D.Moore, PH | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
8D.Moore, 3B | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
9L.Rivas, SS | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Dodgers Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RJ.Flaherty, P | 99 | 5.2 | 5 | 1 | |
LA.Banda, P | 19 | 1.1 | 3 | 0 | |
RB.Treinen, P | 18 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
LA.Vesia, P | 14 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1S.Ohtani, DH | 1-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
2M.Betts, RF | 1-5 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
3F.Freeman, 1B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
4T.Hernandez, LF | 2-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
5G.Lux, 2B | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
6W.Smith, C | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
7M.Muncy, 3B | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
8T.Edman, SS | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9K.Kiermaier, CF | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Mariners vs. Dodgers Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Mariners at Dodgers Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Mariners 0-0 | o3.5+114 | u3.5-145 |
Dodgers 11-5 | o4.5+105 | u4.5-135 |