Guardians vs. Red Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - September 1, 2025

Guardians at Red Sox

5:35 pm • CLEG

Cleveland Guardians

1-2

4 - 6

Boston Red Sox

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Bello			3.35	11-9
P.Messick			2.72	3-1

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians 1-2	+1.5	+1.5-168	o8-116	+122
Red Sox 1-2	u8.5	-1.5+142	u8-106	-146

Monday 5:35 p.m.

September 01, 2025

Fenway ParkBoston

BOS -132 (Live)

0.38u

CLE +122

📚Player Profit 🔑 Guardians ML +122 (Player Profit) 2u I’m backing the Guardians moneyline today at +122 because while the Red Sox are modest favorites, Cleveland has shown surprising resilience as a road underdog. They’ve won more than half their games when listed as underdogs (+122 or longer) and have gone 4–1 recently. These odds offer value—Boston’s ~59% win probability overlooks the Guardians’ ability to stay competitive and produce upsets, making the +122 line a smart value play. Code: airlocks for 10% off at playerprofit.com

P.Messick o15.5 Outs-115

Under 4.5 (F5)-122

0.5u

B.Bello u2.5 Earned Runs-130

1.3u

Under 8.5-105

0.53u

CLE +135

0.5u

Bet to +125

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No props found

MLB Public Betting

Red Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Red Sox are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Red Sox are 44-37 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Red Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 33 of Red Sox' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	87-75	43-38	44-37	53-50	34-23
Guardians	86-76	39-42	47-34	33-36	51-38

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Red Sox	76-82-4	33-45-3	43-37-1	50-50-3	26-30-1
Guardians	69-87-6	37-41-3	32-46-3	34-34-1	34-50-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Red Sox	89-73	48-33	41-40	61-42	28-29
Guardians	88-74	45-36	43-38	44-25	43-46

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 31st	PIT	W 5-2	-1.5 W	U 8.5	BOS -175
Aug 30th	PIT	L 3-10	-1.5 L	O 9	PIT -188
Aug 29th	PIT	L 2-4	+1.5 L	U 8	PIT -118
Aug 28th	@BAL	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8	BOS -204
Aug 27th	@BAL	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 9	BOS -139

Edward Lively
SP
Lively is out with elbow
Out
John Means
SP
Means is out with elbow
Out

Jose De Leon
RP
De Leon is out with elbow
Out
Tanner Houck
SP
Houck is out with arm
Out
Patrick Sandoval
SP
Sandoval is out with elbow
Out
Kutter Crawford
SP
Crawford is out with knee
Out
Jovani Moran
RP
Moran is out with arm
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LP.Messick, P	82	3.2	2	3
RM.Festa, P	10	0.1	1	0
LE.Sabrowski, P	22	0.1	1	2
RJ.Junis, P	15	1.2	1	1
RZ.Kent, P	37	2	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1S.Kwan, LF	3-5	0	0	0
2D.Schneemann, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
3J.Ramirez, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4K.Manzardo, 1B	1-4	1	1	1
5B.Naylor, C	1-3	1	0	0
6N.Jones, CF	1-4	1	0	0
7G.Valera, DH	0-1	1	0	0
7D.Fry, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7D.Fry, DH	0-2	0	0	0
8C.Kayfus, RF	1-2	0	0	1
8J.Noel, PH	0-2	0	0	0
8J.Noel, RF	0-2	0	0	0
9B.Rocchio, SS	1-4	0	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Bello, P	100	5	4	3
LJ.Wilson, P	6	1	0	0
LS.Matz, P	23	1.2	1	1
RG.Weissert, P	2	0.1	0	0
LA.Chapman, P	5	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1R.Anthony, RF	2-5	1	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	1-5	1	0	0
3T.Story, SS	3-4	1	1	2
4R.Gonzalez, 2B	2-5	0	0	1
4R.Gonzalez, 1B	2-5	0	0	1
5R.Refsnyder, DH	2-5	1	0	0
6N.Eaton, LF	2-3	1	0	0
6J.Duran, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6J.Duran, LF	0-1	0	0	0
7C.Rafaela, CF	0-3	0	0	0
8N.Lowe, 1B	0-2	0	0	0
8C.Narvaez, PH	1-1	0	0	2
8D.Hamilton, PR	0-0	0	0	0
8D.Hamilton, 2B	0-0	0	0	0
9C.Wong, C	1-2	1	0	0