Guardians vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 18, 2024

Guardians at Brewers

6:10 pm • BSGL
0 - 2
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Colin Rea logoC.ReaMilwaukee Brewers logo4.2912-6
Ben Lively logoB.LivelyCleveland Guardians logo3.8213-10

Guardians at Brewers Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Guardians
4-6
+1.5-192
o8.5-115
+105
Brewers
1-2
-1.5+160
u8.5-105
-125
location pinSunday 6:10 p.m.
August 18, 2024
American Family FieldMilwaukee
Guardians vs. Brewers Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
Top Shelf Action 🥃
86d ago
Last 30d: 211-224-1 (-1.6u)
Under 8.5+100
1u
… unders for winning teams that just went under contrarian Overall: 395-290-30,58% (ROI:12%) Season:19-10-2,66% (ROI:26%) … windy unders Overall: 975-691-83,59% (ROI:13%) Season:15-12-2,56% (ROI:7%)
Firefighter Bets
Firefighter Bets
86d ago
Last 30d: 60-82-0 (-26.0u)
MIL -125
0.8u
W.Adames o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125
0.8u
J.Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases+100
1u
Picks  Office
Picks Office
86d ago
Last 30d: 82-114-3 (-39.0u)
Over 8.5-105
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Ben Lively and Colin Rea face off Sunday when the Guardians host the Brewers, and that clearly makes for an interesting decision. Neither pitcher has an ERA above 4.00, but there are some signs from their peripherals that neither pitcher has pitched as well as those numbers suggest. To this point in his career, Lively has had a 4.57 ERA and 1.338 WHIP while allowing 330 hits over 323 innings—the latter figure equivalent to 9.2 hits per nine innings. His 5.02 FIP this year shows that he has been lucky to maintain his ERA at 3.71, and he looks like a potential home-run hitter, as he gives up 1.7 bombs per nine innings, something that the eighth-ranked offense in the league might take advantage of from the very beginning. On the other side, Colin Rea is sporting a respectable 3.72 ERA but with kind of a worrying 4.55 FIP, so big warnings for regression there. Rea hasn't been in great form of late, giving up nine in his last three starts and 18 in his last four home starts. His struggles come further as he holds a rather low strikeout per-nine rate at 7.2 and an extremely threatening home-run rate of 1.4 per nine innings. Though the Brewers are working with a strong bullpen, recent performances indicate Rea could struggle against this Guardians lineup, which is 12th in the league and averaging 4.6 runs per game. Both offenses have the firepower to take advantage of the weaknesses of these starting pitchers. The Guardians, very good at making contact and not striking out, should get opportunities against Rea. The Brewers themselves are going to have enough depth in their lineup to frustrate Lively, especially since he has struggled lately to inhibit sharp contact and home runs. With each team having a stout bullpen, the expectation is for offenses to press the issue early and often, making the over a strong play.
Sean Zerillo
Sean Zerillo
86d ago
Last 30d: 54-76-3 (-8.6u)
CLE +112
0.5u
Bet to +106
BJ Cunningham
BJ Cunningham
86d ago
Last 30d: 52-51-8 (-3.1u)
CLE +110
1u

PRO Insights

Guardians logo

Guardians

CLE Insights
  • Guardians logoGuardians RPs have allowed a SLG of just .356 since last season -- best in MLB. Brewers hitters are slugging just .359 versus relief pitchers since last season -- second worst in MLB.
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Brewers logo

Brewers

MIL Insights
  • Brewers logoThe Brewers have allowed just 0.9 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- second lowest in MLB (81 games). The Guardians have scored just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- fourth lowest in MLB (80 games).
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Guardians vs. Brewers Public Betting Percentages

22%

Bets%

78%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Brewers
87-7544-3743-3843-4843-26
Guardians
83-7842-3841-4048-5034-27

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Brewers
81-70-1140-33-841-37-341-43-740-25-4
Guardians
67-83-1138-38-429-45-745-46-721-36-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Brewers
93-6947-3446-3554-3738-31
Guardians
92-6950-3042-3963-3528-33

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Aug 17thCLEW 2-1-1.5 LU 7.5MIL -125
Aug 17thCLEW 5-3+1.5 WU 8MIL -107
Aug 15thLADW 6-4+1.5 WO 7.5MIL +120
Aug 15thLADW 5-4+1.5 WO 8.5MIL -103
Aug 14thLADL 2-7+1.5 LU 9LAD -105

Guardians vs. Brewers Injury Updates

Guardians Injuries

    Brewers Injuries

    • Christian Yelich
      OF

      Yelich is out with back

      Out

    • Brandon Woodruff
      P

      Woodruff is out with shoulder

      Out

    • Robert Gasser
      P

      Gasser is out with elbow

      Out

    Guardians vs. Brewers Box Score
    Guardians Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Ben Lively logoRB.Lively, P80652
    Hunter Gaddis logoRH.Gaddis, P20120
    Emmanuel Clase logoRE.Clase, P7100
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Steven Kwan logo1S.Kwan, DH1-4000
    Will Brennan logo2W.Brennan, LF1-4000
    Jose Ramirez logo3J.Ramirez, 3B0-4000
    Josh Naylor logo4J.Naylor, 1B0-4000
    Lane Thomas logo5L.Thomas, CF0-3000
    Andres Gimenez logo6A.Gimenez, 2B0-3000
    Jhonkensy Noel logo7J.Noel, RF0-1000
    Daniel Schneemann logo8D.Schneemann, SS0-2000
    Tyler Freeman logo8T.Freeman, PH0-1000
    Tyler Freeman logo8T.Freeman, SS0-1000
    Bo Naylor logo9B.Naylor, C0-2000
    David Fry logo9D.Fry, PH0-1000
    Austin Hedges logo9A.Hedges, C0-0000
    Brewers Player Stats
    Projected
    PITCHERPCIPKER
    Colin Rea logoRC.Rea, P88750
    Bryan Hudson logoLB.Hudson, P16110
    Jared Koenig logoLJ.Koenig, P12100
    HITTERSH-ABRHRRBI
    Brice Turang logo1B.Turang, 2B2-3100
    Jackson Chourio logo2J.Chourio, LF0-3000
    William Contreras logo3W.Contreras, DH0-4000
    Willy Adames logo4W.Adames, SS1-3001
    Garrett Mitchell logo5G.Mitchell, CF1-3000
    Rhys Hoskins logo6R.Hoskins, 1B0-3000
    Sal Frelick logo7S.Frelick, RF1-2100
    Joey Ortiz logo8J.Ortiz, 3B1-3000
    Eric Haase logo9E.Haase, C0-3001

    Guardians vs. Brewers Odds Comparison

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    Guardians at Brewers Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Guardians
    4-6
    o3.5-145
    u3.5+114
    Brewers
    1-2
    o4.5+105
    u4.5-135