Guardians vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - August 18, 2024
Guardians at Brewers
6:10 pm • BSGLStarting Pitchers
pitcher | team | era | w-l | |
---|---|---|---|---|
C.Rea | 4.29 | 12-6 | ||
B.Lively | 3.82 | 13-10 |
Guardians at Brewers Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Guardians 4-6 | +1.5-192 | o8.5-115 | +105 | |
Brewers 1-2 | -1.5+160 | u8.5-105 | -125 |
Sunday 6:10 p.m.
August 18, 2024American Family FieldMilwaukee
Guardians vs. Brewers Expert Picks
Top Shelf Action 🥃
86d ago
Last 30d: 211-224-1 (-1.6u)
Under 8.5+100
1u
… unders for winning teams that just went under contrarian
Overall: 395-290-30,58% (ROI:12%)
Season:19-10-2,66% (ROI:26%)
… windy unders
Overall: 975-691-83,59% (ROI:13%)
Season:15-12-2,56% (ROI:7%)
Firefighter Bets
86d ago
Last 30d: 60-82-0 (-26.0u)
MIL -125
0.8u
W.Adames o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-125
0.8u
J.Ramirez o1.5 Total Bases+100
1u
Picks Office
86d ago
Last 30d: 82-114-3 (-39.0u)
Over 8.5-105
1u
Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice
Ben Lively and Colin Rea face off Sunday when the Guardians host the Brewers, and that clearly makes for an interesting decision. Neither pitcher has an ERA above 4.00, but there are some signs from their peripherals that neither pitcher has pitched as well as those numbers suggest. To this point in his career, Lively has had a 4.57 ERA and 1.338 WHIP while allowing 330 hits over 323 innings—the latter figure equivalent to 9.2 hits per nine innings. His 5.02 FIP this year shows that he has been lucky to maintain his ERA at 3.71, and he looks like a potential home-run hitter, as he gives up 1.7 bombs per nine innings, something that the eighth-ranked offense in the league might take advantage of from the very beginning.
On the other side, Colin Rea is sporting a respectable 3.72 ERA but with kind of a worrying 4.55 FIP, so big warnings for regression there. Rea hasn't been in great form of late, giving up nine in his last three starts and 18 in his last four home starts. His struggles come further as he holds a rather low strikeout per-nine rate at 7.2 and an extremely threatening home-run rate of 1.4 per nine innings. Though the Brewers are working with a strong bullpen, recent performances indicate Rea could struggle against this Guardians lineup, which is 12th in the league and averaging 4.6 runs per game.
Both offenses have the firepower to take advantage of the weaknesses of these starting pitchers. The Guardians, very good at making contact and not striking out, should get opportunities against Rea. The Brewers themselves are going to have enough depth in their lineup to frustrate Lively, especially since he has struggled lately to inhibit sharp contact and home runs. With each team having a stout bullpen, the expectation is for offenses to press the issue early and often, making the over a strong play.
Sean Zerillo
86d ago
Last 30d: 54-76-3 (-8.6u)
CLE +112
0.5u
Bet to +106
BJ Cunningham
86d ago
Last 30d: 52-51-8 (-3.1u)
CLE +110
1u
PRO Insights
Guardians
CLE Insights
- Featured InsightGuardians RPs have allowed a SLG of just .356 since last season -- best in MLB. Brewers hitters are slugging just .359 versus relief pitchers since last season -- second worst in MLB.
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Brewers
MIL Insights
- Featured InsightThe Brewers have allowed just 0.9 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- second lowest in MLB (81 games). The Guardians have scored just 1.0 runs per game in close and late situations this season -- fourth lowest in MLB (80 games).
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Guardians vs. Brewers Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Guardians vs. Brewers Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
- Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Guardians vs. Brewers Injury Updates
Guardians Injuries
Brewers Injuries
- Christian YelichOF
Yelich is out with back
Out
- Brandon WoodruffP
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
- Robert GasserP
Gasser is out with elbow
Out
Guardians vs. Brewers Box Score
Guardians Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RB.Lively, P | 80 | 6 | 5 | 2 | |
RH.Gaddis, P | 20 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
RE.Clase, P | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1S.Kwan, DH | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2W.Brennan, LF | 1-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3J.Ramirez, 3B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4J.Naylor, 1B | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5L.Thomas, CF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6A.Gimenez, 2B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7J.Noel, RF | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8D.Schneemann, SS | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8T.Freeman, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8T.Freeman, SS | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9B.Naylor, C | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9D.Fry, PH | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9A.Hedges, C | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Brewers Player Stats
ProjectedPITCHER | PC | IP | K | ER | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
RC.Rea, P | 88 | 7 | 5 | 0 | |
LB.Hudson, P | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
LJ.Koenig, P | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
HITTERS | H-AB | R | HR | RBI |
---|---|---|---|---|
1B.Turang, 2B | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
2J.Chourio, LF | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3W.Contreras, DH | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4W.Adames, SS | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
5G.Mitchell, CF | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6R.Hoskins, 1B | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7S.Frelick, RF | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
8J.Ortiz, 3B | 1-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9E.Haase, C | 0-3 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
Guardians vs. Brewers Odds Comparison
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Guardians at Brewers Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
---|---|---|
Guardians 4-6 | o3.5-145 | u3.5+114 |
Brewers 1-2 | o4.5+105 | u4.5-135 |