Giants vs. White Sox Odds & Betting Predictions - April 5, 2023

Giants at White Sox

6:10 pm • NBCS-CHI

San Francisco Giants

61-67

3 - 7

Chicago White Sox

45-82

pitcher		team	era	w-l
D.Cease			4.58	7-9
L.Webb			3.25	11-13

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Giants 61-67	+1.5-192	o7.5-110	+110
White Sox 45-82	-1.5+160	u7.5-110	-134

Wednesday 6:10 p.m.

April 05, 2023

Rate FieldChicago

CWS -134

0.75u

Over 7.5-106

0.94u

SF +112

CWS -140

I like F5 better but already playing game

D.Cease o7.5 Ks+100

0.25u

SF +114

0.5u

Keeping units low here until I have a larger sample on whether my MLB moneyline is performing well. Available at FanDuel. I love Dylan Cease, but this is largely a bet on Logan Webb. Webb was lights out in his 2023 debut and now faces an active roster with a 97 wRC+ against righties since the start of last year. It's a mighty fine matchup for him. I've got the Giants' win odds at 50.3%, up from 46.7% implied. Given how well Webb pitched, I'm more than okay with that.

CWS -130 (F5)

0.5u

Bet to -133

Opening Pitch: Zerillo's Wednesday MLB Betting Card
Sean Zerillo•
Apr 5, 2023 UTC

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The White Sox are 41-67 (.380) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .296.

The Giants are just 10-14 (.417) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Giants are 31-18 (.633) when moneyline favorites of less than -150 since the 2022 season -- tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .545.

The White Sox are 16-2 (.889) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season -- 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .801.

Wilmer Flores slugged just .253 over the last 30 days -- third worst in MLB-- first Percentile. Dylan Cease allowed a SLG of just .183 vs right-handed batters over the last 30 days -- best among qualified SPs-- 100th Percentile.

Dylan Cease walked 78 of 747 batters (10%) in 2022 -- highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% -- second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 57% (326/567) against Logan Webb since last season -- 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% -- 97th Percentile.

Right-handed batters batted just .163 (56-for-343) against Dylan Cease in 2022 -- 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 -- 97th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

White Sox are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
White Sox are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
White Sox are 37-28 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of White Sox' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 32 of White Sox' 62 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	73-54	36-26	37-28	0-2	73-52
Giants	53-75	24-39	29-36	25-51	27-23

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
White Sox	57-63-7	32-25-5	25-38-2	0-2	57-61-7
Giants	58-66-4	24-38-1	34-28-3	26-49-1	30-17-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
White Sox	45-82	26-36	19-46	1-1	44-81
Giants	61-67	30-33	31-34	38-38	22-28

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 3rd	SF	L 3-12	-1.5 L	O 8	SF -140
Apr 2nd	@HOU	W 6-3	+1.5 W	O 7.5	CWS +122
Apr 1st	@HOU	L 4-6	+1.5 L	O 8.5	HOU +117
Apr 1st	@HOU	L 3-6	+1.5 L	O 8	HOU +130
Mar 30th	@HOU	W 3-2	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CWS +117

Tom Murphy
C
Murphy is out with back
Out

Ky Bush
SP
Bush is out with elbow
Out
Drew Thorpe
SP
Thorpe is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Webb, P	81	5	4	4
RS.Hjelle, P	53	1.2	2	0
LS.Alexander, P	5	0.1	1	0
RT.Rogers, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1L.Wade, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
1W.Flores, PH	1-2	1	0	0
1W.Flores, 1B	1-2	1	0	0
2M.Conforto, RF	0-3	1	0	0
3D.Villar, 2B	0-3	0	0	0
4J.Pederson, DH	1-5	0	0	2
5M.Yastrzemski, CF	0-5	0	0	0
5M.Yastrzemski, LF	0-5	0	0	0
6J.Davis, 3B	1-4	1	1	1
7B.Crawford, SS	0-3	0	0	0
8B.Sabol, LF	0-2	0	0	0
8B.Johnson, PH	1-2	0	0	0
8B.Johnson, CF	1-2	0	0	0
9R. Pérez, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RD.Cease, P	99	5	8	1
LJ.Diekman, P	8	1	1	0
LA.Bummer, P	15	0.2	1	0
RR.Lopez, P	11	0.1	1	0
RJ.Lambert, P	23	1	1	0
RJ.Kelly, P	23	1	1	2

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1T.Anderson, SS	0-2	0	0
1H. Alberto, 2B	1-3	1	1
2L.Robert, CF	3-4	2	1
3A.Benintendi, LF	2-4	2	0
4Y.Moncada, 3B	2-4	0	1
5A.Vaughn, 1B	1-4	0	1
6G.Sheets, DH	2-4	0	3
7Y.Grandal, C	0-3	0	0
8O.Colas, RF	1-4	1	0
9E. Andrus, 2B	1-4	1	0
9E. Andrus, SS	1-4	1	0