Diamondbacks vs. Twins Odds & Betting Predictions - August 5, 2023

Diamondbacks at Twins

12:10 am • BSN

Arizona Diamondbacks

41-41

2 - 3

Minnesota Twins

40-43

pitcher		team	era	w-l
B.Ober			3.43	8-6
M.Kelly			3.29	12-8

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks 41-41	-1.5+169	o8-119	-101
Twins 40-43	+1.5-205	u8-102	-120

Saturday 12:10 a.m.

August 05, 2023

Target FieldMinneapolis

B.Ober o16.5 Outs-130

Over 8.5-105

MIN -130

MIN -125 (F5)

0.63u

Bet to -130

MIN -125

0.5u

Bet to -125

M.Kelly o16.5 Outs-125

Full write up: https://www.actionnetwork.com/mlb/propbetguy-mlb-player-prop-picks-jordan-montgomery-merrill-kelly-friday-august-4

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Featured Insight
Diamondbacks hitters have a groundball rate of 46% since last season -- third-highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Twins since last season -- fourth-lowest in MLB.

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The Diamondbacks are 7-3 (.700) when tied entering the 8th inning this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

32% of Ketel Marte strikeouts are looking since last season -- 13th highest in MLB-- 90th Percentile. 44% of Dylan Floro strikeouts are looking since last season -- second highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Tommy Pham struck out in 27% of PA's last season -- 14th highest in MLB-- 10th Percentile. Jhoan Duran had a strikeout rate of 34% last season -- 15th highest among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Twins are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Twins are 22-22 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Twins' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Twins' 39 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	45-38	23-16	22-22	28-24	16-14
Diamondbacks	40-41	18-22	22-19	24-31	16-10

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Twins	36-43-4	18-20-1	18-23-3	24-26-2	11-17-2
Diamondbacks	42-36-3	19-18-3	23-18	29-23-3	13-13

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Twins	40-43	22-17	18-26	28-24	12-18
Diamondbacks	41-41	20-20	21-20	29-26	12-14

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Aug 3rd	@STL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 8.5	MIN -143
Aug 2nd	@STL	L 3-7	-1.5 L	O 8.5	STL -127
Aug 1st	@STL	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 8.5	MIN -130
Jul 30th	@KC	L 1-2	-1.5 L	U 9	KC -177
Jul 29th	@KC	L 7-10	-1.5 L	O 9.5	KC -196

Anthony DeSclafani
SP
DeSclafani is out with arm
Out
Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
John Curtiss
RP
Curtiss is out with elbow
Out
Corbin Carroll
RF
Carroll is out with wrist
Out

Royce Lewis
3B
Lewis is out with hamstring
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Kelly, P	93	6	9	2
RS.McGough, P	28	0.2	2	1
RL.Frias, P	6	0.1	1	0
RM.Castro, P	12	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1G.Perdomo, SS	1-5	0	0	0
2K.Marte, 2B	0-5	0	0	0
3C.Carroll, CF	1-4	0	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	1-4	0	0	0
5T.Pham, LF	1-4	0	0	0
6L.Gurriel, DH	1-3	2	1	1
7E.Rivera, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
7J. Peterson, PH	0-2	0	0	0
7J. Peterson, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
8J.McCarthy, RF	2-3	0	0	0
9J.Herrera, C	1-3	0	0	1
9A.Thomas, PH	1-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Ober, P	104	5	3	2
RD.Floro, P	19	1	1	0
LC.Thielbar, P	12	1.1	2	0
RE.Pagan, P	11	0.2	0	0
RJ.Duran, P	19	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1C.Correa, SS	0-4	0	0	0
2E.Julien, 2B	1-3	0	0	0
2K.Farmer, 3B	0-0	0	0	0
3J.Polanco, 3B	1-3	1	1	1
3J.Polanco, 2B	1-3	1	1	1
4M.Kepler, RF	1-4	1	1	1
5M.Wallner, DH	0-2	0	0	0
6W.Castro, LF	1-4	0	0	0
7C.Vazquez, C	2-4	0	0	0
8J.Gallo, 1B	0-3	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	1-4	1	1	1