Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds & Betting Predictions - July 10, 2026

Diamondbacks at Padres

1:40 am • ARID
@
Starting Pitchers
pitcherteameraw-l
Griffin Canning logoG.CanningSan Diego Padres logo6.711-6
Merrill Kelly logoM.KellyArizona Diamondbacks logo5.716-8

Diamondbacks at Padres Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Diamondbacks
45-47
+1.5
+1.5-190
o8.5-132
+105
Padres
46-46
u8.5
-1.5+155
u8.5+103
-125
location pinFriday 1:40 a.m.
July 10, 2026
Petco ParkSan Diego
thermometer image70°Fahrenheit
rain image0%Rain
wind image5Wind
Diamondbacks vs. Padres Expert Picks
Matt Trollo
Matt Trollo
Last 30d: 97-118-5 (-15.5u)
SD -115 (F5)
0.58u
(B365) So Kelly up nearly 2mph last start, 2 runs over 6 innings, tied a season high w/ 6 Ks. also 64.7 HardHit% with 4+ Barrels for the 5th time. He's allowed 43 Barrels (14.5%) and has a 7.77 xERA. His estimators are nearly 3/4 run worse than Canning. SDP LU 23 point wRC+ edge v ARI LU v RHP this year, 45 point edge L30 days.
Player Prop Savant
Player Prop Savant
Last 30d: 86-67-3 (+17.7u)
SD o0.5+180
0.75u
SD o4.5+105
1u
G.Sheets o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-103
1.03u
Kyle Murray
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 87-99-4 (+5.3u)
Under 5 (F5)-118
1.18u
G.Canning u2.5 Earned Runs-150
1.5u
Scott Rickenbach
Scott Rickenbach
Last 30d: 72-50-3 (+13.4u)
SD -125
1u
Kev Mahserejian
Kev Mahserejian
Last 30d: 9-11-0 (-4.0u)
SD -125
1u
Ryan Minion
Ryan Minion
Last 30d: 253-295-19 (-7.6u)
F.Tatis o2.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs+125
$1.00
Frank Ammirante
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 392-401-8 (-5.8u)
SD o4.5+100
1u
F.Tatis o0.5 HR+337
0.1u
SD -125
1.25u
Sandy Plashkes
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 88-114-2 (+5.7u)
C.Carroll o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-116
1.16u
Charlie DiSturco
Charlie DiSturco
Last 30d: 41-95-2 (+2.3u)
K.Marte o0.5 HR+400
0.1u
C.Carroll o0.5 HR+400
0.1u
Wags Wins
Wags Wins
Last 30d: 166-171-2 (-21.6u)
Under 9-114
1.5u

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Previews & Analysis

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    Diamondbacks vs Padres: Canning Deserves a Second Look

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    Jul 9, 2026 UTC
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    Our 4 MLB Best Bets for Thursday

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  • +350, +390, +590 Gems Popping in PRO article feature image

    +350, +390, +590 Gems Popping in PRO

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  • Opening Pitch: Zerillo’s MLB Projections for Thursday article feature image

    Opening Pitch: Zerillo’s MLB Projections for Thursday

    Sean Zerillo
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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Diamondbacks vs. Padres Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Diamondbacks

Public

23%

Bets%

77%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres
50-4226-2124-2119-1831-24
Diamondbacks
49-4326-2123-2219-2129-22

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Padres
40-51-120-26-120-2514-22-126-29
Diamondbacks
38-51-319-27-119-24-215-24-122-27-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Padres
46-4625-2221-2421-1625-30
Diamondbacks
45-4727-2018-2724-1620-31

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Jul 9thARIW 10-4-1.5 WO 8.5SD -142
Jul 8thARIW 4-1-2.5 WU 9SD -120
Jul 7thARIL 0-8-1.5 LU 8.5ARI -128
Jul 5th@LADW 5-2+1.5 WU 10SD +188
Jul 5th@LADL 0-3+1.5 LU 8.5LAD +227

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Injury Updates

Diamondbacks Injuries

  • Corbin Burnes
    SP

    Burnes is out with elbow

    Out

  • Blake Walston
    SP

    Walston is out with elbow

    Out

  • Tyler Locklear
    1B

    Locklear is out with elbow

    Out

  • Cristian Mena
    SP

    Mena is doubtful with shoulder

    Doubtful

Padres Injuries

  • Joe Musgrove
    SP

    Musgrove is out with elbow

    Out

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Starting Lineups
Diamondbacks Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Merrill Kelly logoRM.Kelly, P6-85.711.5585.50
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Ketel Marte logo1K.Marte, 2B.266.323.48217
Geraldo Perdomo logo2G.Perdomo, SS.243.352.3626
Corbin Carroll logo3C.Carroll, RF.261.353.49713
Gabriel Moreno logo4G.Moreno, C.294.377.4346
Max Kepler logo5M.Kepler, DH.179.207.3571
Lourdes Gurriel logo6L.Gurriel, LF.222.273.3102
Nolan Arenado logo7N.Arenado, 3B.243.312.39910
Tommy Troy logo8T.Troy, CF.222.289.3684
Tim Tawa logo9T.Tawa, 1B.159.263.2461
Padres Starting Lineup
Projected
PITCHERW-LERAWHIPK/9
Griffin Canning logoRG.Canning, P1-66.711.6088.82
HITTERSAVGOBPSLGHR
Fernando Tatis logo1F.Tatis, RF.284.345.3855
Jackson Merrill logo2J.Merrill, CF.220.275.35710
Xander Bogaerts logo3X.Bogaerts, SS.229.321.3338
Manny Machado logo4M.Machado, 3B.188.282.40418
Gavin Sheets logo5G.Sheets, LF.230.320.44114
Jake Cronenworth logo6J.Cronenworth, 1B.183.282.2753
Luis Campusano logo7L.Campusano, C.300.382.5673
Miguel Andujar logo8M.Andujar, DH.266.303.4285
Sung Mun Song logo9S.Song, 2B.216.310.2971

Diamondbacks vs. Padres Odds Comparison

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Diamondbacks at Padres Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Diamondbacks
45-47
N/A
N/A
Padres
46-46
N/A
N/A