Cubs vs. Pirates Odds & Betting Predictions - May 11, 2024

Cubs at Pirates

8:05 pm • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

11-5

9 - 10

Pittsburgh Pirates

10-9

pitcher		team	era	w-l
P.Skenes			1.96	11-3
J.Steele			3.07	5-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 11-5	-1.5+150	o7-105	-112
Pirates 10-9	+1.5-180	u7-115	-107

Saturday 8:05 p.m.

May 11, 2024

PNC ParkPittsburgh

Over 7-105

J.Steele o5.5 Ks-122

PIT -103

PIT -112 (F5)

Under 7-115

PIT -108

Livvy Dunne bump day

PIT -105 (F5)

0.5u

Skenes. Bet to -115

PIT +104

0.52u

Skenes. Bet to -107

Featured Insight
The Cubs have allowed just 1.5 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- fourth lowest in MLB (13 games). The Pirates have scored just 1.1 runs per game in the first five innings over the last two weeks -- tied for lowest in MLB (12 games).

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The Cubs are 23-19 (.548) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .424.

Bryan Reynolds has a miss rate of only 7% on inside fastballs since last season -- tied for 10th best among hitters with at least 295 total PA's-- 95th Percentile. Justin Steele has located his fastball inside 43% of the time since last season -- eighth highest among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP-- 95th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (554/1,263) on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 143 total IP; League Avg: 30% -- 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown fastballs 75% of the time (560/751) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 78 total IP; League Avg: 51% -- 100th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Pirates are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Pirates are 45-36 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Pirates' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Pirates' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	88-74	43-38	45-36	29-34	59-39
Cubs	79-83	36-45	43-38	33-50	45-32

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Pirates	77-81-4	40-38-3	37-43-1	31-30-2	46-50-2
Cubs	75-81-6	34-46-1	41-35-5	40-39-4	34-41-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Pirates	76-86	39-42	37-44	35-28	41-57
Cubs	83-79	44-37	39-42	45-38	37-40

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 10th	CHC	L 2-7	-1.5 L	O 7	CHC -130
May 8th	LAA	L 4-5	-1.5 L	U 9	LAA -135
May 7th	LAA	L 0-9	-1.5 L	O 7.5	LAA -135
May 6th	LAA	W 4-1	-1.5 W	U 8	PIT -170
May 5th	COL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	O 7	PIT -162

Johan Oviedo
P
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
IF
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Nico Hoerner
IF
Hoerner is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
LJ.Steele, P	74	4	3	6
RK.Thompson, P	38	1	2	3
LR.Lovelady, P	13	1	0	1
RJ.Cuas, P	33	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Tauchman, DH	2-4	1	0	2
2S.Suzuki, RF	2-5	1	0	1
3C.Bellinger, CF	0-4	0	0	1
4C.Morel, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
4N.Madrigal, PH	0-2	0	0	0
4N.Madrigal, 3B	0-2	0	0	0
5I.Happ, LF	0-4	1	0	0
6N.Hoerner, SS	1-3	2	1	2
7M.Busch, 1B	0-2	1	0	1
8M.Mastrobuoni, 2B	3-4	2	0	1
9Y.Gomes, C	1-4	1	0	1
9P.Crow-Armstrong, PR	0-0	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RP.Skenes, P	84	4	7	3
RK.Nicolas, P	23	0.2	2	4
LJ.Fleming, P	11	0	0	1
RC.Holderman, P	27	1.1	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	27	1	2	0
RH.Stratton, P	11	1	1	0
RD.Bednar, P	16	1	0	1

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	2-4	2	1	1
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Joe, 1B	1-5	1	1	3
3R.Tellez, 1B	0-0	0	0	0
4O.Cruz, SS	2-4	2	1	1
5E.Olivares, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5J.Suwinski, RF	0-0	0	0	0
6N.Gonzales, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
7Y.Grandal, C	2-4	2	1	3
8J.Triolo, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
9M.Taylor, CF	2-4	2	1	2