Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 16, 2024

Cubs at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

49-34

3 - 2

Arizona Diamondbacks

41-41

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Kelly			4.03	5-1
B.Brown			3.58	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 49-34	+1.5	+1.5-148	o9-105	+130
Diamondbacks 41-41	u9	-1.5+124	u9-115	-155

Tuesday 1:40 a.m.

April 16, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

Over 9-105

... low humidity over less than 9.5 game 1 or 2 Overall: 488-316-24,61% (ROI:17%) Season:1-0-0,100% (ROI:97%)

CHC +130

1.3u

M.Kelly o17.5 Outs-115

CHC +130

0.65u

Under 9-118

0.5u

Need -118 or 8.5 (+100)

Featured Insight
Cubs hitters have a groundball rate of 45% since the 2022 season -- seventh highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks since the 2022 season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks have answered-back in 33% of innings after an opponent scores since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB. Cubs have allowed a run 32% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season -- ninth highest in MLB.

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The Cubs are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

75% of non-fastball strikeouts for Nico Hoerner are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 79% of Merrill Kelly non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Nico Hoerner has a miss rate of only 8% on outside fastballs since the 2022 season -- second best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Merrill Kelly has located his fastball away 50% of the time since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 85th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 22-19 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Diamondbacks' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 19 of Diamondbacks' 40 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	40-41	18-22	22-19	24-31	16-10
Cubs	42-41	19-21	23-20	31-26	11-15

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	42-36-3	19-18-3	23-18	29-23-3	13-13
Cubs	43-35-5	21-17-2	22-18-3	28-26-3	15-9-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	41-41	20-20	21-20	29-26	12-14
Cubs	49-34	25-15	24-19	39-18	10-16

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 14th	STL	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ARI -142
Apr 14th	STL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 10.5	ARI -118
Apr 13th	STL	L 6-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	STL -124
Apr 10th	@COL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 11	ARI -115
Apr 10th	@COL	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 11	ARI -182

Anthony DeSclafani
SP
DeSclafani is out with arm
Out
Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
John Curtiss
RP
Curtiss is out with elbow
Out
Corbin Carroll
RF
Carroll is out with wrist
Out

Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Brown, P	84	6	4	1
LL.Little, P	12	1	1	0
LD.Smyly, P	26	1	1	1
RH.Neris, P	12	1	0	0
RK.Thompson, P	29	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Happ, LF	1-6	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	0-5	0	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-3	0	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4N.Madrigal, 3B	0-1	1	0	0
5M.Busch, 1B	1-3	1	1	1
6G.Cooper, DH	2-5	0	0	0
6A.Canario, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6A.Canario, DH	0-0	0	0	0
7N.Hoerner, 2B	2-4	1	0	1
8M.Tauchman, RF	1-5	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	1-3	0	0	0
9M.Mastrobuoni, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Kelly, P	95	5	5	1
LK.Nelson, P	9	1	1	0
RM.Castro, P	13	0.2	1	0
LJ.Mantiply, P	5	0.1	0	0
RR.Thompson, P	12	1	1	0
RK.Ginkel, P	26	1	1	1
RB.Jarvis, P	36	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	0-4	0	0
2C.Carroll, CF	1-5	0	1
3L.Gurriel, LF	0-5	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	1	0
5J.Pederson, DH	0-3	0	0
5B.Alexander, PR	0-0	0	0
5B.Alexander, DH	0-0	0	0
6E.Suarez, 3B	0-4	0	0
7G.Moreno, C	0-2	0	0
8J.McCarthy, RF	1-2	0	1
8R.Grichuk, PH	1-2	1	0
8R.Grichuk, RF	1-2	1	0
9K.Newman, SS	0-4	0	0