Cubs vs. Diamondbacks Odds & Betting Predictions - April 16, 2024

Cubs at Diamondbacks

1:40 am • MARQ

Chicago Cubs

40-24

3 - 2

Arizona Diamondbacks

31-33

pitcher		team	era	w-l
M.Kelly			4.03	5-1
B.Brown			3.58	1-3

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Cubs 40-24	+1.5	+1.5-148	o9-105	+130
Diamondbacks 31-33	u9	-1.5+124	u9-115	-155

Tuesday 1:40 a.m.

April 16, 2024

Chase FieldPhoenix

Over 9-105

... low humidity over less than 9.5 game 1 or 2 Overall: 488-316-24,61% (ROI:17%) Season:1-0-0,100% (ROI:97%)

CHC +130

1.3u

M.Kelly o17.5 Outs-115

CHC +130

0.65u

Under 9-118

0.5u

Need -118 or 8.5 (+100)

Featured Insight
Cubs hitters have a groundball rate of 45% since the 2022 season -- seventh highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Diamondbacks since the 2022 season -- fifth lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Diamondbacks have answered-back in 33% of innings after an opponent scores since the 2022 season -- tied for fifth highest in MLB. Cubs have allowed a run 32% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season -- ninth highest in MLB.

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The Cubs are 28-4 (.875) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .793.

75% of non-fastball strikeouts for Nico Hoerner are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- seventh highest in MLB-- 94th Percentile. 79% of Merrill Kelly non-fastball strikeouts are located out of the zone since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among starting pitchers with at least 135 total IP-- 97th Percentile.

Nico Hoerner has a miss rate of only 8% on outside fastballs since the 2022 season -- second best in MLB-- 98th Percentile. Merrill Kelly has located his fastball away 50% of the time since the 2022 season -- fifth highest among qualified SPs-- 85th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Diamondbacks are 3-1 in their last 5 games.
Diamondbacks are 3-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Diamondbacks are 16-15 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Diamondbacks' last 4 games
The totals have gone OVER in 13 of Diamondbacks' 32 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	30-33	14-18	16-15	16-24	14-9
Cubs	34-30	16-15	18-15	25-19	9-11

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Diamondbacks	30-30-3	13-16-3	17-14	20-17-3	10-13
Cubs	34-26-4	17-12-2	17-14-2	22-19-3	12-7-1

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Diamondbacks	31-33	15-17	16-15	20-20	11-12
Cubs	40-24	20-11	20-13	31-13	9-11

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 14th	STL	W 5-0	-1.5 W	U 8.5	ARI -142
Apr 14th	STL	W 4-2	+1.5 W	U 10.5	ARI -118
Apr 13th	STL	L 6-9	-1.5 L	O 9.5	STL -124
Apr 10th	@COL	W 5-3	-1.5 W	U 11	ARI -115
Apr 10th	@COL	W 3-2	-1.5 L	U 11	ARI -182

Jordan Montgomery
SP
Montgomery is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

Justin Steele
SP
Steele is out for season with elbow
Out for Season

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RB.Brown, P	84	6	4	1
LL.Little, P	12	1	1	0
LD.Smyly, P	26	1	1	1
RH.Neris, P	12	1	0	0
RK.Thompson, P	29	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1I.Happ, LF	1-6	0	0	0
2D.Swanson, SS	0-5	0	0	0
3C.Bellinger, CF	1-3	0	0	0
4C.Morel, 3B	0-4	0	0	0
4N.Madrigal, 3B	0-1	1	0	0
5M.Busch, 1B	1-3	1	1	1
6G.Cooper, DH	2-5	0	0	0
6A.Canario, PR	0-0	0	0	0
6A.Canario, DH	0-0	0	0	0
7N.Hoerner, 2B	2-4	1	0	1
8M.Tauchman, RF	1-5	0	0	0
9M.Amaya, C	1-3	0	0	0
9M.Mastrobuoni, PH	0-1	0	0	0
9Y.Gomes, C	0-1	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RM.Kelly, P	95	5	5	1
LK.Nelson, P	9	1	1	0
RM.Castro, P	13	0.2	1	0
LJ.Mantiply, P	5	0.1	0	0
RR.Thompson, P	12	1	1	0
RK.Ginkel, P	26	1	1	1
RB.Jarvis, P	36	2	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1K.Marte, 2B	0-4	0	0
2C.Carroll, CF	1-5	0	1
3L.Gurriel, LF	0-5	0	0
4C.Walker, 1B	0-4	1	0
5J.Pederson, DH	0-3	0	0
5B.Alexander, PR	0-0	0	0
5B.Alexander, DH	0-0	0	0
6E.Suarez, 3B	0-4	0	0
7G.Moreno, C	0-2	0	0
8J.McCarthy, RF	1-2	0	1
8R.Grichuk, PH	1-2	1	0
8R.Grichuk, RF	1-2	1	0
9K.Newman, SS	0-4	0	0