Pirates vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - June 26, 2024

Pirates at Reds

5:10 pm • BSOH

Pittsburgh Pirates

14-29

6 - 1

Cincinnati Reds

20-23

pitcher		team	era	w-l
G.Ashcraft			5.24	5-5
L.Ortiz			3.32	7-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Pirates 14-29	-1.5	+1.5-166	o9.5-108	+114
Reds 20-23	u9.5	-1.5+140	u9.5-112	-135

Wednesday 5:10 p.m.

June 26, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

PIT +126

0.63u

Superbook. Bet to +115

G.Ashcraft u5.5 Ks-146

Ashcraft under in 10/12 MLB starts, and 1/2 MILB starts. Apparently worked on a changeup in the minors, but not too worried about that coming into play in his first start back in the majors. Gets a pirates lineup that is somewhat K prone, but even at 24-25%, this line is a bit too high for a well below avg K pitcher.

Featured Insight
Pirates hitters have a groundball rate of 46% this season -- third highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds this season -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
The Reds have allowed just 3.2 runs per game on the road over the last two weeks -- third lowest in MLB (6 games). The Pirates have scored just 2.3 runs per game at home over the last two weeks -- second lowest in MLB (6 games).

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The Pirates are just 3-21 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.

Oneil Cruz has struck out in 32% of PA's this season -- seventh highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Fernando Cruz has a strikeout rate of 41% this season -- third highest among qualified RPs-- 99th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (11/65) against Luis Ortiz on the first pitch of at-bats this season -- 7th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% -- eighth Percentile.

Luis Ortiz has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (110/200) this season -- 10th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 62% -- ninth Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 12-11 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 8 of Reds' 20 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	22-21	10-10	12-11	9-9	13-11
Pirates	18-25	10-12	8-13	4-11	14-14

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	18-24-1	8-11-1	10-13	5-12-1	12-12
Pirates	16-24-3	10-11-1	6-13-2	6-9	10-15-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	20-23	9-11	11-12	10-8	10-14
Pirates	14-29	9-13	5-16	5-10	9-19

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 25th	PIT	L 5-9	-1.5 L	O 8.5	PIT -130
Jun 24th	PIT	W 11-5	-1.5 W	O 10	CIN -135
Jun 23rd	BOS	L 4-7	-1.5 L	O 9.5	BOS -162
Jun 22nd	BOS	L 3-4	+1.5 W	U 9.5	BOS -101
Jun 21st	BOS	W 5-2	+1.5 W	U 9	CIN -105

Johan Oviedo
SP
Oviedo is questionable with elbow
Questionable

Jared Jones
SP
Jones is out with elbow
Out
Jared Triolo
2B
Triolo is questionable with back
Questionable
Spencer Horwitz
1B
Horwitz is questionable with wrist
Questionable

Jake Fraley
RF
Fraley is out with calf
Out
Noelvi Marte
3B
Marte is day-to-day with side
Day-to-Day
Brandon Williamson
SP
Williamson is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Julian Aguiar
SP
Aguiar is out for season with elbow
Out for Season
Rhett Lowder
SP
Lowder is out with elbow
Out
Carson Spiers
RP
Spiers is out with shoulder
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Ortiz, P	85	6	7	1
RK.Nicolas, P	28	2	1	0
LA.Chapman, P	10	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1A.McCutchen, DH	1-5	1	1	2
2B.Reynolds, LF	1-5	0	0	0
3O.Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0	0
4R.Tellez, 1B	2-4	1	1	1
5N.Gonzales, 2B	1-4	1	0	0
6K.Hayes, 3B	0-4	1	0	0
7C.Joe, RF	2-3	1	0	0
8J.Suwinski, CF	1-4	0	0	1
9J.Delay, C	2-3	1	0	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RG.Ashcraft, P	89	5.1	3	6
LJ.Wilson, P	18	1.2	2	0
RL.Sims, P	11	1	1	0
RA.Diaz, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, 2B	2-4	0	1
2E.De La Cruz, SS	0-4	0	0
3S.Steer, 1B	0-4	0	0
4T.Stephenson, C	0-3	0	0
5N.Martini, RF	1-3	0	0
6S.Espinal, 3B	0-3	0	0
7S.Fairchild, CF	1-3	1	0
8L.Soto, DH	0-3	0	0
9L.Jordan, LF	0-3	0	0