Brewers vs. Reds Odds & Betting Predictions - April 9, 2024

Brewers at Reds

10:40 pm • BSWI

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

9 - 5

Cincinnati Reds

0-0

pitcher		team	era	w-l
F.Montas			5.01	4-8
J.Ross			3.77	3-6

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Brewers 1-2	+1.5-170	o9-118	+115
Reds 0-0	-1.5+142	u9-102	-135

Tuesday 10:40 p.m.

April 09, 2024

Great American Ball ParkCincinnati

MIL +125

1.25u

MIL +120

1.8u

CIN -144

… take the fav when good teams play each other Overall: 129-62-0,68% (ROI:17%) Season:3-3-0,50% (ROI:-10%) ... RLM short fav ML Overall: 284-161-0,64% (ROI:14%) Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)

MIL +135

0.68u

Bet to +127

Featured Insight
Brewers hitters a groundball rate of 45% last season -- fifth highest in MLB. Opponents had a groundball rate of just 39% against Reds last season -- second lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Opponents had a hard-hit rate of just 37% against the Reds RPs last season -- tied for fifth best in MLB. Brewers hitters had a hard-hit rate of just 38% last season -- seventh worst in MLB.

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The Reds are just 26-23 (.531) when they've scored in the first inning since the 2023 season -- 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .615.

The Brewers are 39-13 (.750) when they've hit 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season -- 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .691.

The Brewers are 25-0 (1.000) when they've had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Reds are 14-67 (.173) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season -- 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .101.

Brice Turang had an OPS of just .585 last season -- 12th worst among hitters with at least 241 total PA's-- third Percentile. Emilio Pagan allowed an OPS of just .553 (273 PAs) last season -- 15th best among qualified RPs-- 93rd Percentile.

Spencer Steer slugged .536 on breaking pitches last season -- 14th best in MLB-- 88th Percentile. Jakob Junis threw his slider 62% of the time last season -- sixth highest among qualified RPs-- 97th Percentile.

Joe Ross has walked 5 of 18 batters (28%) this season -- highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 8% -- 0 Percentile.

Joe Ross has a strike rate of just 52% (38/73) this season -- lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 64% -- 0 Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Reds are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Reds are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Reds are 47-34 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 0 of Reds' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 35 of Reds' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	87-75	40-41	47-34	33-37	54-38
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Reds	73-81-8	35-40-6	38-41-2	38-29-3	35-52-5
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Reds	77-85	39-42	38-43	36-34	41-51
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 8th	MIL	W 10-8	+1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -109
Apr 7th	NYM	L 1-3	+1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM +100
Apr 6th	NYM	W 9-6	-1.5 W	O 9.5	CIN -125
Apr 5th	NYM	L 2-3	-1.5 L	U 8.5	NYM -135
Apr 3rd	@PHI	W 4-1	+1.5 W	U 7.5	CIN +158

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Jeimer Candelario
IF
Candelario is out with toe
Out
Stuart Fairchild
OF
Fairchild is out with thumb
Out
Matt McLain
IF
McLain is out with shoulder
Out
Brandon Williamson
P
Williamson is out with elbow
Out
Graham Ashcraft
P
Ashcraft is out with elbow
Out
Andrew Abbott
P
Abbott is out with shoulder
Out
Christian Encarnacion-Strand
IF
Encarnacion-Strand is out with hand
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Ross, P	87	6.1	7	2
RE.Peguero, P	36	1.1	2	2
LB.Hudson, P	6	0.1	0	0
RA.Uribe, P	24	1	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1O.Dunn, 3B	0-5	0	0
1J.Ortiz, 3B	0-0	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	1-4	2	0
3C.Yelich, LF	2-4	0	3
4W.Adames, SS	1-5	1	0
5J.Bauers, 1B	1-5	1	2
6R.Hoskins, DH	1-4	0	0
7S.Frelick, RF	3-4	2	1
8B.Turang, 2B	1-5	1	0
9B.Perkins, CF	3-5	2	3

PITCHER		PC	IP	K	ER
RF.Montas, P		96	5	4	3
RC.Spiers, P		81	4	1	3

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.India, 2B	1-4	0	0
2W.Benson, CF	0-5	0	0
3C.Encarnacion-Strand, 1B	2-5	2	0
4J.Candelario, 3B	0-5	0	0
5J.Fraley, RF	2-4	1	1
6E.De La Cruz, SS	1-4	1	1
7S.Steer, LF	2-3	1	1
8N.Martini, DH	0-3	0	0
8S.Fairchild, PH	0-1	0	0
8S.Fairchild, DH	0-1	0	0
9T.Stephenson, C	2-4	0	2