Blue Jays vs. Brewers Odds & Betting Predictions - June 11, 2024

Blue Jays at Brewers

12:10 am • SN1

Toronto Blue Jays

0-0

1 - 3

Milwaukee Brewers

1-2

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Rea			4.29	12-6
J.Berrios			3.60	16-11

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Blue Jays 0-0	-1.5	+1.5-205	o8.5-113	+105
Brewers 1-2	-1.5+170	u8.5-107	-125

Tuesday 12:10 a.m.

June 11, 2024

American Family FieldMilwaukee

MIL -120

1.5u

MIL -121

$1000.00

TOR +100

V.Guerrero o1.5 Hits + Runs + RBIs-130

0.5u

Over in 6/9 June games thus far and is team-best against RHP this season (139 wRC+). Great matchup vs. Rea who does not K batters and is bottom 5% of all pitchers in xBA (.296). Bottom 20% in barrels and due for negative regression (5.56 xERA vs. 3.53 actual)

MIL -106

$50.00

Under 8.5-108

0.5u

Bet to -115

Featured Insight
Blue Jays had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score last season -- lowest in MLB. The Brewers answered-back in just 28% of innings after an opponent scored last season -- third lowest in MLB.

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Featured Insight
Brewers hitters have a groundball rate of 53% over the last two weeks -- highest in MLB. Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Blue Jays over the last two weeks -- lowest in MLB.

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The Brewers are 7-19 (.269) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season -- tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .157.

William Contreras is batting .284 on breaking pitches since last season -- 11th best in MLB-- 91st Percentile. Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 30% of the time since last season -- fourth highest among qualified SPs-- 86th Percentile.

William Contreras is batting .292 on breaking pitches this season -- 15th best in MLB-- 90th Percentile. Jose Berrios has thrown his curveball 33% of the time this season -- tied for third highest among qualified SPs-- 95th Percentile.

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MLB Public Betting

Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
Brewers are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Brewers are 43-38 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Brewers' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 40 of Brewers' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	87-75	44-37	43-38	43-48	43-26
Blue Jays	83-79	35-46	48-33	38-41	43-37

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Brewers	81-70-11	40-33-8	41-37-3	41-43-7	40-25-4
Blue Jays	81-77-4	45-34-2	36-43-2	39-39-1	41-36-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Brewers	93-69	47-34	46-35	54-37	38-31
Blue Jays	74-88	39-42	35-46	44-35	27-53

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Jun 9th	@DET	L 2-10	+1.5 L	O 8	DET +145
Jun 8th	@DET	W 5-4	-1.5 L	O 8	MIL -173
Jun 7th	@DET	W 10-0	+1.5 W	O 8.5	MIL +105
Jun 5th	@PHI	L 0-2	+1.5 L	U 8.5	PHI +144
Jun 4th	@PHI	L 1-2	+1.5 W	U 9	PHI +132

Christian Yelich
OF
Yelich is out with back
Out
Brandon Woodruff
P
Woodruff is out with shoulder
Out
Robert Gasser
P
Gasser is out with elbow
Out

Bo Bichette
IF
Bichette is out with finger
Out
Alek Manoah
P
Manoah is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RJ.Berrios, P	105	5.2	4	3
RZ.Pop, P	4	0.1	1	0
LB.Little, P	26	2	3	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1D.Schneider, LF	0-4	0	0	0
2S.Horwitz, 2B	2-4	0	0	0
3V.Guerrero, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
4B.Bichette, SS	0-3	0	0	0
5D.Vogelbach, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6G.Springer, RF	0-3	0	0	0
7D.Varsho, CF	1-3	0	0	0
8I.Kiner-Falefa, 3B	0-3	0	0	0
9A.Kirk, C	1-3	1	1	1

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Rea, P	85	7	4	1
RJ.Payamps, P	10	1	1	0
RT.Megill, P	11	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1B.Turang, 2B	0-3	1	0	0
2W.Contreras, C	1-4	0	0	0
3C.Yelich, LF	0-4	0	0	0
4W.Adames, SS	2-3	1	1	2
5R.Hoskins, DH	0-3	0	0	0
6S.Frelick, CF	0-2	0	0	0
6B.Perkins, PH	0-1	0	0	0
6B.Perkins, CF	0-1	0	0	0
7J.Ortiz, 3B	1-3	0	0	0
8J.Bauers, 1B	1-3	0	0	0
9J.Chourio, RF	1-2	1	1	1