Astros vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - May 6, 2023

Astros at Mariners

2:10 am • ROOT Sports NW

Houston Astros

11-14

6 - 4

Seattle Mariners

11-18

pitcher		team	era	w-l
L.Castillo			3.34	14-9
C.Javier			4.56	10-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Astros 11-14	N/A	N/A	N/A
Mariners 11-18	N/A	N/A	N/A

Saturday 2:10 a.m.

May 06, 2023

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

SEA -136

$1.00

Under 7.5-125

$1.25

SEA -136

HOU +115

1.27u

Under 7-120

Over 3.5 (F5)-102

0.49u

Two pitchers who are great but performing a bit above their head right now

HOU +123

1.23u

SEA -144 (F5)

1.44u

Castillo estimators almost a full run better than Javier - SEA 12 pt wRC+ edge v RHP - SEA def 4 Runs Prevented edge - SEA small to large edges in every aspect.

Under 7-105

0.53u

Bet to -110

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The Mariners are just 7-9 (.438) at home this season -- tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Astros are 4-3 (.571) when underdogs this season -- 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .395.

Teoscar Hernandez has struck out in 35% of PA's this season -- tied for eighth highest in MLB-- fourth Percentile. Cristian Javier has a strikeout rate of 32% vs right-handed batters this season -- eighth highest among qualified SPs-- 91st Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 33-48 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 41 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	69-93	36-45	33-48	44-69	24-22
Astros	82-80	37-44	45-36	43-60	39-18

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	88-68-6	41-35-5	47-33-1	58-49-6	28-18
Astros	72-83-7	36-43-2	36-40-5	45-56-2	25-27-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	90-72	51-30	39-42	66-47	22-24
Astros	87-75	46-35	41-40	56-47	31-26

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
May 4th	@ATH	W 5-3	-	-	-
May 4th	@ATH	W 7-2	-	-	-
May 3rd	@ATH	W 2-1	-	-	-
Apr 30th	@TOR	W 10-8	-	-	-
Apr 29th	@TOR	L 0-1	-	-	-

Hayden Wesneski
RP
Wesneski is out with elbow
Out

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PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Javier, P	94	7	8	3
RB.Abreu, P	24	1	2	1
RR.Pressly, P	5	1	0	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1M.Dubon, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
2A.Bregman, 3B	0-2	1	0	0
3Y.Alvarez, DH	1-4	1	1	3
4J.Abreu, 1B	0-3	1	0	0
5K.Tucker, RF	3-4	2	1	2
6J.Pena, SS	1-4	0	0	0
7C.Julks, LF	0-4	0	0	0
8J.Meyers, CF	2-4	1	0	0
9M.Maldonado, C	0-3	0	0	0

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RL.Castillo, P	96	7	5	4
RT.Gott, P	16	0.2	1	0
LG.Speier, P	6	0.1	1	0
RM.Brash, P	22	0.2	2	2
LT.Saucedo, P	7	0.1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Rodriguez, CF	0-4	0	0
2T.France, 1B	1-3	1	0
3J.Kelenic, LF	1-4	0	0
4E.Suarez, 3B	1-4	0	1
5C.Raleigh, C	1-4	1	0
6T.Hernandez, RF	2-4	1	0
7J.Crawford, SS	1-4	0	0
8T.Trammell, DH	0-3	1	0
9K. Wong, 2B	1-3	0	3