Angels vs. Mariners Odds & Betting Predictions - April 5, 2023

Angels at Mariners

8:10 pm • MLB Network

Los Angeles Angels

0-0

4 - 3

Seattle Mariners

6-6

pitcher		team	era	w-l
C.Flexen			7.71	0-4
S.Ohtani			3.14	10-5

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Angels 0-0	N/A	N/A	N/A
Mariners 6-6	N/A	N/A	N/A

Wednesday 8:10 p.m.

April 05, 2023

T-Mobile ParkSeattle

Under 8.5+120

1.2u

SEA +1.5-115

C.Flexen o3.5 Ks-105

BetMGM: Flexen was limited to 66 pitches in his first start, but I expect them to stretch him out now that he will get a few starts for Robbie Ray while he recovers. He only struck out 1 in his first start, but his underlying metrics were very K friendly. Flexen was able to post a 21% swinging strike rate and all 4 of his pitches were able to get a 50%+ whiff rate. He should see his K% go up quite a bit going forward and the Angels are a team that K at a higher rate. Projecting this closer to -160

Over 7-123

1.23u

LAA -1.5+100

0.5u

LAA -175

SEA +1.5-120

LAA -1-135

2.7u

LAA -175

$0.57

SEA +155

0.5u

Bet to +137

Under 7+100

0.5u

Need +100 or better

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The Mariners are 61-11 (.847) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season -- 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .805.

The Angels are just 3-76 (.038) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season -- 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .046.

The Angels are just 35-49 (.417) on the road since the 2022 season -- tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.

The Mariners are 68-3 (.958) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season -- tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

Eugenio Suarez had an OPS of just .443 with two strikes last season -- seventh worst in MLB-- fifth Percentile. Shohei Ohtani allowed an OPS of just .396 (396 PAs) with two strikes last season -- 12th best among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP-- 91st Percentile.

Shohei Ohtani is slugging .750 (81 total bases in 108 ABs) with runners in scoring position since last season -- best in MLB; League Avg: .451 -- 100th Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 82.2 MPH on changeups since the 2021 season (167 balls in play) -- best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 86.3

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (259/1,333) against Chris Flexen since the 2021 season -- 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 26% -- fifth Percentile.

23 of Shohei Ohtani's breaking pitch strikeouts were backdoor in 2022 -- 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan -- 97th Percentile.

No props found

MLB Public Betting

Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Mariners are 2-3 in their last 5 games against the spread
Mariners are 33-48 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Mariners' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 41 of Mariners' 81 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	69-93	36-45	33-48	44-69	24-22
Angels	85-77	44-37	41-40	13-25	70-52

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Mariners	88-68-6	41-35-5	47-33-1	58-49-6	28-18
Angels	86-72-4	44-34-3	42-38-1	21-16-1	64-55-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Mariners	90-72	51-30	39-42	66-47	22-24
Angels	72-90	39-42	33-48	19-19	51-71

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Apr 5th	LAA	W 11-2	-	-	-
Apr 4th	LAA	L 3-7	-	-	-
Apr 2nd	CLE	L 5-6	-	-	-
Apr 2nd	CLE	L 0-2	-	-	-
Apr 1st	CLE	L 4-9	-	-	-

Anthony Rendon
3B
Rendon is out with hip
Out
Grayson Rodriguez
SP
Rodriguez is out with elbow
Out

See more MLB Injuries

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RS.Ohtani, P	111	6	8	1
LM.Moore, P	14	0.2	1	1
RJ.Herget, P	26	1.1	0	1
LJ.Quijada, P	17	1	1	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	HR	RBI
1T.Ward, LF	0-4	1	0	0
1B. Phillips, LF	0-0	0	0	0
2M.Trout, CF	1-3	0	0	1
3S.Ohtani, DH	1-2	0	0	1
3S.Ohtani, DH	1-2	0	0	1
4H.Renfroe, RF	0-3	0	0	0
5B.Drury, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
5B.Drury, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6J. Lamb, 1B	0-4	0	0	0
6D. Fletcher, SS	0-0	0	0	0
7G.Urshela, 3B	2-4	2	0	0
8L.Rengifo, SS	0-4	0	0	0
8L.Rengifo, 2B	0-4	0	0	0
9L.O'Hoppe, C	1-4	1	1	2

PITCHER	PC	IP	K	ER
RC.Flexen, P	91	5	4	2
RM.Brash, P	23	1	2	0
RD.Castillo, P	14	0.2	1	2
RA.Munoz, P	16	0.1	1	0
RP.Murfee, P	13	1	1	0
RT.Gott, P	13	1	2	0

HITTERS	H-AB	R	RBI
1J.Rodriguez, CF	0-4	1	0
2T.France, 1B	1-3	1	1
3E.Suarez, 3B	2-4	0	2
4C.Raleigh, C	0-4	0	0
5T.Hernandez, RF	1-3	0	0
6K. Wong, 2B	0-3	0	0
7A. Pollock, DH	0-2	0	0
7C.Hummel, PH	0-1	0	0
7C.Hummel, DH	0-1	0	0
8J.Kelenic, LF	1-2	0	0
8S.Haggerty, PH	1-2	1	0
8S.Haggerty, LF	1-2	1	0
9J.Crawford, SS	2-4	0	0