England vs. France Odds & Betting Predictions - July 18, 2026

Super sub | #tailing @MagicM_MMApicks

In previous World Cup third-place matches, we rarely saw teams make wholesale changes to their starting lineups. I expect Kylian Mbappé to start here, especially with the Golden Boot still up for grabs. He is currently tied with Lionel Messi on eight goals, but after Messi registered two assists in the semi-final, he now leads the race thanks to the tiebreaker. Messi has four assists, while Mbappé has three, meaning Mbappé likely needs to outscore him outright to claim the award. Because of that, I expect Mbappé to play aggressively and constantly look for scoring opportunities. Whether he actually finds the net is irrelevant for this bet, but his motivation to shoot should be extremely high. Before the semi-final, Mbappé had recorded at least two shots on target in every World Cup match. Spain completely neutralized France in that game, giving them almost no opportunities to create meaningful chances. I expect a much different scenario against England, who are unlikely to replicate Spain's defensive performance. Third-place matches also tend to be more open, with both teams playing more freely and allowing more chances than they would in a knockout game with a trophy on the line. Finally, the odds are extremely important. There are huge differences between the bookies, and I wouldn't recommend taking anything worse than -150. Some bookmakers, such as Bet365, are offering around -125 on a market that includes both extra time and the super sub. Meanwhile, others are pricing the same bet at around -225 for regular time only! @everyone

Morgan Rogers has had a very limited role in this World Cup. I believe he is one of the more talented players on this team, but he needs more freedom, and this game could be the perfect opportunity. At Aston Villa last season, Rogers was one of the team's main attacking threats. Across 55 appearances in all competitions, he finished with an impressive 14 goals and 12 assists. He also wasn't shy about shooting, averaging 2.3 shots and 0.88 shots on target per 90 minutes in the Premier League. That shots-on-target average ranked him in the 89th percentile among Premier League players. With this match expected to be played at a high tempo and feature plenty of transitions, I believe Rogers will have the space he needs to make an impact. If he gets enough minutes, backing him to register at least one shot on target looks like a solid play. #PlayerProps #FIFA #England   #France 

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