Maryland vs Nebraska Odds & Pick: Bet the Road Favorite

Let's take a look at the Maryland vs Nebraska odds and make a pick for the Big Ten college football matchup on Saturday, November 11.

It's not often you find many motivated matchups between two middle-of-the-pack Big Ten teams at this point in the season.

However, that's what we have here as the Maryland Terrapins take on the Nebraska Cornhuskers with bowl eligibility on the line.

Maryland was getting a lot of love a month ago heading into its game against Ohio State. Since then, its season has taken a nose dive, as it comes into this matchup having lost four straight.

As for Nebraska, it's turned its season around of late. The Huskers come in at 3-2 in their last five after picking up victories over two of the three teams that defeated Maryland.

While that type of college football math doesn't always work, could it be pointing to the value in this matchup?

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At this point in the season, we know what the Terrapins offense is going to look like. They've kept the ball in Taulia Tagovailoa's hands all season long, and that will not change here.

It also helps that Tua's younger brother has kept himself on the map with another stellar season. Thus far, Tagovailoa ranks 29th in QBR and 28th in completion percentage.

His ability to complete passes at a high rate will be key in this matchup because if that's maintained, the Terps should be able to move the ball against the Cornhuskers without having to take big shots.

Nebraska's defense is very solid. It shuts down the run game, ranking fourth in yards per rush allowed while also not allowing big plays through the air. However, the Huskers are just 54th in opponent completion percentage allowed.

So, as long as Tagovailoa can have time to throw, we should see him hit receivers with short to intermediate passes all game long.

Matt Rhule's arrival to this Nebraska program did not provide the spark that many thought it would early on in the season. However, the man who has gotten this team on track is quarterback Heinrich Haarberg.

Haarberg has taken the reins of the offense and led the way both through the air and on the ground. While Haarberg is the player to watch when Nebraska has the ball, it's not like he's been the most efficient member of the offense.

He has provided very little threat in the passing game, and that has made the Cornhuskers the fifth-heaviest rushing offense in the nation. While Nebraska should get a decent push-up front, Maryland has been very stingy against the run, ranking 16th in yards per rush allowed.

The Terrapins could also sell out for the run if Haarberg is unable to keep them honest through the air.

Toggle the dropdowns below to hide or show how Maryland and Nebraska match up statistically:

Maryland Offense vs Nebraska Defense

	Offense	Defense	Edge
Rush Success	93	18
Line Yards	74	89
Pass Success	38	32
Havoc	15	78
Finishing Drives	30	41
Quality Drives	42	29

Nebraska Offense vs Maryland Defense

	Offense	Defense	Edge
Rush Success	77	87
Line Yards	46	84
Pass Success	126	62
Havoc	112	85
Finishing Drives	71	59
Quality Drives	101	78

Pace of Play / Other

PFF Tackling	6	37
PFF Coverage	32	35
Special Teams SP+	65	6
Middle 8	49	55
Seconds per Play	25.0 (31)	30.2 (122)
Rush Rate	42.9% (123)	66.2% (8)

This matchup has the potential to be a tight one. However, Maryland will be able to separate itself with its passing game.

Tagovailoa has been excellent this season, and his efficiency will allow him to find success against the Cornhuskers' secondary.

The Terps will be able to move the ball far more effectively than Nebraska will, and even if the game is low-scoring as the total suggests, Maryland will come out on top.

Pick: Maryland ML -125

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