UAB vs. UConn Odds & Betting Predictions - November 1, 2025

@Breese Best Bet https://myaction.app/MQDgdwYJRXb

Overs need three elements for me. Pace, explosive O, lack of fundamental D Now together, UConn overs are 6-2, UAB 5-2, both top 10 in the average amount of points above the closing total that they hit. So why is this hanging out in the mid-60s? UConn is 47th in seconds per play, 65th in plays per game Season-long numbers UAB was a bit slower but how did they look with Mort running the show without Dilfer? Even slower. Mort slowed things way down against Memphis from a seconds per play perspective to play keep away. 31 seconds between plays which is about as slow as you can go. So what I need here is UConn opening things up and forcing UAB to play faster. Can they do it? This Husky passing attack is up to 11th in explosiveness, 25th in big plays in general and they have done huge damage against lousy defenses all season long with Fin-yan-oh picking teams apart. 18 passing TDs, 0 INTs, 11 Big time Throws, 3 Turnover Worthy Plays. UAB is 134th in coverage, 135th in Passing Success Rate D, 121st in Pass Rush. You get the ball you get points, UAB gives up 3.54 points per drive, that’s 134th. Their win over Memphis was a defensive anomaly for a few reasons. They got to face a backup QB in the second half, if Memphis punches it in from the 1 yard line it would have been tied 31-31 at the end, instead a false start at 1, 2 incompletions, another delay of game and an incompletion. That game goes over in that case, and these two teams would then be 12-3 to the over this season. And finally I like the UAB offense in terms of explosiveness and their special teams return game for the same reason. Corri Milliner is back at practice and should play on Saturday, WR giving them even more pop. And whether it’s Kitna or Ryder Burton they’re throwing into a UConn secondary that can be picked apart. They try to keep things in front of them, by allowing a high completion rate, but they struggle to wrap up outside the top 100 there. That’s why they lost to Rice, they missed 28 tackles in that game. UAB has explosive athletes to take advantage here, especially on the ground to a defense that just gave up 300 rushing yards to Rice.