Purdue vs. Oregon St Odds & Betting Predictions - September 22, 2024

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#ProSystem . road dog ML small spread unranked Overall: 219-186-0,54% (ROI:21%) Season:1-1-0,50% (ROI:20%)

Follow On X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Purdue, despite their struggles against Notre Dame, offers reasons for optimism. Their passing defense is ranked 6th in the nation, allowing only 133 passing yards per game, which will be crucial in containing Oregon State’s mediocre aerial attack, ranked 112th with an average of 169.7 passing yards per game. With the Beavers not showing a significant threat through the air, Purdue’s defensive strength in this area could limit the scoring opportunities and keep the game closer than expected. Additionally, Oregon State has allowed 214 passing yards per game and conceded four touchdowns through the air. Purdue, who has already tallied five passing touchdowns this season, should find opportunities to exploit this secondary. This makes Purdue a candidate for enough offensive production to cover the spread, especially considering the fact that the Boilermakers average 28 points per game. Oregon State’s 21.3 points allowed per game puts them in a position where they might struggle to hold down Purdue’s offense for the full game. Although Purdue’s run defense has been weak, allowing 233 rushing yards per game and 5.4 yards per carry, Oregon State’s ground game hasn’t been unstoppable. They average 243.3 rushing yards per game, but their ability to break big runs against Purdue's front will likely be countered by Purdue focusing on stacking the box to control the ground game, forcing the Beavers to win through the air, which has not been their strong suit. This could help Purdue keep the score manageable and within the 5.5-point spread. Another factor favoring Purdue is Oregon State’s 74th ranking in penalties, committing 189 yards on 17 violations so far this season. These discipline issues could create key moments where Oregon State’s drives stall, giving Purdue more chances to stay in the game. With Purdue needing to bounce back after their loss and having shown some promise in their pass defense and offensive capabilities, expect them to be motivated to put up a strong fight and keep this contest tight. Considering that Oregon State is coming off a 49-14 loss to Oregon and Purdue can exploit their defensive lapses, especially in the passing game, taking the points on Purdue +5.5 seems like a valuable option.