Aggies vs. Lobos Odds & Betting Predictions - September 27, 2025

Aggies at Lobos

8:00 pm • MW Network
20 - 38

Aggies at Lobos Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Aggies
4-8
+8.5
+16.5-110
o53.5-115
+500
Lobos
9-4
u54.5
-16.5-110
u53.5-105
-700
location pinSaturday 8:00 p.m.
September 27, 2025
University Stadium (NM)Albuquerque
Aggies vs. Lobos Expert Picks
Road to CFB
Road to CFB
Last 30d: 12-9-0 (+2.2u)
Under 54.5-110
1.1u
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 27-19-1 (+8.8u)
UNM -13.5-105
1u
CLV. Posted. Week ago in the discord. Link in bio
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 47-33-0 (+24.0u)
UNM -15.5-105
1.9u
BBOC G5 Deep Dive Pod
BBOC G5 Deep Dive Pod
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
NMSU +14-112
1u
Mike Calabrese
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 38-20-2 (+24.7u)
NMSU +14-110
1.1u
The Rio Grande Rivalry is always tight. It’s been within this point spread in 9 of the last 10 years. And to catch everyone up, we thought this would be a down year for both the Aggies and Lobos. But State is 2-1 with wins over Bryant and Tulsa. And New Mexico is 2-1 with a decent showing at MIchigan, a ten point win over FCS Idaho State and a shocking 25-point beatdown of UCLA. But I think this UCLA win is throwing power rankings out of whack. UCLA no-showed that game, fired their coach post game. New Mexico is well coached, they have a hard-nosed rushing identity, they don’t put too much on Jack Layne’s shoulders. But there’s metrics here that worry me greatly with the Lobos as a nearly two touchdown favorite. Outside the top 100 in explosiveness, rushing success rate, and their defense creates little to no HAVOC (132nd). Gimme the road Aggies and an average Logan Fife to keep it within the number.

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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Aggies vs. Lobos Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

Aggies

Public

50%

Bets%

50%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Lobos
7-53-34-23-34-2
Aggies
6-63-33-30-25-4

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
Lobos
5-71-54-21-54-2
Aggies
5-71-54-21-14-5

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
Lobos
9-3N/AN/A6-03-3
Aggies
4-8N/AN/A1-13-6

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 13th@UCLAW 35-10+15.5 WU 52.5UNM +490
Sep 6thIDSW 32-22-18.5 LU 60.5UNM -1000
Aug 30th@MICHL 17-34+34.5 WO 49.5MICH +3000
Dec 1st@HAWL 30-38---
Nov 17thWSUW 38-35+10.5 WO 72.5UNM +320
Team Stats
304
Total Yards
476
68
Total Plays
69
4.470588235294118
Yards Per Play
6.898550724637682
289
YDS
344
21/38
Comps/Atts
24/31
7.605263157894737
YPA
11.096774193548388
1/1
TDs/INTs
5/0
9/62
Sacks/Yards
0/0
15
Rush Yards
132
30
Attempts
38
0.5
YPC
3.473684210526316
0
TDs
0

Turnovers

0
Fumbles Lost
2
1
Interceptions
0

Efficiency

0/1 0%
Redzone
2/2 100%
6/17 0%
3rd Down
7/14 0%
1/3 0%
4th Down
0/1 0%

First Downs

16
Total
24
11
Pass
13
5
Rush
7
0
Penalty
4
9/94
Penalties/Yards
8/55

Aggies vs. Lobos Odds Comparison

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Aggies at Lobos Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
Aggies
4-8
o17.5-114
u17.5-116
Lobos
9-4
o34.5-127
u34.5-103