N. Mexico St vs. New Mexico Odds & Betting Predictions - September 27, 2025

N. Mexico St at New Mexico

8:00 pm • MW Network
20 - 38

N. Mexico St at New Mexico Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
N. Mexico St
3-2
+8.5
+16.5-110
o53.5-115
+500
New Mexico
3-2
u54.5
-16.5-110
u53.5-105
-700
location pinSaturday 8:00 p.m.
September 27, 2025
University Stadium (NM)Albuquerque
N. Mexico St vs. New Mexico Expert Picks
Capper Central
Capper Central
Last 30d: 90-62-1 (+13.4u)
UNM -13.5-105
1u
CLV. Posted. Week ago in the discord. Link in bio
YBK Picks.com
Last 30d: 52-37-3 (+23.7u)
UNM -15.5-105
1.9u
BBOC G5 Deep Dive Pod
BBOC G5 Deep Dive Pod
Last 30d: 14-23-0 (-8.3u)
NMSU +14-112
1u
Mike Calabrese
Mike Calabrese
Last 30d: 18-32-0 (-16.0u)
NMSU +14-110
1.1u
The Rio Grande Rivalry is always tight. It’s been within this point spread in 9 of the last 10 years. And to catch everyone up, we thought this would be a down year for both the Aggies and Lobos. But State is 2-1 with wins over Bryant and Tulsa. And New Mexico is 2-1 with a decent showing at MIchigan, a ten point win over FCS Idaho State and a shocking 25-point beatdown of UCLA. But I think this UCLA win is throwing power rankings out of whack. UCLA no-showed that game, fired their coach post game. New Mexico is well coached, they have a hard-nosed rushing identity, they don’t put too much on Jack Layne’s shoulders. But there’s metrics here that worry me greatly with the Lobos as a nearly two touchdown favorite. Outside the top 100 in explosiveness, rushing success rate, and their defense creates little to no HAVOC (132nd). Gimme the road Aggies and an average Logan Fife to keep it within the number.

N. Mexico St vs. New Mexico Previews & Analysis

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Prop Odds Comparison

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Line Movement Tracker

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N. Mexico St vs. New Mexico Public Betting Percentages

Away Logo

N. Mexico St

Public

50%

Bets%

50%

Money%

Matchup History

Against the Spread (ATS) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
New Mexico
3-21-12-11-12-1
N. Mexico St
2-32-10-20-12-2

Over/Under History

overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
New Mexico
3-21-12-11-12-1
N. Mexico St
2-30-32-00-12-2

Straight-Up (ML) History

overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
New Mexico
3-2N/AN/A2-01-2
N. Mexico St
3-2N/AN/A1-02-2

Last 5 Matchups

dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
Sep 13th@UCLAW 35-10+15.5 WU 52.5UNM +490
Sep 6thIDSW 32-22-18.5 LU 60.5UNM -1000
Aug 30th@MICHL 17-34+34.5 WO 49.5MICH +3000
Dec 1st@HAWL 30-38---
Nov 17thWSUW 38-35+10.5 WO 72.5UNM +320
Team Stats
304
Total Yards
476
68
Total Plays
69
4.470588235294118
Yards Per Play
6.898550724637682
289
YDS
344
21/38
Comps/Atts
24/31
7.605263157894737
YPA
11.096774193548388
1/1
TDs/INTs
5/0
9/62
Sacks/Yards
0/0
15
Rush Yards
132
30
Attempts
38
0.5
YPC
3.473684210526316
0
TDs
0
0
Fumbles Lost
2
1
Interceptions
0
0/1 0%
Redzone
2/2 100%
6/17 0%
3rd Down
7/14 0%
1/3 0%
4th Down
0/1 0%
16
Total
24
11
Pass
13
5
Rush
7
0
Penalty
4
9/94
Penalties/Yards
8/55

N. Mexico St vs. New Mexico Odds Comparison

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N. Mexico St at New Mexico Team Totals

MatchupOverUnder
N. Mexico St
3-2
o17.5-114
u17.5-116
New Mexico
3-2
o34.5-127
u34.5-103