Tennessee vs. Texas A&M Odds, Pick | College Basketball Betting Prediction (Tuesday, Feb. 21)

Tennessee vs. Texas A&M Odds, Pick | College Basketball Betting Prediction (Tuesday, Feb. 21) article feature image
Credit:

Eakin Howard/Getty Images. Pictured: Tennessee’s Zakai Zeigler.

Tennessee vs. Texas A&M Odds

Tennessee Odds+1.5
Texas A&M Odds-1.5
Over/Under129.5
DateTuesday, Feb. 21
Time7 p.m. ET
How to WatchESPN
Odds via FanDuel as of Tuesday

The Action Network has created a proprietary algorithm that has developed a database since 2005.

This college basketball model encompasses specific parameters and thinks there's value on the spread for Tennessee vs. Texas A&M on Tuesday night.

We don't recommend using this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing — variance is a much sturdier constraint in sports gambling compared to the financial markets — but similar principles apply in regard to gains over a long time horizon.

Tennessee vs. Texas A&M College Basketball Odds, Prediction

This betting algorithm has a list of parameters it considers when targeting a specific game and line. In general, it assigns value to lines it considers inefficient in the market.

And for Tuesday night, the models think the public is overrating a solid — but inferior — Texas A&M team at home.

Our models indicate Tennessee should be roughly -2 point favorites for this nationally televised tilt.

Meanwhile, the best price on the market for the Volunteers' spread is with BetMGM at +2.5 (-110).

Same principles apply for the moneyline. While Tennessee should be -123 favorites, their market-best price pits them at +125 at WynnBet.

The spread has a roughly 5% edge while the moneyline has a nearly 11% betting edge.

Effectively, you'll be receiving a 5% or 11% discount from the fair value price on Tennessee's spread.

Another way to think about it: You're accumulating 5% or 11% in expected value by making those picks. Over the long run, if you exclusively bet on things that provide positive expected value, you're all but assured to make a profit. In the short term, of course, variance is a constraint.

Keep in mind that this historically profitable algorithm applies to one or two college basketball games per day. While Tuesday night might be an opportunity to cash in, this is a long-term investment.

In order to maximize your return on investment, make sure to follow through whenever this algorithm provides picks for the rest of the season.

Pick: Tennessee +125 or better | Tennessee +2.5 (-110) or better

About the Author
Avery Yang is an editor at the Action Network who focuses on breaking news across the sports world and betting algorithms that try to predict eventual outcomes. He is also Darren Rovell's editor. Avery is a recent graduate from Northwestern University's Medill School of Journalism. He has written for the Washington Post, the Associated Press, Sports Illustrated, (the old) Deadspin, MLB.com and others.

Follow Avery Yang @avery_yang on Twitter/X.

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