It's officially March, and while we're just weeks away from madness, there are plenty of games left to be played.
This Saturday's slate features a bevy of marquee matchups, and there's no better way to get in on them than the player prop market.
So, let's dive into our top college basketball player props for this Saturday's slate.
Johnny Furphy Under 13.5 Points (-140)
Kansas vs. Baylor | 1 p.m. ET
We get things started with one of the multiple marquee matchups, as the Baylor Bears are set to take on the Kansas Jayhawks. While this may be a buy-low spot for the Jayhawks as a squad, there's one man worth fading.
Johnny Furphy has carved himself out a role in the offense as the season has progressed. The Australian native has shown he can be a marksman from beyond the arc. However, what comes with a high-volume 3-point shooter is a lot of variance.
With Furphy only averaging 3.6 attempts from downtown per game, it's hard to see him making more than two, given his season-long percentages. It's also important to note that he struggled against this Baylor team just a few weeks ago, going 0-for-6 from long range.
The variance in his 3-point shooting has caused him to go under his points line more often than not this season. In fact, he's gone under it in 74% of his 26 games played this season.
That hit rate swings the odds heavily in our favor, as his implied line is -285.
Pick: Johnny Furphy Under 13.5 Points (-140)
Sean Pedulla Over 3.5 Assists (-135)
Wake Forest vs. Virginia Tech | 5:30 p.m. ET
We go from the Big 12 to the ACC with this selection, as one of the conferences top playmakers has value.
Sean Pedulla is the offense for the Virginia Tech Hokies — he can do it all from the point.
His usage rate is sky high and his ability to score has led to him to becoming more a facilitator this season given all the attention he draws.
Now, Pedulla has a tough matchup in Wake Forest, which is 16th in assist-to-field goal-made ratio. But he's proven this number is too low.
Pedulla has recorded at least four assists in 69% of games played this season, which includes eight of his last 10. His overall hit rate gives us implied odds of -223, which makes this one of the best plays on the board.
Pick: Sean Pedulla Over 3.5 Assists (-135)
Mark Mitchell Over 5.5 Rebounds (-120)
Virginia vs. Duke | 6 p.m. ET
While the Blue Devils certainly dodged a bullet when Kyle Filipowski was injured during a court storming, Duke's big man may not be 100% despite playing through a knee issue.
However, Duke is in the good hands of Mark Mitchell, who's shown he can pick up the slack on the glass. Mitchell has been a force in the paint, and his hustle for missed shots will be crucial against a Virginia team that will limit possessions.
Mitchell and the Blue Devils have the edge on the glass, and that points to Mitchell going over his rebound prop once again. He's shown this mark is too low this season, as he's gone over it in 60% of games this season.
That percentage gives us implied odds of -150 that he'll go over today, and a 30-cent edge is not one to pass up.
Pick: Mark Mitchell Over 5.5 Rebounds (-120)
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