Spurs vs. Nets Odds & Betting Predictions - December 28, 2024

Averaging 9.5 RA per game this season over 25 minutes but now Ben Simmons, Ziaire Williams and Cam Johnson are out for this game (Dorian Finney-Smith is in). Projections have him closer to 10.8 RA over 29 minutes and my personal projections have him just slightly under that at 10.5 RA. I’m staying away from PRA as I do suspect he’ll take on a greater role on offense so attacking the under on his RA instead.

Paul has covered this line in 21/29 games when playing 20+ MIN - AVG 8.5 AST and 16.2 pAST. Since SAS changed their lineup and Vassell became a starter, Paul has covered in 3/L4. BKN rank #22 in AST (26.9) and since the Schroder trade nothing has changed, as they're allowing 26.8 L5. Paul has covered this line in 10/13 vs. teams T10 in AST - AVG 9.9 AST and 17.3 pAST. BKN already allowed the 4th highest C&S FREQ% (33.8%) and that number has jumped to 40.1% L5 since the trade - C&S are the easiest ways to record pAST besides lobs at the rim. Paul has covered this line in 11/13 vs. teams T10 in C&S FREQ% - AVG 17.9 pAST. When Paul has faced a team T10 in both AST and C&S FREQ%, he's covered in 5/6 - AVG 18.3 pAST. In games Paul see's at least 15 pAST (one below his season AVG), he covers this line in 15/20 games.