Spurs vs. Hawks Odds & Betting Predictions - December 20, 2025

Learning my lesson after playing his over vs. SAS last time. U2.5 3PM is -174, under in 5/5 games when he fails to hit 3 3PM and avg. 4.8 PPG. If you remembered, he was held to a criminally low 4.2% usage rate in Mitch Johnson's defense. Now with Wemby back, and likely playing 17-20 minutes, his rotation (early Q2 and closing Q4) should match when Krejci is on the court. He scores 60% of his points from transition or catch & shoot, and basically only gets used if defenses gamble on Jalen Johnson or NAW. With how strong and switchable SAS is defensively, they should force more ISO and dirve from NAW and Jalen Johnson while defenders close off on perimiter shooters wih how effective Wemby is at rim protection. #PlayerProps

Johnson has hit this in 9 of his last 10 games and 18 of his last 20. He had 7 against ATL in their first matchup

NBA POD

I have the Hawks favored here, simple as that. They have not been a good cover at home, which is why I’m not going all in, but the Spurs are also running the more hectic schedule this week with their cup play and being on the 2nd night of a B2B. Half unit on the ML at the best price in the market.