Nets vs. Grizzlies Odds & Betting Predictions - December 14, 2024

Nets at Grizzlies

1:00 am • FDSSE

Brooklyn Nets

11-16

119

119 - 135

Memphis Grizzlies

19-9

135

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nets 11-16	+11	+10-110	o227.5-112	+372
Grizzlies 19-9	u226.5	-10-110	u227.5-108	-500

Saturday 1:00 a.m.

December 14, 2024

FedExForumMemphis

M.Smart o3.5 Ast+114

THE BOUNCE 📽️: 3.97 Asts Even on more limited mins, Smart has been a good source of assists for MEM. He has been over this mark in 8 of his last 10 games, averaging 4.7 assists per game. BKN is allowing the 11th most assists per game to PG's this season. He's only had 2 and 1 assists the last 2 games, but was still averaging 5.5 potentials per game. Just need more conversions in this one to get him back on track.

D.Schroder u19.5 Pts-120

0.83u

After scoring 33 in a 6/9 from three upset vs Memphis earlier this year I love for Schroder to go under tonight. Before this year his last 9 times in Memphis included shooting 1/4, 1/4, 1/4, 1/5, 1/5, 1/3, 0/4. He’s not going off like the outlier earlier this year, in fact he scored under 20 in 11 straight games vs Memphis. This line is higher than the bookmaker that set it at 19.5

BKN +10-108

0.27u

B.Clarke o0.5 Blk+120

B. Clarke ⬆️ 0.5 Blocks (+120 @ BetRivers) THE BOUNCE 📽️: 0.92 Blocks **Key Factors:** Projection & Value: Clarke is projected for 0.92 blocks by THE BOUNCE, which provides strong value on this line. On BetRivers, the over is priced at +120, while most other books have it at +100 or worse, making this a +EV play worth considering. Matchup Breakdown: Brooklyn has struggled to prevent blocks all season, allowing the third-most blocks per game overall and the 11th-most to opposing power forwards. This creates an ideal environment for Clarke to contribute defensively. Recent Performance: Clarke has recorded at least one block in six of his last eight games, with multiple blocks in two of those contests. His consistent defensive activity supports this play, especially in a matchup where opportunities should be plentiful. Conclusion: With favorable projections, a strong matchup, and recent form on his side, Clarke over 0.5 blocks offers great value, especially at +120 odds. This is a well-supported pick backed by both data and situational analysis.

N.Claxton u1.5 Blk+105

1.05u

N. Claxton ⬇️ 1.5 Blocks (+105 @ DraftKings) THE BOUNCE 📽️: 1.36 Blocks **Key Factors:** **Recent Performance:** Claxton has fallen under this mark in three of his last five games and has only exceeded 1.5 blocks in 39% of games this season. His shot-blocking output has been inconsistent, unlike in years past. **Line Movement:** We've already seen this prop shift from plus money to around -110 or worse at most sportsbooks, indicating market correction toward the under. **Matchup Breakdown:** Memphis was once a prime matchup for blocks and steals, but that has changed this season. The Grizzlies rank just 16th in blocks allowed per game and 18th in blocks surrendered specifically to opposing centers. Their improved ball security and offensive adjustments have reduced defensive stat opportunities for opponents. **Game Environment:** Brooklyn is struggling this season and comes into this game as a 10-point underdog. If the game gets out of hand early, Claxton's minutes could be limited, further reducing his block potential. **Conclusion:** With inconsistent recent performances, a declining matchup value, and potential minutes concerns in a possible blowout, Claxton under 1.5 blocks looks like a strong play at this price. The betting market shift further supports this angle, making the under a well-supported pick.

M.Smart o3.5 Ast-104

M.Smart o4.5 Ast+210

0.2u

M.Smart o5.5 Ast+380

0.2u

BKN +10-108

1.08u

B.Clarke o7.5 Pts-135

0.74u

Via @TurveyBets

MEM o120.5 Team Total-105

Avery

MEM -11.5-105

0.95u

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Memphis is red-hot, fueled by elite defense, scoring depth, and roster strength. Morant, Bane, and Clarke’s return boosts their offensive ceiling against Brooklyn's defensive struggles. Memphis dominates at home, excels in rebounding with Jackson Jr. and Aldama, and stifles perimeter shooting. Brooklyn, struggling with consistency, faces a tough test against the Grizzlies’ scoring power and cohesion.

Over 230.5-110

0.91u

Read full writeup on X: https://x.com/PicksOffice Grizzlies excel with 122.1 PPG, driven by pace, transition, and key players like Morant and Bane. Even without Morant, they hit 140 points, showing depth. Nets' shaky defense allows 118 PPG recently, while their offense, led by Schroder and Claxton, adds potential. Both teams' fast pace, poor defense, and high efficiency point to an up-tempo, high-scoring clash.

Under 230.5-110

0.55u

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NBA Public Betting

Grizzlies are 4-1 in their last 5 games.
Grizzlies are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Grizzlies are 7-4 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Grizzlies' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 9 of Grizzlies' 16 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Grizzlies	19-8-1	12-4	7-4-1	14-6-1	5-2
Nets	16-10-1	6-6	10-4-1	2-2	14-8-1

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Grizzlies	17-11	9-7	8-4	12-9	5-2
Nets	14-13	7-5	7-8	3-1	11-12

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Grizzlies	19-9	N/A	N/A	16-5	3-4
Nets	11-16	N/A	N/A	3-1	8-15

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Dec 9th	@WAS	W 140-112	-10 W	O 235.5	MEM -440
Dec 8th	@BOS	W 127-121	+7 W	O 238	MEM +235
Dec 6th	SAC	W 115-110	-3.5 W	U 243	MEM -148
Dec 4th	@DAL	L 116-121	+4.5 L	U 244.5	DAL +165
Dec 1st	IND	W 136-121	-6 W	O 243.5	MEM -238