Knicks vs. Heat Odds & Betting Predictions - April 2, 2024

Knicks at Heat

11:30 pm • BSSUN

New York Knicks

40-20

99 - 109

Miami Heat

28-31

109

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Knicks 40-20	+2.5-111	o205.5-111	+114
Heat 28-31	-2.5-109	u205.5-109	-135

Tuesday 11:30 p.m.

April 02, 2024

Kaseya CenterMiami

J.Brunson o34.5 Pts+Ast-110

1.1u

Over 206-110

0.91u

M.McBride u1.5 TOs-210

D.Robinson o10.5 Pts-120

J.Brunson u28.5 Pts-115

0.5u

#Tailing @PropBomb

J.Brunson u28.5 Pts-115

Brutal and slow matchup. Averages 27.0 PPG without Julius Randle when he plays up against top-12 defense. He’s gone under 66% of these games, with a miss last game vs. OKC (poor rebounding team) where 8 of his 30 PTS came off 2nd chance (averages 3.5 PPG L10). The Miami Heat are in peak defensive form as they approach the playoffs ranking 2nd best overall. Over Brunson’s last 10 games, 40.8% of his FGM are coming less than 10 feet where Miami ranks the BEST in defending (OKC ranks 23rd) and 34% of his PPG come from PNR BH (MIA ranks #2) and 2nd fewest FTA. Brunson scored 32 points last meeting but that was with Julius Randle commanding Bam’s attention on defense. It’s no coincidence why Miami permits the fewest PPGs to opposing #1 options. Now, Erik Spoelstra can schemectially throw traps/doubles at Brunson to slow him down including Haywood Highsmith, Jimmy, & Bam Adebayo. #PlayerProps

M.McBride o13.5 Pts-115

MIA -3-110

0.68u

D.Robinson o2.5 3pt M-120

0.6u

IT’S 3PM SOMEWHERE!!

MIA -2.5-112

2.68u

Under 208-110

Over 207-110

0.45u

Featured Insight
The Knicks have allowed an eFG% of 52% in close and late situations this season -- 7th-best in the NBA; the Heat have an eFG% of 48% in close and late situations this season -- worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Heat have averaged 12.8 turnovers/game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season -- T-3rd-lowest in the NBA; the Knicks have forced 13.0 turnovers per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season -- 7th-lowest in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Heat are 2-3 in their last 5 games.
Heat are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
Heat are 12-20 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Heat' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 18 of Heat' 26 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	25-33-1	13-13	12-20-1	14-18	11-15-1
Knicks	27-31-2	13-16-2	14-15	24-25-2	3-6

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Heat	33-26	18-8	15-18	18-14	15-12
Knicks	34-26	17-14	17-12	28-23	6-3

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Heat	28-31	N/A	N/A	19-13	9-18
Knicks	40-20	N/A	N/A	37-14	3-6

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Mar 31st	@WAS	W 119-107	-12 L	O 214	MIA -687
Mar 30th	POR	W 142-82	-14.5 W	O 208.5	MIA -1200
Mar 26th	GSW	L 92-113	+4.5 L	U 217	GSW +170
Mar 24th	CLE	W 121-84	-3.5 W	O 203	MIA -162
Mar 23rd	NOP	L 88-111	-3 L	U 207.5	NOP -142