Heat vs. Thunder Odds & Betting Predictions - March 9, 2024
Heat at Thunder
1:00 am • KSBIHeat at Thunder Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Heat 1-1 | +8 | +8.5-106 | o226.5-110 | +295 |
 Thunder 3-0 | u225.5 | -8.5-114 | u226.5-110 | -375 |
Paycom CenterOklahoma City
Heat vs. Thunder Expert Picks
Steak Friend
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
OKC +2.5 (Live)-115
1u
Milly Props
Last 30d: 4-5-0 (-1.4u)
S.Gilgeous-Alexander o5.5 Ast+100
1u
2+ 1Q AST
Cam Is Money
Last 30d: 76-95-3 (-14.1u)
C.Martin o1.5 3pt M-103
1.45u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 28-85-1 (-12.0u)
C.Martin o9.5 Pts-115
0.57u
#Tailing @TheBMatt
Brian Matthews
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
C.Martin o9.5 Pts-117
1.17u
Getting the exact same number as last night (9.5) where Martin scored 13 pts while playing 32 minutes.
Josh Richardson, Tyler Herro, and Kevin Love have all been ruled out again, so I’m going to continue to back Martin points.
In the four games this season w/o those three players, Martin has scored 13, 18, 15, and 13 pts, so I like Martin to go over this line again tonight.
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 28-85-1 (-12.0u)
C.Holmgren o15.5 Pts-113
0.57u
#Tailing @JoeDellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 12-20-0 (-1.6u)
C.Holmgren o15.5 Pts-113
1u
Via Matty Chucks
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 38-78-0 (+7.5u)
C.Holmgren o27.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-115
1.15u
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 1-6-0 (-6.2u)
J.Williams u19.5 Pts-125
1u
Selling high here. Jalen Williams has scored 22+ points in five of his last six games vs. inferior opponents that cannot contain primary BH drivers (HOU, PHX, LAL).
Jalen should get his toughest test against the Miami Heat. 33% of his FGM come from using the Pick & Roll w/ Chet at top of the key, following with a drive or pull-up but MIA defends this playtype at the 3rd best rate. The other 22% of his PTS come from transition (MIA defends 2nd best) & 44.7 of FGM at the rim where MIA allows 2nd fewest PITP since All Star Break.
Jalen Williams averages 17.2 PPG going under 20 points in 11 of the 15 games where he faced a top-10 pick & roll ball handler defense. He scored 19 PTS vs. MIA in last meeting including 4 Q2 MIN for SGA & Chet being foul trouble. MIA ranks the best in limiting PPG to drivers. And there could be a blowout potential here. #PlayerProps
Brian Bitler
Last 30d: 75-70-2 (+3.0u)
OKC -8.5-110
3u
PRO Insights
Heat
MIA Insights
- Featured Insight The Heat have allowed 13.0 second chance points per game on the road this season -- T-8th-best in the NBA; the Thunder have averaged 11.4 second chance points per game at home this season -- 3rd-lowest in the NBA.
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Thunder
OKC Insights
- Featured Insight The Thunder have allowed an eFG% of 52% at home this season -- 3rd-best in the NBA; the Heat have an eFG% of 53% on the road this season -- T-8th-worst in the NBA.
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Heat vs. Thunder Previews & Analysis
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Heat vs. Thunder Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Thunder are 3-0 in their last 5 games.
- Thunder are 1-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Thunder are 1-1 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Thunder' last 3 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Thunder' 1 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
Over/Under History
Last 5 Matchups
Heat vs. Thunder Injury Updates
Heat Injuries
- Tyler HerroSG
Herro is out with ankle
Out
- Kasparas JakucionisPG
Jakucionis is out with groin
Out
Thunder Injuries
- Kenrich WilliamsPF
Williams is out with knee
Out
- Isaiah JoeSG
Joe is out with knee
Out
- Jalen WilliamsSG
Williams is out with wrist
Out
- Nikola TopicPG
Topic is out with groin
Out
Player Stats
- scoring
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander37ppg - rebounding
-9rpg - assistsShai Gilgeous-Alexander6apg
- shooting
Jaylin Williams66.7fg%
Team Stats
Heat vs. Thunder Odds Comparison
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Heat at Thunder Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Heat 1-1 | o108.5-112 | u108.5-112 |
Thunder 3-0 | o117.5-113 | u117.5-112 |