Grizzlies vs. Pacers Odds & Betting Predictions - January 28, 2024

I know the Grizz have no one, but this is a terrible matchup for Williams. He’s a spot up shooter - 162 of his 284 points are via the three, and 38 of his 77 assists are to spot up shooters. The Pacers allow the fewest ppg to spot up shooters, at the lowest frequency. And even in his expanded role, he’s only averaging 6 drives per game over the L8, and only 2 FGA from those drives.

Fuck the B team Grizzlies - need my lick back

JJJ has been playing great but this line is simply too high for a player who is not a regular volume scorer. JJJ has averaged 21.8 points per game on the season and has exceeded 30 points in just 8 games this season. While the entire Grizzlies team is seemingly on the injury report, it simply means there will be more defensive focus on JJJ. Although the Pacers are a soft matchup, this specific matchup is not a great one for JJJ. He has never scored 30 points in 8 games against Siakam and he’s scored 30 points once in six games against Myles Turner. He doesn’t have the size or bruising mentality to attack either of them on the interior and their quickness gives them a chance to defend him well. JJJ should see plenty of Usage here, but he’ll have to have one of his best scoring games of the last two seasons to exceed this line.