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Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - December 29, 2023

Grizzlies at Nuggets

2:00 am • ALT

Memphis Grizzlies

48-34
105
105 - 142

Denver Nuggets

1-0
142

Grizzlies at Nuggets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Grizzlies
48-34
+6
+9-106
o222.5-112
+300
Nuggets
1-0
u227.5
-9-114
u222.5-110
-375
location pinFriday 2:00 a.m.
December 29, 2023
Ball ArenaDenver
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Expert Picks
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
Last 30d: 14-21-0 (+8.5u)
MEM +9-105
1.05u
Milly Props
Milly Props
Last 30d: 3-1-0 (+1.4u)
K.Caldwell-Pope o1.5 3pt M-125
0.8u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 83-78-5 (+5.0u)
Under 224.5-110
1u
Idk how this game goes over - we’ll see
Alex Smart
Alex Smart
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MEM +2.5 (1Q)-110
1u
Over 224.5-110
0.91u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 83-78-5 (+5.0u)
MEM u108.5 Team Total-110
0.91u
Over this number since Ja’s return - Denver clamps
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 7-4-0 (+2.3u)
K.Caldwell-Pope o9.5 Pts-120
1u
8 PTS on 30% FG last meeting, AG is OUT. In 225 w/ him off the court, KCP avg. 13.7 PPG Per-30 MIN. 10+ in 10 of L11 in sample. MEM allow 2nd most 3PM and 6th most SU PPG. Tillman/JJJ will be on Jokic. Smart on Murray. #PlayerProps
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
M.Porter o26.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120
1.2u
This game sets up well for MPJ - MEM is bottom 5 vs spot up shooters, tough in the paint (Jokic), and Marcus Smart is back (tougher on Murray). MPJ with 34, 21, 45, 33 in four games earlier this season without Gordon (although they were also without Murray). But after a bit of a rut, he’s put together two solid games in a row.
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 64-81-4 (-0.6u)
K.Caldwell-Pope o14.5 Pts+450
0.35u
K.Caldwell-Pope o9.5 Pts-115
1.3u
Gets a matchup against the Grizzlies tomorrow who allow the third most 3s per game. KCP can thrive from the perimeter but also has no issue attacking the rim, especially when Gordon (dog bite) is off the floor. Over the last two seasons, KCP has played 15 games without Gordon. In those games he has 10+ points in 12/15 and is averaging 12.9 ppg. While Braun and Strawther are more natural replacements for the Gordon minutes, KCP sees the Usage uptick. I don’t hate a sprinkle of 15+ (+450 FD) a number he’s hit in 6/15 but 2/4 this season.

PRO Insights

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Grizzlies

MEM Insights
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    Nuggets logo

    Nuggets

    DEN Insights
    • Featured Insight
      Nuggets logoThe Nuggets are 13-2 (.867) when they win the turnover margin this season -- 2nd-best in the NBA; the Grizzlies have averaged 15.1 turnovers per game this season -- T-6th-highest in the NBA.
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    Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Previews & Analysis

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      Dec 28, 2023 UTC
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      Grizzlies vs Nuggets: How to Back Memphis' Defense

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      Dec 28, 2023 UTC
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    Prop Odds Comparison

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    Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Public Betting Percentages

    Away Logo

    Grizzlies

    Public

    Home Logo

    Nuggets

    59%

    Bets%

    41%

    Money%

    NBA Public Betting Right Arrow

    Betting Trends

    • Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
    • Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
    • Nuggets are 20-21 in their road games against the spread
    • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nuggets' last 5 games
    • The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Nuggets' 41 last games at home

    Matchup History

    Against the Spread (ATS) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Nuggets    		38-43-118-22-120-2127-33-111-10
    Grizzlies    		40-39-319-21-121-18-229-22-211-17-1

    Over/Under History

    overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
    Nuggets    		48-33-126-1522-18-135-25-113-8
    Grizzlies    		46-3621-2025-1625-2821-8

    Straight-Up (ML) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Nuggets    		50-32N/AN/A40-2110-11
    Grizzlies    		48-34N/AN/A40-138-21

    Last 5 Matchups

    dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
    Dec 25thGSWW 120-114-7.5 LU 235.5DEN -310
    Dec 24th@CHAW 102-95-11 LU 224.5DEN -575
    Dec 23rd@BKNW 122-117-4.5 WO 231.5DEN -199
    Dec 21st@TORW 113-104-3.5 WU 229DEN -168
    Dec 19thDALW 130-104-8.5 WU 239.5DEN -340

    Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Injury Updates

    Nuggets Injuries

    • Peyton Watson
      PG

      Peyton Watson (knee) doubtful Wednesday.

      Doubtful

    • DaRon Holmes
      SF

      Holmes is out with achilles

      Out

    Grizzlies Injuries

    • Luke Kennard
      PG

      Kennard is questionable with back

      Questionable

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    Player Stats
    • scoring
      Nikola Jokic logo
      Nikola Jokic
      26
      ppg
    • rebounding
      Nikola Jokic logo
      Nikola Jokic
      14
      rpg
    • assists
      Nikola Jokic logo
      Nikola Jokic
      10
      apg
    • shooting
      Nikola Jokic logo
      Nikola Jokic
      100
      fg%
    Team Stats

    37-87 (43%)
    Field Goals
    55-96 (57%)
    18-25 (72%)
    Free Throws
    12-14 (86%)
    13-35 (37%)
    3P
    20-41 (49%)
    34
    Rebounds
    53
    23
    Assists
    43
    Turnovers
    8
    Steals
    6
    5
    Blocks
    6
    13
    Fouls
    19

    Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Odds Comparison

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    Grizzlies at Nuggets Team Totals

    MatchupOverUnder
    Grizzlies
    48-34
    o106.5-120
    u106.5-110
    Nuggets
    1-0
    o116.5-105
    u116.5-115