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Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Odds & Betting Predictions - December 29, 2023

Grizzlies at Nuggets

2:00 am • ALT

Memphis Grizzlies

0-4
105
105 - 142

Denver Nuggets

7-7
142

Grizzlies at Nuggets Odds

Spread, Total, Moneyline

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Grizzlies
0-4
+6
+9-106
o222.5-112
+300
Nuggets
7-7
u227.5
-9-114
u222.5-110
-375
location pinFriday 2:00 a.m.
December 29, 2023
Ball ArenaDenver
Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Expert Picks
Greg Matherne
Greg Matherne
Last 30d: 8-17-0 (+2.7u)
MEM +9-105
1.05u
Milly Props
Milly Props
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
K.Caldwell-Pope o1.5 3pt M-125
0.8u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 21-24-0 (+0.1u)
Under 224.5-110
1u
Idk how this game goes over - we’ll see
Alex Smart
Alex Smart
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
MEM +2.5 (1Q)-110
1u
Over 224.5-110
0.91u
Mjaybrod
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 21-24-0 (+0.1u)
MEM u108.5 Team Total-110
0.91u
Over this number since Ja’s return - Denver clamps
Prop Bomb 🏝
Prop Bomb 🏝
Last 30d: 1-3-0 (-2.7u)
K.Caldwell-Pope o9.5 Pts-120
1u
8 PTS on 30% FG last meeting, AG is OUT. In 225 w/ him off the court, KCP avg. 13.7 PPG Per-30 MIN. 10+ in 10 of L11 in sample. MEM allow 2nd most 3PM and 6th most SU PPG. Tillman/JJJ will be on Jokic. Smart on Murray. #PlayerProps
Prop Bet Guy
Prop Bet Guy
Last 30d: 0-0-0 (+0.0u)
M.Porter o26.5 Pts+Rebs+Ast-120
1.2u
This game sets up well for MPJ - MEM is bottom 5 vs spot up shooters, tough in the paint (Jokic), and Marcus Smart is back (tougher on Murray). MPJ with 34, 21, 45, 33 in four games earlier this season without Gordon (although they were also without Murray). But after a bit of a rut, he’s put together two solid games in a row.
Joe Dellera
Joe Dellera
Last 30d: 35-52-1 (+12.3u)
K.Caldwell-Pope o14.5 Pts+450
0.35u
K.Caldwell-Pope o9.5 Pts-115
1.3u
Gets a matchup against the Grizzlies tomorrow who allow the third most 3s per game. KCP can thrive from the perimeter but also has no issue attacking the rim, especially when Gordon (dog bite) is off the floor. Over the last two seasons, KCP has played 15 games without Gordon. In those games he has 10+ points in 12/15 and is averaging 12.9 ppg. While Braun and Strawther are more natural replacements for the Gordon minutes, KCP sees the Usage uptick. I don’t hate a sprinkle of 15+ (+450 FD) a number he’s hit in 6/15 but 2/4 this season.

PRO Insights

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Grizzlies

MEM Insights
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    Nuggets logo

    Nuggets

    DEN Insights
    • Featured Insight
      Nuggets logoThe Nuggets are 13-2 (.867) when they win the turnover margin this season -- 2nd-best in the NBA; the Grizzlies have averaged 15.1 turnovers per game this season -- T-6th-highest in the NBA.
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    Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Previews & Analysis

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      Our Staff's Best NBA Bets for Thursday

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      Dec 28, 2023 UTC
    • Grizzlies vs Nuggets: How to Back Memphis' Defense article feature image

      Grizzlies vs Nuggets: How to Back Memphis' Defense

      Michael Arinze•
      Dec 28, 2023 UTC
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    Prop Odds Comparison

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    Line Movement Tracker

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    Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Public Betting Percentages

    Away Logo

    Grizzlies

    Public

    Home Logo

    Nuggets

    59%

    Bets%

    41%

    Money%

    NBA Public Betting Right Arrow

    Betting Trends

    • Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games.
    • Nuggets are 3-2 in their last 5 games against the spread
    • Nuggets are 20-21 in their road games against the spread
    • The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Nuggets' last 5 games
    • The totals have gone OVER in 26 of Nuggets' 41 last games at home

    Matchup History

    Against the Spread (ATS) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Nuggets    		38-43-118-22-120-2127-33-111-10
    Grizzlies    		40-39-319-21-121-18-229-22-211-17-1

    Over/Under History

    overallhome o/uaway o/ufavorite o/uunderdog o/u
    Nuggets    		48-33-126-1522-18-135-25-113-8
    Grizzlies    		46-3621-2025-1625-2821-8

    Straight-Up (ML) History

    overallhomeawayfavoriteunderdog
    Nuggets    		50-32N/AN/A40-2110-11
    Grizzlies    		48-34N/AN/A40-138-21

    Last 5 Matchups

    dateopponentscorespreadover/undermoneyline
    Dec 25thGSWW 120-114-7.5 LU 235.5DEN -310
    Dec 24th@CHAW 102-95-11 LU 224.5DEN -575
    Dec 23rd@BKNW 122-117-4.5 WO 231.5DEN -199
    Dec 21st@TORW 113-104-3.5 WU 229DEN -168
    Dec 19thDALW 130-104-8.5 WU 239.5DEN -340

    Nuggets vs. Grizzlies Injury Updates

    Nuggets Injuries

    • DaRon Holmes
      SF

      Holmes is out with achilles

      Out

    Grizzlies Injuries

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      Player Stats
      • scoring
        Nikola Jokic logo
        Nikola Jokic
        26
        ppg
      • rebounding
        Nikola Jokic logo
        Nikola Jokic
        14
        rpg
      • assists
        Nikola Jokic logo
        Nikola Jokic
        10
        apg
      • shooting
        Nikola Jokic logo
        Nikola Jokic
        100
        fg%
      Team Stats

      37-87 (43%)
      Field Goals
      55-96 (57%)
      18-25 (72%)
      Free Throws
      12-14 (86%)
      13-35 (37%)
      3P
      20-41 (49%)
      34
      Rebounds
      53
      23
      Assists
      43
      Turnovers
      8
      Steals
      6
      5
      Blocks
      6
      13
      Fouls
      19

      Grizzlies vs. Nuggets Odds Comparison

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      Grizzlies at Nuggets Team Totals

      MatchupOverUnder
      Grizzlies
      0-4
      o106.5-120
      u106.5-110
      Nuggets
      7-7
      o116.5-105
      u116.5-115