Nuggets vs. Raptors Odds & Betting Predictions - December 21, 2023

Nuggets at Raptors

12:30 am • TSN

Denver Nuggets

2-2

113

113 - 104

Toronto Raptors

1-4

104

MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline
Nuggets 2-2	-3.5-110	o229-110	-168
Raptors 1-4	+3.5-110	u229-108	+140

Thursday 12:30 a.m.

December 21, 2023

Scotiabank ArenaToronto

S.Barnes o7.5 Rebs-130

0.77u

TOR +3.5-108

DEN -3.5-110

0.91u

TOR +4-110

1.1u

M.Porter o19.5 Pts+320

0.25u

Best Bets: https://www.actionnetwork.com/nba/nba-best-bets-today-expert-picks-wednesday-december-20

M.Porter o14.5 Pts-115

The Nuggets head on the road to take on the Raptors on Wednesday night. One player that has excelled in this matchup is Michael Porter Jr. Last season, MPJ played against the Raptors twice and tallied 20 and 23 points on elite 3 point efficiency with 4 and 5 makes. The Raptors continue to allow their opponents to shoot extremely well from 3 point range this season. Their opponents shoot 38.3% from deep. Those 3 point looks should help open up MPJ and the Nuggets’ offense. He has exceeded this number in 57% of games this season and is averaging 16.5 per game. I do think there is some value on 20+ (+320 FD) as well though. He has hit 20+ in 39% of games and given the 23.8% implied on the (+320) there is a bit of value when considering MPJ’s history against the Raptors and his propensity to score in bunches.

Over 229-112

Nuggets in Toronto and the total is almost 230?

Featured Insight
The Nuggets have allowed a TS% of 50% this season -- T-7th-best in the NBA. The Raptors has a TS% of 50% this season -- T-6th-worst in the NBA.

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Featured Insight
The Raptors have averaged 53.7 points in the paint per game at home since the start of the 2022-23 season -- 7th-highest in the NBA. The Nuggets have allowed 53.8 points in the paint per game on the road since the start of the 2022-23 season -- 6th-worst in the NBA.

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NBA Public Betting

Raptors are 1-4 in their last 5 games.
Raptors are 4-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
Raptors are 2-0 in their road games against the spread
The totals have gone OVER in 4 of Raptors' last 5 games
The totals have gone OVER in 3 of Raptors' 3 last games at home

Against the Spread (ATS) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Raptors	4-1	2-1	2-0	N/A	4-1
Nuggets	0-4	0-2	0-2	0-4	N/A

Over/Under History

	overall	home o/u	away o/u	favorite o/u	underdog o/u
Raptors	4-1	3-0	1-1	N/A	4-1
Nuggets	2-2	0-2	2-0	2-2	N/A

Straight-Up (ML) History

	overall	home	away	favorite	underdog
Raptors	1-4	N/A	N/A	N/A	1-4
Nuggets	2-2	N/A	N/A	2-2	N/A

date	opponent	score	spread	over/under	moneyline
Dec 19th	CHA	W 114-99	-12.5 W	U 224.5	TOR -785
Dec 16th	ATL	L 104-125	-1.5 L	U 241.5	ATL -122
Dec 14th	ATL	W 135-128	-2.5 W	O 240.5	TOR -130
Dec 12th	@NYK	L 130-136	+4 L	O 221.5	NYK +140
Dec 9th	@CHA	L 116-119	-5.5 L	O 222.5	CHA -210