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Cardinals vs Mets Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Thursday, June 11

Cardinals vs Mets Prediction, Pick, MLB Odds for Thursday, June 11 article feature image
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Jun 10, 2026; New York City, New York, USA; St. Louis Cardinals first baseman Alec Burleson (41) watches his home run against the New York Mets during the ninth inning at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Gregory Fisher-Imagn Images

The New York Mets host the St. Louis Cardinals on June 11, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 1:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.

The Mets are favored by -144 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Cardinals are +122 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9 runs.

Find my MLB picks and Cardinals vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.


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Cardinals vs Mets Prediction

  • Cardinals vs Mets Pick: Under 9

My Cardinals vs Mets best bet is on the Under. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.


Cardinals vs Mets Odds

Cardinals Logo
Thursday, Jun 11
1:10 p.m. ET
SNY
Mets Logo
Cardinals Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-176
9
-105o / -115u
+122
Mets Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+146
9
-105o / -115u
-144
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute MLB odds here.
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  • Cardinals vs Mets moneyline: Cardinals +122, Mets -144
  • Cardinals vs Mets over/under: 9 (-105o / -115u)
  • Cardinals vs Mets spread: Mets -1.5 (+146), Cardinals +1.5 (-176)

Cardinals vs Mets Probable Pitchers

Hunter Dobbins (RHP, STL)StatChristian Scott (RHP, NYM)
1-0W-L2-0
0.1fWAR (FanGraphs)0.9
2.77 / 5.32ERA / xERA2.50 / 4.12
3.57 / 3.57FIP / xFIP3.10 / 4.24
13.2%K-BB%14.7%
53.1%GB%27.3%
.290BABIP.308
101Stuff+108
101Location+97

Cardinals vs Mets MLB Betting Preview

This game triggered one of our Action PRO betting systems, powered by Evan Abrams:

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Evan Abrams / Bet Labs – Unders with Soft Starters and Neutral Winds
the home team's game number is between 37 and 169
the home team's win percentage is between 36% and 65%
the series game # is between 3 and 4
the home pitcher's strikeout rate is between 0.2 and 0.53
the home team's starting pitcher's WHIP is between 1.15 and 2.05
the average wind speed is between 0 and 15 mph
the wind direction is From Right or Left to Right or Right To Left or In or From Left or None or Left To Right
betting on the Under
$11,530
WON
532-381-40
RECORD
58%
WIN%

This system targets unders in regular-season MLB games where softer home starting pitchers — low strikeout rates and moderate WHIP — are on the mound in games three or four of a series.

By this point in the series, hitters have seen multiple arms, and scouting reports are sharper, yet scoring remains muted when the matchup lacks overpowering velocity, and winds remain neutral.

The setup avoids exaggerated run environments by filtering out strong directional wind influence, keeping offensive surges in check.

With the home team in the middle of the season grind, winning at a modest clip, the market may overlook how often these quiet conditions lead to slower-paced, low-scoring outcomes.

Pick: Under 9


Cardinals vs Mets Weather


Get the latest coverage on MLB Weather.
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About the Author

Tanner McGrath covers college basketball, college football and Major League Baseball at Action Network. He is a contributor to Payoff Pitch, Action Network’s Major League Baseball betting podcast. He's been working in the space for more than five years with past journalism experience in Canadian collegiate sports, finance and economics. He has an obsession with America East basketball, betting the Miami Marlins and sweating out home underdogs.

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