The New York Mets host the Philadelphia Phillies on June 27, 2026. First pitch from Citi Field is scheduled for 4:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Mets are favored by -136 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Phillies are +116 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 8.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Phillies vs Mets prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Phillies vs Mets Prediction
- Phillies vs Mets Pick: Over 9 (-102 or Better)
My Phillies vs Mets best bet is on the Over. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Phillies vs Mets Odds
| Phillies Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -194 | 8.5 -112o / -108u | +116 |
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +160 | 8.5 -112o / -108u | -136 |
- Phillies vs Mets moneyline: Phillies +116, Mets -136
- Phillies vs Mets over/under: 8.5 (-112 / -108)
- Phillies vs Mets spread: Mets -1.5 (+160), Phillies +1.5 (-194)
Phillies vs Mets Probable Pitchers
| Alan Rangel (RHP, PHI) | Stat | Christian Scott (RHP, NYM) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | W-L | 2-0 |
| 0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | 0.7 |
| 2.25 / 2.92 | ERA / xERA | 3.10 / 4.48 |
| 2.86 / 3.47 | FIP / xFIP | 3.84 / 4.15 |
| 27.3% | K-BB% | 15.7% |
| 27.3% | GB% | 28.2% |
| .318 | BABIP | .311 |
| 102 | Stuff+ | 107 |
| 98 | Location+ | 96 |
Phillies vs Mets MLB Betting Preview
Our own Sean Zerillo projects some value on the Over in this matchup.
If you want to dive deeper into this matchup, it'd be wise to check out BARTOLO, Zerillo's new PRO baseball tool that gives you access to all the input data he uses to project games every day.
Phillies vs Mets Pick, Betting Analysis
These are two highly-rated offenses, as Zerillo projects the Phillies with a 114 wRC+ against righties and the Mets with a 120 wRC+ against righties. Those two offenses will benefit from great hitting weather in Queens during game time (winds blowing out to center field).
These are also two pretty bad defensive teams.
So although I actually think the pitching matchup could be half decent, I'm not sure anybody is stopping these bats from getting hot on Saturday afternoon.
Pick: Over 9 (-102 or Better)
