The Cincinnati Reds host the New York Mets on June 16, 2026. First pitch from Great American Ball Park is scheduled for 7:10 p.m. EDT. The game will be broadcast on SNY.
The Mets are favored by -124 on the moneyline and by -1.5 on the run line. The Reds are +106 on the moneyline and +1.5 on the run line. The total is set at 9.5 runs.
Find my MLB picks and Mets vs Reds prediction below, as well as probable pitchers, weather report, and more.
Mets vs Reds Prediction
- Mets vs Reds Pick: Over 10 (-110 or Better)
My Mets vs Reds best bet is on the Over. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live MLB odds page.
Mets vs Reds Odds
| Mets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +128 | 9.5 -118o / -104u | -124 |
| Reds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -154 | 9.5 -118o / -104u | +106 |
- Mets vs Reds moneyline: Mets -124, Reds +106
- Mets vs Reds over/under: 9.5 (-118 / -104)
- Mets vs Reds spread: Mets -1.5 (+128), Reds +1.5 (-154)
Mets vs Reds Probable Pitchers
| Kodai Senga (RHP, NYM) | Stat | Brady Singer (RHP, CIN) |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | W-L | 2-6 |
| -0.2 | fWAR (FanGraphs) | -0.4 |
| 9.00 / 4.76 | ERA / xERA | 5.61 / 5.82 |
| 6.15 / 4.90 | FIP / xFIP | 6.31 / 4.63 |
| 10.3% | K-BB% | 9.6% |
| 30.5% | GB% | 41.2% |
| .382 | BABIP | .323 |
| 97 | Stuff+ | 91 |
| 91 | Location+ | 98 |
Mets vs Reds MLB Betting Preview
There’s a slight chance of thunderstorms in Cincinnati today, so I hope this game goes.
But regardless of the weather, everyone knows that Great American is the best non-Coors hitting park in baseball.
And these two starting pitchers are gas cans.
Brady Singer’s fastball velocity, Stuff+ rating, Pitching+, and strikeout rate ratings have all hit career lows. He’s missing fewer bats than ever, and his batted-ball profile is a mess, likely why he’s allowed 17 homers in just 61 innings this year (compared to 19 in 170 last season).
I guess Kodai Senga has just been hurt the entire season. Before he hit the IL, he had been unlucky (.380 BABIP, 58% strand rate), but the command issues were still there (13% walk rate), and the batted-ball numbers are horrific.
In his four Minor League rehab starts, Senga posted a 4.00 ERA, 5.23 xERA, 4.10 FIP, and 4.90 xFIP — not exactly stellar numbers.
If you take all the underlying projections and earned run indicators together, these two starters should have ERAs close to five.
Behind them are two lackluster defenses. And while the Mets have an elite bullpen, the Reds have likely the worst bullpen in baseball.
Mets vs Reds Pick, Betting Analysis
I’m not exactly enthralled with either lineup, but both project with a slightly-above-average wRC+ against right-handed pitching.
Between that, the hitting environment, and horrific run-prevention, I expect plenty of runs in this game.
Pick: Over 10 (-110 or Better)
